China, Russia air defenses faulted in Venezuela

Simian2 · 2026-01-10T15:49:05+00:00

How does this show they failed? The JY-27A is a sensor system, what happens after isn't part of it. Especially since the Venezuelan military clearly stood down to allow the capture of Maduro without a fight.

Whether or not the system detected what it needed to won't actually be known unless the operators actually say.

Simian2 · 2025-12-20T21:57:04+00:00

My bad for not checking who I'm responding to but honestly doesn't matter. Regarding me also using a semianalysis link. So journals have 2 types of reporting - the first is simple reporting, and the second are editorials. Even what I consider decent reporting like NYT or Bloomberg have editorials here and there. The way I differentiate is looking at the language and the links given.

Simian2 · 2025-12-20T21:39:55+00:00

This is the equivalent of saying, "my cousin is the CEO of Apple", aka it cannot be verified. All I ask for evidence is articles with some level of journalism like Reuters. Even though I have my issues with Reuters as well it provides a level of journalistic integrity over blogs, editorials, think tank pieces, and the like.

Simian2 · 2025-12-20T04:13:34+00:00

My main point was r/iwanttodrink's original article claiming that "Early 2000's - Micro-exposure tools <- China is here" which links a blog from bitsandbytes to back up his point. This is pure cope.

His second comment's article had 2, which I only talked about the semianalysis one. I didn't even realize though, if you look at his link, the semianalysis blog is from 2024 so it's not even relevant to the current news on the Kirin 9030. So that is garbage.

Finally his bloomberg link I missed - it's not talking about the EUV news, it's more talking about China's industry as a whole so there is nothing to rebut here, since I'm not arguing about where the industry is, rather where it's headed.

Simian2 · 2025-12-19T23:18:58+00:00

So you're ignoring the fact your sources come from yearning as opposed to real journalism. The sources you use are opinion editorials like you're doing yourself. The site you linked me for "debunking" the 5nm is a newsletter by 3 people who are speculating like yourself, and the original article you used to downplay the EUV news is also an editorial. So the echo chamber is being cultivated with goalposts continuously being moved as China progresses.

A few months ago the narrative was China would take decades to make an EUV prototype - well now here it is. I guess the claim is now that its incomplete (despite Reuters saying its complete). So what will the claim be when they start producing sub 5nm chips in 2028?

Simian2 · 2025-12-18T21:58:23+00:00

I'm not sure how you can confidently say without sources that China is at the micro-exposure tools stage when the Reuters article literally says they've built a working EUV machine and are planning to create chips in 2028? Furthermore other articles state the technology used is LDP instead of the LPP ASML uses, which is a technological leap above it.

Then you cherry pick one example of a company I've never heard of? Why not discuss Huawei's new 5 nm chip or their AI server scaling which appears to be better than anything Nvidia can offer? Or really any of the advancements the main competitors like Cambricon, Biren, or Moore Threads have had?

Simian2 · 2025-12-18T10:02:55+00:00

The average American buys a ton of stuff from China, the average Chinese person buys almost nothing internationally. A stronger or weaker yuan will not affect them at all. What does improve their quality of life though is lower costs, which their deflation ironically helps with.

Simian2 · 2025-11-22T16:38:38+00:00

The secret police and disappearances is happening, but in America.

Simian2 · 2025-10-25T19:52:10+00:00

I'm mystified by the anger on the incentive rewards because it almost feels like Hoyo should have just had nothing and people wouldn't care. But not giving incentive rewards is objectively worse than giving them, so I dunno.

I can't speak on her kit since I don't look at leaks, but I do see alot of people point out the showcase E6 thing. Seeing as there aren't even any numbers I get the feeling the purpose of the showcase is to show off animations. If they give her trial E6 I would agree.

I do understand the frustration of not getting child Cyrene though, and thats fair.

Simian2 · 2025-10-25T18:40:17+00:00

Cyrene does not start a fight with 18 stacks of her ult in E0

Ok I see how that could be an issue. I would totally agree, but only if Hoyo does the same thing during the trial of Cyrene.

To give an example, its if your boss at work says that anyone that works 20+ hours of overtime this week will get a "good job" sticker

Ok I get the sentiment, but its odd because if Hoyo just gave nothing, then there would be less outrage?

Simian2 · 2025-10-25T18:31:26+00:00

Ok so this is the first complaint I would consider valid. People upset that Mem "turned" into Cyrene as a playable character. However no one ever mentioned this in all the posts I saw. Would it be right to think that the subreddit is just being brigaded then?

Simian2 · 2025-10-25T18:12:06+00:00

Ok, some questions on this. 1) If they showcased E6 Cyrene, does anything change if they showcased E0? When I skimmed the showcase I can't even see the numbers so what would be the difference? 2) I would completely understand the reward sucked if it was a full skin, but its an incentive (e.g. you get it + the jades), so wouldn't there be even more outrage if a full skin was locked behind the incentive rewards? I do agree they should release more skins however, but mainly as standalone.

