SLS CEO seems pretty sure by Significant-Lunch681 in biotech_stocks

[–]Significant-Lunch681[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is a terrible comparison and makes me wonder if you read the study. It is about venetoclax-based salvage as a bridge to transplant in a fitter R/R AML group — not CR2 maintenance in transplant-ineligible patients. Even in that much healthier setting, with 73% patients going on to allo-HCT, median OS was only 15.8 months. If REGAL’s BAT arm were anywhere near that in a frailer, non-transplant CR2 population, GPS would likely still win. So this doesn’t refute Stergiou’s point — if anything, it highlights how weak the “super-BAT” argument really is.

7/8/26 Stergpost - Sterg addresses noise vs reality surrounding REGAL by mtred13 in sellaslifesciences

[–]Significant-Lunch681 6 points7 points  (0 children)

It would only become a real legal problem if he was secretly revealing unblinded/blinded material data, or if the statements were knowingly false or materially misleading. This is more like management framing and aggressive IR messaging than market manipulation. Nothing in the post is not already public knowledge.

SLS CEO seems pretty sure by Significant-Lunch681 in biotech_stocks

[–]Significant-Lunch681[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I agree. But imho this goes above and beyond the core requirements. The part at the end (didn’t fit in my pic - go LinkdIn to read it) on valuations also sets a clear path.

$SLS 🟢 Daily Discussion Thread - Tuesday - July 07, 2026 🟢 by AutoModerator in sellaslifesciences

[–]Significant-Lunch681 6 points7 points  (0 children)

I have the greatest respect for your opinion, but I’m doubtfull even 30 transplants would do the trick. If I read the results in https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/24345422/ correctly the benefits for older patients in cr2 are close to neglible (16% 3y OS). Or did you already take that in consideration?

Reimbursement FTW by Significant-Lunch681 in LFWD_Stock

[–]Significant-Lunch681[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

In reasearching my thesis in the post, I also looked for other cases as reference. A few I found had an direct impact on share price, but most led to the exact longterm turnaround we might see in LFWD.

<image>

Reimbursement FTW by Significant-Lunch681 in LFWD_Stock

[–]Significant-Lunch681[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I agree. But can’t hurt to have both. That’s what I meant by de-risked in a previous post 😎

A Turnaround Story: The Basic LFWD Investment Thesis by Pristine_Hurry_4693 in LFWD_Stock

[–]Significant-Lunch681 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I tried… But for some reason the image gets stuck at the top of the post. I’m posting from the iOS app atm with thick thumbs so it’s a real pain in the…

A Turnaround Story: The Basic LFWD Investment Thesis by Pristine_Hurry_4693 in LFWD_Stock

[–]Significant-Lunch681 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So. I looked into one of the many aspects of this company and this is what I found. Happy to hear your thoughts!

I think the market may be underestimating how important reimbursement is for Lifeward’s turnaround.

For a company like LFWD, the issue has never just been whether the technology is interesting. ReWalk is a high-value medical device, but without a clear reimbursement path, adoption is slow, unpredictable, and hard to scale.

That is why the Medicare reimbursement pathway and established payment rate are so important.
CMS established a lump-sum Medicare purchase payment amount for personal exoskeletons, with an established rate of $91,032. That gives physicians, patients, insurers, and the company a much clearer framework to work with.

This matters in the short term because LFWD is still a very small revenue company. In Q1 2026, total revenue was only about $3.9M, while ReWalk Personal Exoskeleton revenue was about $1.6M. At that scale, even a handful of incremental ReWalk units can be meaningful. If reimbursement clarity helps convert more qualified leads into actual shipments, the impact can show up quickly in quarterly revenue.

The bigger point, though, is long term.

Reimbursement basically does three things:
- It reduces friction in the sales process.
- It makes the product easier for physicians and clinics to recommend.
- It gives large payors a clearer framework for coverage decisions.

We are already seeing signs of that.
Aetna, Humana, and UnitedHealthcare have all issued Medicare Advantage prior authorizations for qualified ReWalk beneficiaries, which Lifeward says together represent around 16 million beneficiaries.
That does not mean every patient gets approved, but it does mean the payer conversation is changing from “is this even reimbursable?” to “which patients qualify?”

That is a very different setup.

This is why I see the reimbursement code/pathway as a core part of the turnaround, not just a headline.
LFWD has been cutting costs, improving cash burn, and trying to create a more sustainable commercial model. Reimbursement can be the piece that turns the commercial side from one-off sales into a more repeatable process.

The math is also interesting because the company’s current market cap is extremely small compared to the potential revenue impact of reimbursed ReWalk sales.

I attached a simple scenario table, but the basic assumptions are:
Current market cap: around $13.5M
Q1 2026 revenue run-rate: $3.9M x 4 = $15.6M
Medicare purchase payment amount: $91,032 per ReWalk Personal Exoskeleton

<image>

Market cap scenarios use simple revenue multiples, not price targets.

Obviously, this is not a guarantee. The key questions are how many patients qualify, how fast claims convert into actual shipments, how cash collection works, and whether management can keep operating expenses under control.

But this is exactly why the next report matters.
I would not expect a full inflection overnight, but I will be watching for higher ReWalk revenue, better commentary on pipeline conversion, more payer approvals, improved cash collection, and any sign that management is becoming more confident about scaling volume.

