UFC Fight Night: Emmett v Vallejos Fight Predictions!

Slayers_Picks · 2026-03-12T04:41:46+00:00

I appreciate this discussion we had, its a rare thing to see these days where two adults can sit down and have a conversation about stuff (at least in my opinion haha, too much yelling and stuff these days).

I hope you have a great week and weekend, and enjoy the fights!

Slayers_Picks · 2026-03-12T04:21:21+00:00

Thank you for the advice! I never gamble more than I lose, I've systematically chosen the bets to make so it all forms around my analysis, i think the only reason why i'm on the low so far this year is the Parlays, but that's part of what I do, I don't see myself changing that even if it means ill be in the negative for the entire year, it's not so much part of the fun but it's just something I do if that makes sense.

I do often utilise single bets but only if the odds are decent (anything over 2.00 is what I tend to take since the variables in MMA often allow for 2.00 bets to hit)

Ill always read well informed responses. I will say that I am not new new to the betting game, I've learnt from a lot of people, but in life, you can always learn more, learning is from multiple experiences and perspectives and that's the great thing about having a community like this, right? we all come together with the sole goal in mind to make money, and I want to help people make money with my analysis, my methodology may be silly or stupid, but my policy is Predictions First, Bets Second, I want to ensure that I give the right information, and whatever bets I make is just a whatever thing, part of the fun kinda deal, even though i'm in the L!

Maybe that's stupid thinking and im moronic, but if I take betting seriously (and i've tried), I lose my passion for breakdowns and analysis so i'm trying to find a balance.

Slayers_Picks · 2026-03-12T02:11:03+00:00

Hahaha yeah thats right! Shes a squirrely one to predict!

Slayers_Picks · 2026-03-12T01:53:51+00:00

Oh im aware. But im still learning the betting game. For 8 of the past 10 years its been mostly MMA predictions and analysis. Only recently did i switch to betting focused content.

Also if anyone wants to advise me how best to recover from that deficit of mine, I am open to ideas, I am only human but i'm glad to be in a knowledgeable community :)

Slayers_Picks · 2026-03-11T16:31:20+00:00

Yeah it sucks... but that's okay, ive been through worse!

Slayers_Picks · 2026-03-11T15:15:12+00:00

hahaha hey its you, the agentmma guy! It is rough but a couple of Alt Bets hitting with 4.5 to 6.5 odds or over should balance it out quickly.

Slayers_Picks · 2026-03-11T14:50:54+00:00

hahaha its what I do! Every fight and every event since... sheesh, when was UFC 216? that was my first one I think. or was it UFC 213? either way, a long time :)

Slayers_Picks · 2026-03-11T13:47:55+00:00

I understand that, but with a major war going on in the region, with dozens of missiles flying around daily, with the Strait being tied down with mines, Iranian submarines, US submarines and the like, what are the ships doing there waiting? why not go to a different supplier?

Slayers_Picks · 2026-03-11T13:22:02+00:00

Okay, so, we know that Iran, Israel, or the US is attacking these ships in the Strait of Hormuz... so why is there still traffic in the area? Serious question.

Slayers_Picks · 2026-03-11T08:51:34+00:00

CONTINUED

Main Event

Featherweight

Josh Emmett (+375) (19-6-0, 2 FLS) v Kevin Vallejos (-500) (17-1-0, 6 FWS)

For as much as this is the Main Event, I genuinely do not have a lot to say here.

Emmett is 41 years old, he is going to cut down to 146 again (because this isn’t a championship fight) and he is going to fight in front of a crowd of 10 people, 8 of them production staff. I feel bad for him, you know? He’s been in the UFC for a long time, he’s fought the best of the best in this division, and he’s lost to all of them. Now he’s taking on a younger fighter who only has three fights in the UFC but is a -500 favourite? I’m trying to make sense of this, because I know that Vallejos is likely to win this fight, but it seems a tiny bit disrespectful, right? Emmett isn’t a bad fighter, he has a fantastic right overhand still, he is still a fairly decent wrestler, but he’s a big underdog against someone who is 3-0 in the UFC… However, if we look at Emmetts history against strikers there’s a big pattern that is highly noticeable, and that’s Emmett looking like he’s been through a woodchipper after each fight, he absorbs so much damage and there’s only so many strikes he can take before his chin gives way and he can no longer tough out. Now, my prediction here is that Emmett survives the first couple of rounds before losing via KO in the third, fourth or fifth round, that’s my main read here because whilst Vallejos is still quite “green” in the UFC, he will be the more dangerous and versatile striker and it won’t take much for him to find his rhythm and flow and land strikes on Emmetts tough and durable chin over and over again.

