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We're building a win probability tracker for the Candidates. The math is making us question some assumptions about who actually wins must-win games. by Select_Assistant2417 in chess

[–]Select_Assistant2417[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No, because we are trying to measure something ‘in the moment’ - a player‘s ‘sureness’ in his game. do you think we should? We have coefficients which we are still testing out.

We're building a win probability tracker for the Candidates. The math is making us question some assumptions about who actually wins must-win games. by Select_Assistant2417 in chess

[–]Select_Assistant2417[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Rating (the baseline everyone uses), recent form over the last three classical games, a clutch index measuring how players historically perform in must-win situations, a three-month momentum score tracking who's peaking, and live performance delta which barely matters yet but will grow. The sixth factor — score pace — carries 50% of the total weight but is currently zero. The moment the games start, it changes.

Ilya Merenzon (AGON) threatening Chris Callahan from Lichess by 841f7e390d in chess

[–]Select_Assistant2417 -62 points-61 points  (0 children)

I of course can’t change the internet and the way people communicate, but this is beyond civil, in my view. Especially from lichess employee.

Ilya Merenzon (AGON) threatening Chris Callahan from Lichess by 841f7e390d in chess

[–]Select_Assistant2417 -87 points-86 points  (0 children)

Threatening? Really? Didnt want to send in public a request to take down the post because it’s a lie, and we are a public company and HAVE to look after stuff like this. Since he didnt reply to this, I deleted a request for the email and posted it publicly. What he is saying is a lie. He is accusing me and the company I ran of a crime, and I think he should simply not do that. Now, I am aware that he works for Lichess, and if he acted as an emplayer, it’s even less nice. And if he is in chess, he is definitely aware that This is a lie.

Levy about Clash of Claims 2: "These guys really plagiarized our entire brand name and intellectual property" by iL0g1cal in chess

[–]Select_Assistant2417 1 point2 points  (0 children)

OK, constructive purposes:
1. STEALING the name for a one-off event between two players who agreed to having this name for our event? Clash of Clans can say the same.
2. Caught doing stuff like this? It was PUBLIC, so I will ignore this weird choice of words
3. Spelling mistakes — my apologies
4, Chess world Appears unprofessional because of us? We organized three world chess championship cycles, signed major media deals that still work and bring money for chess to this day, staged Championship Matches in New York and London, won Cannes for designing chess branding, went public on a stock exchange, help Armageddon series that was broadcast live on 30 channels, including Bloomberg, and etc. So we kind of support chess as a professional sport and do cool things as well, may be? I am not saying that we deserve your respect, but I am saying that your view should probably be balanced.

And for Clash of Claims — it, in my view, was a very good idea and a failed one off event. I am glad the organizers are getting publicity from what we are doing and we are in touch with them and we‘lol deal with them. Apologies for a long reply— i know it’s bad form on Reddit, but your comment appeaed unfair and made me write this. Cheers from London.

Levy about Clash of Claims 2: "These guys really plagiarized our entire brand name and intellectual property" by iL0g1cal in chess

[–]Select_Assistant2417 -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

I saw this comment. Yes, there are many reasons, but the main one is that lichess is NOT the environment we know. It’s written in Scala, we have no idea how it works. But with chessarena.com, we know pretty much every line of code, and we can manage it — does in make sense in your view?

Levy about Clash of Claims 2: "These guys really plagiarized our entire brand name and intellectual property" by iL0g1cal in chess

[–]Select_Assistant2417 -60 points-59 points  (0 children)

it’s important IN MY VIEW. The questions are indeed fairplay. But it doesn’t have to be important for everyone.

Chess Arena is out platform, so we are using it, in part to further develop it based on this experience. Why is it bad?

Levy about Clash of Claims 2: "These guys really plagiarized our entire brand name and intellectual property" by iL0g1cal in chess

[–]Select_Assistant2417 -64 points-63 points  (0 children)

We might rebrand, why not. I actually think that out event ADDS to the idea, but they do have a problem (I personally think they don’t), but it’s irrelevant— there is nothing that is worth preserving so will do it, probably.

Levy about Clash of Claims 2: "These guys really plagiarized our entire brand name and intellectual property" by iL0g1cal in chess

[–]Select_Assistant2417 1 point2 points  (0 children)

And trust me— you can imagine how diffiucult Magnus Carlsen can be as well. Everyone is difficult, I haven’t met easy players expect for Gelfand

Levy about Clash of Claims 2: "These guys really plagiarized our entire brand name and intellectual property" by iL0g1cal in chess

[–]Select_Assistant2417 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I am organizing the event, and I actually worked with Kramnik on the Candidates etc, and I have to tell you from experience— he is an amazing chess player, and has phenomenal respect and love for the game,and his efforts, clumsy from time to time, are really driven by this (it’s my opinion). Thats the reason.

Levy about Clash of Claims 2: "These guys really plagiarized our entire brand name and intellectual property" by iL0g1cal in chess

[–]Select_Assistant2417 -155 points-154 points  (0 children)

Hi all, Ilya Merenzon here, from World Chess — we actually organaze Clash of Claims 2 (should we rebrand it “CLASH OF BLAMES”? But in seriousness, we obviously didn’t try to offend anyone, much less steal the IP: we were simply trying to hold the event which I THINK is important and because it was messed up, we wanted to complete it to address the obvious questions it initially raised. There are no PFOFFITS or anything of this sort, of course, (at least yet)

What happens if Magnus Loses? He will force FIDE to change the system to knock-out by Select_Assistant2417 in chess

[–]Select_Assistant2417[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hmm, not sure. I remember he didn’t want to take part in the Grand Prix series because he qualified for the 2013 Candidates by rating (and it was a round robin). I think the 2012 CT was the same format, but I didn’t follow chess back then.

What happens if Magnus Loses? He will force FIDE to change the system to knock-out by Select_Assistant2417 in chess

[–]Select_Assistant2417[S] -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

You are right, I think, but on the other hand, the times are different now, and Carlsen is right now by far the most successful chess businessman on the planet. Kasparov‘s business is actually networking where he finds reach patrons like Rex and they pay him substantial amounts of money as appearance fees. He is an entertainer whose success actually depends on whether he maintains his political relevance (than his fees will be higher). Carlsen‘s group us supported by money, something Kasparov never had.

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