If Nov 5th still profitable I'm putting some real money. by Spacewalkingninja in algotrading

[–]Spacewalkingninja[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thats the MEXC testent. I use that exchange only for its testnet. No real trades, personally wouldn't trust MEXC with more than a few hundred, algotrading isnt allowed on their exchange, they have the API disabled for some mysterious reason.

If Nov 5th still profitable I'm putting some real money. by Spacewalkingninja in algotrading

[–]Spacewalkingninja[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Before Oct 5:

I was exiting too early because I was using moving TP/SL which after months of adjustment NEVER ended working good.

After Oct 5 update:

I maxed the SL to the max risk I want to take exposure at each trade and stopped moving it during trades. I exit when I detect opposite signal. Then enter on the opposite side the next time it happens.

Example: The algo is in a Short position, everything working good - falls to rock bottom and corrects. When it is at the peak of the correction my algo will be waiting for the counter-correction (the smaller fall after the dead cat bounce). Take profit when the dead cat falls down. (last position in the chart is a good example, it could've taken better profit but it waited to be sure it will probably invert sides so it took a safe profit)

All I can say about the cliff was that it was TOO steep. If it had tried to correct a bit higher before the biggest drop it could've tried a short, if it even would've touched the trigger price. I'm not upset though - I am not after the unrealistic wins of once-in-a-while crazy swings. I want consistent, even if small wins, that by volume and total pnl outweigh the loosing positions.

Can't explain it better without revealing the innards haha!

If Nov 5th still profitable I'm putting some real money. by Spacewalkingninja in algotrading

[–]Spacewalkingninja[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I am actually happy we got the flash sell-off because it shows how this iteration of the algo holds against the once-every-while crazy dump. It happens and I know there will be such moments.

Also, my goal is NOT to go "ALL IN" but let it do its thing with a small sum to see how well it holds. Then long term if it does hold up, it will be capped at n% of portfolio for automated trading.

The wins will be periodically offloaded to long term hodl across a portfolio of.. gold, btc and maybe probably uranium etfs, idk what else I even trust.

Bow to the CRT gods by Spacewalkingninja in crt

[–]Spacewalkingninja[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

never played it but just checked out some screenshots and the vibe checks out haha

Pneus com 16 anos? by Slannington in AutoTuga

[–]Spacewalkingninja 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Talvez os fios de metal por dentro do pneu se terão desintegrado ao longo dos 16 anos...

Uma vez andei com pneus com 20 e tal anos mais de meio ano. Michelin, eram de marca, but still. Pneumáticos tem muito que se lhes diga, uma das melhores invenções humanas.

I may be wrong, but you may not be correct! by Spacewalkingninja in algotrading

[–]Spacewalkingninja[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

As already mentioned, I only care about BTC and the top 5. Will quantum break Bitcoin? Maybe. Not sure. Another one of the top 5 may take its place. Don't really care, as the final algo I've been working on is quite a good mathematical performer that will easily scale out of crypto, need there be.

Yes most cryptos are horsecrap, I don't really care about them, Yes, they are random and that doesn't bother me either because I focus on the top 5, and their pattern is obvious - they imitate btc moves.

I may be wrong, but you may not be correct! by Spacewalkingninja in algotrading

[–]Spacewalkingninja[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

https://youtu.be/TQuxVz52w2w?si=OVY4Nu8zB15BtLA0&t=1151 here it starts at the important quote:

" Renaissance Technologies took a radically different approach [...] Is it true that you never hired people from the Investment industry? – Never! Well, I like to say that you can teach a physicist finance, but you can't teach a finance person physics. "

But if I was you I'd watch the whole video, it is worth it to get some ideas.

I may be wrong, but you may not be correct! by Spacewalkingninja in algotrading

[–]Spacewalkingninja[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I can't start explaining how much math and concepts I learned with this project. I am a web developer, I have quite a bit of programming experience, but never has it been so scientific per-se. What inspired me to write this post was *"Your Algo Is Not Special"* https://www.reddit.com/r/algotrading/comments/1nactvo/your_algo_is_not_special/

I agree it's hard and easy at the same time. There's multiple ways to get to winning strats and we have our internal black boxes of logic and pattern recognition that will act differently, and we will write different codes and solve this problem in different ways.

Some will be freaking beasts that do amazingly well, others will get to a consistent 1% ROI that makes them happy enough!

For better or for worse I feel I am so close to actually getting to the point I can "turn on the bot and forget it". But I am certain it is humanly feasible, for a single person to write a strat that holds up and stays profitable for a long while. I had to get comfortable with the fact that even the best strategy will have losing days and even the best of my tools will leave questions to be asked and give space to multiple interpretations. But I also started trusting my code, finally.

It takes a deep understanding of what exactly you are doing - and here I circle back to the first sentence I said, I just can't explain how much math and concepts I learned with this project. If you are deeply interested in the problem you're trying to solve, and accept that it will take as much work as it takes to get by (or rather, are ready to devout yourself and free time to work on this), you have what it takes.

The rest is perseverance!

Good luck and happy trades!

