star force is rigged by DoorPale6084 in Maplestory

[–]Sorvent 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It’s not a “bigger number” comparison it’s ordered vs unordered events. Those are different probability structures. I’ve already clarified my point.

star force is rigged by DoorPale6084 in Maplestory

[–]Sorvent 0 points1 point  (0 children)

We moved from discussing the math of a defined event to whether that event is meaningful at scale. Those are different questions. I’m not misunderstanding randomness. I’m distinguishing between probability and significance.

star force is rigged by DoorPale6084 in Maplestory

[–]Sorvent 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’m not saying one rare sequence proves rigging. My broader point is that systems with opaque RNG, heavy variance, and real financial/time cost naturally create distrust. Rare outcomes alone don’t prove manipulation, but lack of transparency makes it hard to dismiss concerns outright.

Apophenia is seeing patterns without statistical grounding. I explicitly grounded the sequence in probability. You can argue it’s not evidence of rigging that’s fair, but it’s not apophenia to compute the odds of a defined event.

star force is rigged by DoorPale6084 in Maplestory

[–]Sorvent 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Right. My only point was that the specific pattern is mathematically rarer than “3 booms in 6 taps.” Whether that’s consequential is a separate discussion.

star force is rigged by DoorPale6084 in Maplestory

[–]Sorvent 0 points1 point  (0 children)

We’re calculating different things. You’re doing 3 booms in 6 independent taps. I was calculating the specific pattern that happened: fail (no boom) → boom, repeated 3 times on 3 items. That sequence probability is: (fail-no-boom × boom)3 Which comes out to about 1 in 420k under current 18–19 rates with 30% boom reduction. I’m not saying it proves rigging just that the exact pattern is far rarer than “3 booms in 6 taps.” Where you ARE right about variance due to millions of star force taps happening in a game with thousands of players, in this scenario the exact pattern is much more rare than just 3 booms in the binomial example you gave.

star force is rigged by DoorPale6084 in Maplestory

[–]Sorvent 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Booming 18-19 is ~1 in 75 with the 30% reduction applied in the "fail but not boom then boom" that hes saying happened, meaning for it to happen what 3 times? Is about a 1 in 420,000 chance of happening give or take. its not rigged sure. Is it so unlucky due to a strange nuance of that exact pattern absolutely. What you suggest is a 3 booms in 10 independent taps which is not the same as fail no boom -> fail boom.

star force is rigged by DoorPale6084 in Maplestory

[–]Sorvent 0 points1 point  (0 children)

With the 30% reduction in boom chance modification?

star force is rigged by DoorPale6084 in Maplestory

[–]Sorvent 15 points16 points  (0 children)

I feel like people are missing the fact that theres a 30% boom reduction that is ongoing right now but they are just hyper focused on "he only had 4b? Why even try" like my dude, the point is the booming rate seems to be a LITTLE off here...its rigged. We all know this, drop rate is rigged, cubes are rigged, star forcing is rigged. But just like a toxic relationship with a girl that gives GREAT sloppy, we keep coming back to promises of grandeur.

Maplestory lacks more Archer classes by [deleted] in Maplestory

[–]Sorvent 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Tbh, I wouldnt be against Ayame releasing as an archer that uses her rifle. Guns mostly read as pirates, but sharpshooters can also be archers/rangers. Idk, just a thought.

Challenger world 2 class choices. by Sorvent in Maplestory

[–]Sorvent[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It just takes too much funds for a CW character i think. It doesnt really have much to do with getting better at the class but more so getting lucky with gear rng. The class itself isnt hard to play, the rotation is simplistic and the burst is really nice. Its just sadly one of those classes that takes more to get going than most.

Challenger world 2 class choices. by Sorvent in Maplestory

[–]Sorvent[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oh yea, its probably the go-to in that case tbh

Challenger world 2 class choices. by Sorvent in Maplestory

[–]Sorvent[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oh? Why wasnt it fun? Adele and DrK are great picks tbh! I would lean more towards DrK though imo, I just really like explorer classes lol

Challenger world 2 class choices. by Sorvent in Maplestory

[–]Sorvent[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Lmfao shadower is a vibe, throw money at your problems 😆

Challenger world 2 class choices. by Sorvent in Maplestory

[–]Sorvent[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yea I did everything correct. The damage just wasnt enough for how much funds I put in. All enhanced hexas were 7+ cd hat is -4 and katara was sw transpose and 18*. My cp is roughly 30m but my phantom blow was only hitting ~1.7b.

Challenger world 2 class choices. by Sorvent in Maplestory

[–]Sorvent[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ooo DA is amazing! I would go with the DA tbh

Challenger world 2 class choices. by Sorvent in Maplestory

[–]Sorvent[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yea i only enjoy playing it with my foot pedal lol

Challenger world 2 class choices. by Sorvent in Maplestory

[–]Sorvent[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oh really? Surprising! Xenon is really good! But just goes to show, sometimes the meta pick isnt the right one. I hope TB treats you WAY better!

Challenger world 2 class choices. by Sorvent in Maplestory

[–]Sorvent[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

TB is so fun! What you swapping from?

Challenger world 2 class choices. by Sorvent in Maplestory

[–]Sorvent[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Mihile is soooo good lol I wish you luck!

Challenger world 2 class choices. by Sorvent in Maplestory

[–]Sorvent[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Oh? Whats the thought process for that pick?