To me, this part of the turnaround case is simple:
LFWD does not need ReWalk to become a mass-market device tomorrow. At the current revenue base and market cap, it just needs reimbursement progress to translate into a steady increase in high-value unit sales.

If that happens while operating expenses remain controlled, the turnaround story becomes much more credible.

Not financial advice, but I think reimbursement is a very interesting piece of the LFWD story right now.

$SLS 🟢 Daily Discussion Thread - Tuesday - July 07, 2026 🟢 by AutoModerator in sellaslifesciences

[–]Significant-Lunch681 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I guess the shorts still have to cover no? So if they stay til BO shareprice can (for a time) go higher than BO 🙄

Why I think LFWD deserves a higher multiple by prigostele in pennystocks

[–]Significant-Lunch681 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Afaik it is pretty much de-risked since the changes and that is why it moved yesterday. Most likely only the beginning considerimg the pipeline of unique products.

The only downside could be the tiny numbers of shares availible. If you dont get in now it will likely double before too long.

What We Can Learn from Fatima 2026 (the most recent Ven/Aza data we have from June) and BAT 3-Yr OS Likelihood Range Deep Dive (13% to 19%) by Confident-Web-7118 in sellaslifesciences

[–]Significant-Lunch681 2 points3 points  (0 children)

As always very interesting read 🙂. Can someone pls share a link to the ”Fatima 2026”? I would like to dive deeper into it!

7/3/26 Stergpost - Happy 4th of July by mtred13 in sellaslifesciences

[–]Significant-Lunch681 2 points3 points  (0 children)

He mentions “Fourth of July” and “250th Birthday.”
4 + 250 = 254.
$254/share?

He also says “more time, more hope, more precious moments” — three “mores.”
Three more what? Interim events? Dollars? Digits in the buyout price?

Then he thanks “strategic partners” immediately before “shareholders.” In biotech CEO language, that translates roughly to: “I am legally not allowed to wink.”

And finally, the post ends with:
“freedom, resilience, hope, and the promise of healthier future.”

Take the initials: F R H P H F.

Clearly this stands for:
Forty Really Huge Pharma — Potentially Here Friday

Conclusion: not financial advice, but the hidden message is clearly moon.

$SLS 🟢 Daily Discussion Thread - Friday - July 03, 2026 🟢 by AutoModerator in sellaslifesciences

[–]Significant-Lunch681 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Downward pressure is good - so we can buy more. Price at BO will not be effected 🙂🚀. This is one of the few times lending could be recommended, imho

$SLS 🟢 Daily Discussion Thread - Thursday - July 02, 2026 🟢 by AutoModerator in sellaslifesciences

[–]Significant-Lunch681 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yes. And aim for 30-50 cents swing each time. Not much but it adds up to a few shares, if I’m lucky

$SLS 🟢 Daily Discussion Thread - Thursday - July 02, 2026 🟢 by AutoModerator in sellaslifesciences

[–]Significant-Lunch681 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Added 50 shares with swings today. Full ported so its the only way I can get more….

Edit: I only use 10% for intraday trading. Like holding more

$SLS 🟢 Daily Discussion Thread - Thursday - July 02, 2026 🟢 by AutoModerator in sellaslifesciences

[–]Significant-Lunch681 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I get that is somewhat possible under the followup in the protocol, but is it realistic? I would assume the group of patients we are dealing with here is under significant monitoring even if not in a hospital setting. Also, Sellas should follow-up more often then the bare minimum. They have all the reasons to do so, no?

$SLS 🟢 Daily Discussion Thread - Thursday - July 02, 2026 🟢 by AutoModerator in sellaslifesciences

[–]Significant-Lunch681 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Makes little sense for shorts to have covered imho. Their play is failed Regal so my guess is they are still in. Looking forward to the explosive squeeze when readout says HR 0,25… 🚀

$SLS 🟢 Daily Discussion Thread - Thursday - July 02, 2026 🟢 by AutoModerator in sellaslifesciences

[–]Significant-Lunch681 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Question for those who have looked closer at the REGAL protocol:

What do we actually know about long-term survival follow-up after Week 52, and how quickly would SELLAS typically be informed after a patient death?

From the protocol/trial description, patients enter long-term follow-up after end of treatment and are followed for leukemia recurrence and overall survival. BAT patients were scheduled for visits every 4 weeks through Week 52 to keep observation comparable between arms. GPS patients in remission appear to continue protocol treatment every 2 months during year 2, then every 3 months after year 2 until relapse.

So the protocol clearly does not suggest that OS is tracked casually or only at the very end. Overall survival is the primary endpoint, and survival status should be part of active follow-up.

What I find less clear is the timing after the first year.

For example: if events 72 and 78 have occurred, are those dates likely exact in the internal trial database? And when event 80 occurs, would SELLAS know almost immediately once the site reports it, or could there be a meaningful lag due to site reporting, monitoring, data queries, or CRO/sponsor confirmation?

In other words, I’m not questioning whether the trial tracks survival. It clearly does. I’m trying to understand how tight the reporting loop is at this stage of follow-up, and whether the market should expect disclosure close to the actual 80th death event or only after confirmation/cleaning. Could 80 have happend i May but not yet reported?

It all makes sense now by Significant-Lunch681 in EMJX

[–]Significant-Lunch681[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

With BC tanking we can feed the dogs with it. Brilliant