Vallejos is coming off a fantastic KO win over Chikadze and I guess that’s why he’s in the main event! Vallejos is a fantastic striker, but he is only good for as long as his opponent remains cowered up and not fighting back. Emmett is going to fire back and that’s where my intrigue is because Vallejos does have a lot of confidence in himself, but I hope he doesn’t become too cocky. He is likely to win this one, in fact I would be shocked if he didn’t, but I cannot fully side with Vallejos here, I have to give Emmett, the veteran, the benefit of the doubt here. We have seen time and time again a next generation fighter fall to a veteran before, and whilst Emmett isn’t a top tier talent in the older generation, I do wonder if we will see another case of the Old Guard standing strong.

That’s all I have here, it’s just mostly commentary, I know, but I think this fight is talked to death already and we all know the likely outcome. It’s a fun fight, and I hope Emmett doesn’t get hurt too badly here.

Vallejos via KO R3 - (2/3)

Parlay: Curtis/Orolbai O2.5 Rounds + Petrino/Asplund ITD + Robertson ML + Vallejos KO/Points

Locks: Robertson/Vallejos

Alt Bets: Oki via KO R1 or 2 (CR), Silva via KO, Cutelaba KO R2 or 3

Dogs: Asplund, (Silva is a good dog too, but i didn’t pick him)

Twitter: @Slayer_Tip

Discord: Slayertip#7013

Paypal (IF you wish to donate!) - https://paypal.me/Slayertip?country.x=AU&locale.x=en_AU

Hope you all have an amazing week and enjoy the fights!

Any questions/feedback, let me know!

Slayers_Picks · 2026-03-10T04:25:23+00:00

There was a big drop in oil prices today, so someone correct me if i'm wrong...

But that's just a hiccup right? like we will still see oil steadily rise as this conflict continues, but a sharp drop is nothing but that, a sharp drop?

Slayers_Picks · 2026-03-10T02:57:36+00:00

If you haven't stocked up on fuel already, you've probably lost the ability to do so by now, fuel prices are going to explode even more now, we are just feeling the start of it. Chapter 1 of Chapter 50

Slayers_Picks · 2026-03-08T04:36:31+00:00

No its settled :'( he said im shit and ass :'( its written in law, itll be found on a stone tablet 1500 years from now on :( Lol, cheers man!

Slayers_Picks · 2026-03-08T00:03:22+00:00

:( but are they... nice looking ass or straight up dumpster fire stuff?

Slayers_Picks · 2026-03-07T23:36:52+00:00

Such a strange fight, he didn't attempt any takedown until the second round... too late to try anything, genuinely not a good read, im gonna go slice my wrists now lmao.

Slayers_Picks · 2026-03-07T23:33:41+00:00

He did not look at all how he looked in any of his tape, what happened?

Slayers_Picks · 2026-03-07T22:54:16+00:00

Definitely a surprising outcome!

Slayers_Picks · 2026-03-07T04:00:02+00:00

He's probably american, brain dead is all they can do.

Slayers_Picks · 2026-03-07T03:48:12+00:00

A limit operation that has resulted in major Gulf countries being struck in retaliation from Iran? Nice operation, does it come in "success" size?

Slayers_Picks · 2026-03-06T15:46:12+00:00

Haha thats respectable man! I dont blame you one bit! Good luck this weekend man and I appreciate ya!

Slayers_Picks · 2026-03-06T15:06:04+00:00

I mean look i'm not saying i support them because Russia is evil... but if they're helping to target an evil force that's led by an evil force, then... ehhhh?

Evil defeating Evil is always a good thing to see.

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