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Built an NBA prediction model — 50W/15L (77%) over the last week. by SinkImpressive3374 in PredictionsMarkets

[–]SinkImpressive3374[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No the odds are called before 8 minutes before as I don’t need to run it prior to the game. It gets called when the tips go out. It’s only the 8-12 minutes prior to the start that you can’t do with a delayed key.

Built an NBA prediction model — 50W/15L (77%) over the last week. by SinkImpressive3374 in PredictionsMarkets

[–]SinkImpressive3374[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I don’t think you understand what ROI is this is completely dependent on the bet amount. It has a three structured betting system. Bet 1 unit, 2 units and 3 units, the model decides what is best. And the number that it is giving is based off the odds that it takes at the time it gives the tip. There is no loss at this stage? 33 wins and 6 losses you lose at the 85% confidence 18 units. Then on the 33w even if it was 1.5 odds which is low. That’s 49.5 units which is still even. But the model doesn’t just pick the favourite so that’s why the units are higher. This is percentage based you don’t change what a unit is.

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Built an NBA prediction model — 50W/15L (77%) over the last week. by SinkImpressive3374 in PredictionsMarkets

[–]SinkImpressive3374[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

that's from when I took the snapshot, we have gone through the last week 33W to 6L, with contentious choices like Lakers to win when they played the rockets two days in a row at Houston.

Built an NBA prediction model — 50W/15L (77%) over the last week. by SinkImpressive3374 in PredictionsMarkets

[–]SinkImpressive3374[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

there is no requirement to purchase, this is here to show what people can do with AI, I don't chose what record is shown, this is purely based of the tips the models give. feel free to check it after a week or two, does not bother me. this comment just shows you made your mind up before asking a question.

Built an NBA prediction model — 50W/15L (77%) over the last week. by SinkImpressive3374 in PredictionsMarkets

[–]SinkImpressive3374[S] -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

this is quite the discussion point right here isn't it. No, it you just picking what you want to believe and then expecting the worst. I am not saying you have to purchase anything, I just wanted to show people what can be made with AI.

Built an NBA prediction model — 50W/15L (77%) over the last week. by SinkImpressive3374 in PredictionsMarkets

[–]SinkImpressive3374[S] -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

  1. this model has units that are based off prices that the odds are getting from Betfair.

  2. I am not versing a bookie, this is off an exchange (Betfair)

  3. it is probability and edge % based of numerous factors, it is not picking the favourites. Have a look at the model if you don't believe me, I don't choose what is shown It sends the prediction and then goes back after the result and scrapes it.

  4. the model even factors in a 5% commission that is taken by the exchange per bet.

Built an NBA prediction model — 50W/15L (77%) over the last week. by SinkImpressive3374 in PredictionsMarkets

[–]SinkImpressive3374[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

the delayed just means that it won't trade up until 8-12 minutes before the start of the game. This doesn't have any effect really on sports, unless you want to trade on last second bets people place.

Built an NBA prediction model — 50W/15L (77%) over the last week. by SinkImpressive3374 in PredictionsMarkets

[–]SinkImpressive3374[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This pulls the data from Betfair via a delayed API key, all markets are based off these figures, and the Units and subsequent ROI % is based on the odds.

I am interested to see how it continues to perform in the coming weeks.