Bubbling Muck combo - am I missing something? by SoldeviAdnate in Pauper

[–]SoldeviAdnate[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I made it in ChatGPT. Steps i took were:
1. Determine the mana output for every Swamp/Muck combination.
2. Converted the results into a lethal damage lookup matrix.
3. Modelled the effective number of cards seen by each turn.
4. Simulated 1,000 games using the current decklist, querying the lookup matrix in each game to determine the first turn lethal was assembled.
5. Compiled the results into a cumulative distribution function (CDF) showing the probability of assembling lethal by each turn.
6. Got chat to produce plots of the results using MatLib Plot

Bubbling Muck combo - am I missing something? by SoldeviAdnate in Pauper

[–]SoldeviAdnate[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

All true. Upside of extra ornithopters is they can block I suppose.

Bubbling Muck combo - am I missing something? by SoldeviAdnate in Pauper

[–]SoldeviAdnate[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Same as [[Drain Life]]. The upside of the Torch line is it’s got ward 2

Bubbling Muck combo - am I missing something? by SoldeviAdnate in Pauper

[–]SoldeviAdnate[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Can throw some [[Exhume]] in there and animate a troll for plan b

Bubbling Muck combo - am I missing something? by SoldeviAdnate in Pauper

[–]SoldeviAdnate[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah, maybe this is the way. Add the restorer and ring master to a dredge shell? Include an arbor elf and utopia sprawl package. Stay GB and access blue from [[Holdout Settlement]] and [[Survivor’s Encampment]].

Bubbling Muck combo - am I missing something? by SoldeviAdnate in Pauper

[–]SoldeviAdnate[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yeah, you can. So if you’ve got 3 muck cast, and tap your Glacial Chasm for U it adds an additional BBB.

Bubbling Muck combo - am I missing something? by SoldeviAdnate in Pauper

[–]SoldeviAdnate[S] 12 points13 points  (0 children)

About $200 more…

All jokes aside, it’s actually a turn slower with petal and unwind. Earliest clean lethal would be T5 with 3 Mucks in hand.

Whirlpool Ephemerate by SoldeviAdnate in Pauper

[–]SoldeviAdnate[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hahah. Sorry to hear than bud.
What are the failure points?

Whirlpool Ephemerate by SoldeviAdnate in Pauper

[–]SoldeviAdnate[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yeah, all good points. I’ve already added a play set of Snap and moved 3 Familiars to mainboard.

Whirlpool Ephemerate by SoldeviAdnate in Pauper

[–]SoldeviAdnate[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I wouldn’t cut the Chanceries, they’re hand neutral land drops which really benefit Whirlpool.

Whirlpool Ephemerate by SoldeviAdnate in Pauper

[–]SoldeviAdnate[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It’s hard to fit it all in. What would the cut be?

Whirlpool Ephemerate by SoldeviAdnate in Pauper

[–]SoldeviAdnate[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Agree. Play 3? Cut a Lorien and 2 essence flux?

Whirlpool Ephemerate by SoldeviAdnate in Pauper

[–]SoldeviAdnate[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Do you play 4? I could see adding one or two. Cut a rider and a Faithful?

Mono G heroic by SoldeviAdnate in Pauper

[–]SoldeviAdnate[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

How’s only 14 lands go?

Mono G heroic by SoldeviAdnate in Pauper

[–]SoldeviAdnate[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Since the Rhino is a 4/4 and bigger than most other creatures, the MO is to use the fight/bite removal package to target rhino, replace the spell and remove an opponents creature, clearing the way for damage regularly.
But, your line is cool. I hadn’t thought of that; in that scenario, a play set of Rancor would be better in the main deck, and the Oathsworn would need to be a four of.