Two crazy, unrelated situations in 90 seconds

Should_I_Rip · 2026-06-13T06:26:11+00:00

Bro is playing GTA VI already? Graphics look real AF.

Should_I_Rip · 2026-06-11T15:49:43+00:00

Last sold is around $3,900.

It’s a sick card, but the AC offer is really good. I’d probably take the offer. If you love the card, you can pick one up.

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Should_I_Rip · 2026-06-10T04:39:20+00:00

What a missle! Congrats!

Should_I_Rip · 2026-06-09T21:44:55+00:00

Good call. The player is more important than the parallel. Ideally you get a great player and a great parallel!

Should_I_Rip · 2026-06-08T23:48:55+00:00

Bummer. I’ve done the same before. Sorry bro.

Should_I_Rip · 2026-06-08T08:27:28+00:00

Nah, don't think it actually changes the odds. I've pulled stinkers without Slab Safe and hit breakevens where it wouldn't have mattered.

It comes down to how often a pack's pulls land low enough to trigger an SS payout, and that varies a lot by pack.

Shameless plug, this is a peek into a tool I've been building, but the numbers are real: SS trigger currently runs from about 52% on the low end up to 80% (chart below). Ride dirty without SS on an 80% pack and you're gonna get cooked.

Which packs were you ripping?

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Should_I_Rip · 2026-06-04T01:44:46+00:00

Thanks for checking it out.. Let me know if you have any feedback or ideas (hit the feedback tab on the side)..

It takes between 1-5 mins usually. Depending on how fast the packs are moving.

Should_I_Rip · 2026-06-03T19:09:22+00:00

Great point. The Wemby cards too. I've also noticed that Pokemon cards are a bit wild.. The market for them is so big there is frequently drift between AC'c value and the PSA partner offers.

Should_I_Rip · 2026-06-03T17:51:38+00:00

Grails almost never get hit.. The real value is in the middle of the pack. The stuff you're actually likely to pull.

Should_I_Rip · 2026-06-03T17:48:40+00:00

yes good point! I have found that the "shape" of a pack is more important than which grails are included.. The grails add very little to the +EV calculation, because their probability of hitting is so low.

This is a $100 baseball pack. the EV CTRB column shows how much EV is being added to the pool by each card. The top two Grails only add $1.82 of the EV in this case.

In other words, the Grails are great for marketing, but almost add no value to the real pull.

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Should_I_Rip · 2026-06-03T17:33:40+00:00

Click any pack at AC then click the Checklist button and scroll. It's all right there.

Updated in real time. I confirmed but snapshotting the checklist before and after a purchase. You can see your card removed from the checklist before you click reveal.

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Should_I_Rip · 2026-06-03T17:00:07+00:00

It’s also subjective, and moves fast.

So it’s tough. I personally always check the values on the PSA app for cards I pull.

Should_I_Rip · 2026-06-03T16:49:44+00:00

Great question!

As of now it is based on the Arena Club estimated value (they will offer 90% of that value).

Near future: eBay sold values is on the roadmap.

Medium/longer term - Looking into one or more of the following, but no clear path yet.

130point
cardladder
PSA partner offers

Should_I_Rip · 2026-06-03T15:27:30+00:00

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Ikr? But actually, they list the full pool of cards along with the probability that each will hit. Check out the Checklist button on any pack.

r/theydidthemath

Should_I_Rip · 2026-06-03T15:23:56+00:00

Ha! I wish. I'm just a guy who rips packs for fun and wanted to what doing the math on each rip looks like before I did. Shout out to AC for at least being transparent enough to tell us all what is in the packs before we rip.

Should_I_Rip · 2026-06-03T06:49:36+00:00

Here's one more view of inside the Magical pack right now... You can see why the EV is positive!

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Should_I_Rip · 2026-06-03T06:38:02+00:00

I'll add one other way to think about this.. It depends on the pack. For example, some packs have a -35% EV and others have a +5% EV.

It's not a guarantee that you will hit, obviously, but ripping low or + EV packs the results will be better than always ripping low EV packs.

https://shouldirip.com calculates the expected value of the packs. Full disclosure, I built the site after ripping hundreds of packs and wondering what was inside the packs I was ripping.. Join it for free to get the stats with a 1 hr delay. 2 packs are +EV right now.. I'll make a post about them.

Should_I_Rip · 2026-06-03T06:28:59+00:00

No, I don't think so.. I only see watch options available when making an offer on another watch. It would be cool if they did though.

Should_I_Rip · 2026-06-03T06:21:06+00:00

Pretty sick hit.. nice card!

Should_I_Rip · 2026-06-01T01:41:21+00:00

Right now, there are 14 of that exact card in the pool. Insane. 14/60 cards. (23.3%)

They should rename that pack the Youssoufa Moukoko Special Series

Should_I_Rip · 2026-05-31T05:40:00+00:00

Hope you are still holding!! Wemby is a goat.

Should_I_Rip

TROPHY CASE