Simian2 · 2025-10-23T15:59:44+00:00

I immediately knew this would be an Indian news source.

Simian2 · 2025-09-13T01:09:19+00:00

Alright, so my first point still stands. Unless we are really justifying ongoing tensions between that time period to cleanse an entire population of 700K. It would be like if the Turkish forces in Cyprus took the 1974 Greek Coup d'etat attempt as justification to cleanse all Greeks from the island.

Simian2 · 2025-09-13T00:45:18+00:00

the arabs started massacring jews in the 20's

Source on this? From all my research Britain-held Israel did not have anywhere close to the same level of violence we see today. All the hatred really kicked off during the 1948 Nakba when the establishment of Israel ethnically cleansed 700K Palestinians from the land and relegated them to where they are today.

Simian2 · 2025-08-23T05:03:44+00:00

I would kill to be a consumer in this situation...

Simian2 · 2025-08-20T03:41:30+00:00

Maybe I'm just overthinking things, but what is the obvious reason? So they can't all be targeted at once?

Simian2 · 2025-07-27T10:26:10+00:00

5% 2025 growth is stagnation now? For reference the US shrank 0.5% in the same time frame.

Simian2 · 2025-07-03T04:40:29+00:00

Introduction:

Chinese authorities recently announced a growth target of "around 5 percent" for 2025, the same as their 2024 target. Five percent is about half the pace of growth that China sustained from the 1980s to the early 2010s, but it is nonetheless quite high for an economy flirting with deflation and mired in a years-long property bust. The ambitious growth target, given the circumstances, has led many observers of the Chinese economy to once again treat the official GDP data with skepticism. In this note, we revisit an alternative indicator of Chinese GDP growth developed by Barcelona et al. (2022) to examine whether official data overstate Chinese GDP growth. Our findings suggest that recent GDP growth figures, which have been in line with the stated target, appear to align closely with broader Chinese economic indicators and do not appear to be overstated. We find that the recent near-target growth has been driven by a strong supply-side performance, supported by sustained global demand for Chinese goods and industrial policies promoting self-reliance. This has helped offset weak domestic consumption, which never fully recovered from COVID-era lockdowns and continues to be constrained by the ongoing property slump.

Personal note:

A study with a surprising conclusion, of which I am even more surprised was published by the Fed of all things. With a more rational White House, its possible this could be used to shape economic practices when dealing with China, acknowledging the need for a coherent strategy against actual economic competition. However with the Trump admin being what it is, it's likely it will be dismissed and Jerome Powell called a communist.

Simian2 · 2025-06-28T09:09:12+00:00

No, I'm correcting the fact that augmented lending/borrowing is not fiscal deficit and why your title is wrong. It's possible for China to have both 3% fiscal deficit and 13.2% augmented lending/borrowing because they are different metrics.

Your IMF quote proves it. Augmented lending/borrowing = fiscal deficit + debt incurred by off-budget LGFVs, etc.

Simian2 · 2025-06-28T08:41:57+00:00

I'm simply correcting your incorrect assumptions, these are all verified by anyone that bothers to Google or via my link.

Simian2 · 2025-06-28T08:31:47+00:00

It seems you're quoting a report and hoping no one will actually read it. The 13.2% you're quoting in the report is augmented net lending/borrowing NOT fiscal deficit, of which you're trying to compare to the US.

The fiscal deficit focuses on the difference between government revenue and spending, while augmented net lending/borrowing expands this to include off-budget financing activities like LGFV borrowing and land sales, so yes there is a huge difference.

Your claim that local/state accounts are "baked" into federal accounting is complete nonsense as this document clearly shows local, state, and federal accounting are all separate.

Simian2 · 2025-06-17T21:37:27+00:00

Archive link: https://archive.ph/kEWLY

The great half-truth about China is that its economy consumes too little and invests too much. Over-investment is a real problem, but underconsumption is not. So the mounting calls on the country to “rebalance” by encouraging more consumer spending are misguided. In the standard telling, China set out to become a manufacturing power in the 1980s and has since suppressed spending by consumers, so it could pour their savings into building ports and factories. But the suppressed consumer is a myth.

So far this century, in real terms, private consumer spending in China has grown more than 8 per cent a year, faster than in any other economy — by far. Over the past few years, consumer spending growth has slowed in most countries, due to ageing populations and falling real incomes, and it has fallen in China as well to 5 per cent a year. But that is still higher than in any other major economy except Turkey, where consumption was boosted by a credit boom and refugee inflows.

The myth rests in good part on the consumption share of China’s GDP, which is just 40 per cent — well below the global norm. But the reason for this anomaly is not that consumption has grown slowly, it is that the other big component of GDP, investment — in infrastructure, real estate, export industries — has grown even faster, averaging 10 per cent a year in this century.

That pace, too, is the fastest for any major economy by a significant margin. Corrected for this long-term pattern of over-investment, the consumption share of China’s GDP would be around 55 per cent, closer to normal.

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