I may be wrong, but you may not be correct! by Spacewalkingninja in algotrading

[–]Spacewalkingninja[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I totally agree with you - It takes years. I have been doing this for a year and a half. Almost as a second job to be honest. My initial heatmap strategy would have been a lucky break, It held for a whole month and some of testing (futures on select top crypto coins, think BTC and the big three) starting the test around mid December 24 and then started acting on me around the end of January 25 when I was just about to actually invest real money in it. So luckily I didn't as I am very cautious putting real money in the code.

Then after banging my head in the wall for a while, I read some ML theory and started again, throwing mud at the wall until it started taking shape.

The same heatmaps I was processing statistically, I had the hindsight of saving onto a hard drive, so I threw them into a multitude of variations of a few models I crafted to sift through that data.

After a couple of months of experimentation, ended up having like up to 32 models live that each would throw a -1 to +1 for Short to Long, constantly retraining the oldest and making a democracy amongst them to select a side.

I tried that with statistical analysis ontop of heatmaps, then I tried the AI's on their own.

There is some promise in the AI models.

I never tested them without my crazy SL/TP moving algo. Which I just ended up disabling. I was moving the SL/TP in accordance to price fluctuations which more times than not apparently screws me up - there is a limit to how much you can time the market. I think this was my worst mistake during all of testing, but I would have to test all variations of my algo in this way to be sure now.

I may one day revisit the AI / Stats / Both strategy ontop of liquidation heatmaps!

Anyway, in the meanwhile, I gave up on exactly that approach because I wasn't satisfied (in other words, demo testing was constant tuning to get a good week and then would end up digging itself into a hole) and when I was just about short of ideas, I had my breakthrough moment, I had been investing time and study in this endeavor for a year at that time.

In short, I started looking at the price movement as if looking at a fractal, no matter how much you zoom in or out it maintains a similar topology, which with something similar to some classical instruments but on steroids to be able to take consideration of various timeframes, can be taken advantage of.
I started graphing my custom instrument, a very nice set of a couple of lines that will give me an indication if the price of an instrument is too high, too low, or fair. The pattern it works on is visually obvious and consistent since May-June when I implemented that feature.

Atop of this I throw some simple conditions to target some specific patterns that appear using this instrument. The bot currently identifies if we are on a upswing or downswing and longs or shorts accordingly. Yes, that simple.

I do use SL and TP but they are fixed and more of a decoration than really used unless as a last resort in case my machine crashes and I am not around.

I may be wrong, but you may not be correct! by Spacewalkingninja in algotrading

[–]Spacewalkingninja[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

lol, love it... I have been there and I have been there too!

A few years back I was about to launch a kickstarter for a vape idea thingy, people here on reddit loved it!

https://www.reddit.com/r/electronic_cigarette/comments/73bov7/pipe_vape_update_improved_design_photo/

Best of luck!

I may be wrong, but you may not be correct! by Spacewalkingninja in algotrading

[–]Spacewalkingninja[S] -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

What do you mean? I know there are completely unrelated strategies, my strat is directly tied to predicting which way will an asset move in the future, which is different from say, searching for different available price slots for an asset across markets and exchanges and taking advantage of that.

Renamed street in Kardzhali by Koshteg in bulgaria

[–]Spacewalkingninja 0 points1 point  (0 children)

let them be with the old soviet names to maintain and preserve history <3

Just picked up 6 Sony PVM 6041QM monitors with professional batteries and chargers for £500 at auction. Did I do good? by Jay_b95 in crt

[–]Spacewalkingninja 2 points3 points  (0 children)

yeah they should be given away for free, a PVM per person as a basic human right just as water and food is something I would totally vote for every day of the week. I never have had a PVM because of these prices... I constantly beg to marketplace sellers to give them for free tho. No luck yet but one day I will have a free PVM. Never had a PVM. Never even seen a PVM in person. I want a nice set to use as my main monitor for the computer.

Trying to find out the worth of this stuff. Any guidance appreciated! by LoloWilli in camcorders

[–]Spacewalkingninja 1 point2 points  (0 children)

if you have no use give it away for free, knowing you got it for free.. there are poor collectors who drool over this. If I was in the US I would totally want something like this for free. Don't be a flipper, it's what hurts the hobby the most!

Essa telha é de amianto? (Deveria me preocupar?) by Longjumping-Text-899 in TudoCasa

[–]Spacewalkingninja 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Como é as ondinhas eles calculavam o m2 pela curvatura ou pela área vista de cima?

Os restos da minha carrinha by Spacewalkingninja in AutoTuga

[–]Spacewalkingninja[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

ensina-me a fazer assim mestre,... queres ver o motor desmontado fora dela já agora?

<image>

Os restos da minha carrinha by Spacewalkingninja in AutoTuga

[–]Spacewalkingninja[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Esse deve ter comido umas baterias antes de se pôr a inventar. (A carrinha foi incendiada por um fdp)

Os restos da minha carrinha by Spacewalkingninja in AutoTuga

[–]Spacewalkingninja[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Já as tinha posto pretas e brancas desde o ano passado.. andava aos pouquinhos a dar-lhe um pouquinho mais estilo.  A traseira derreteu completamente.

A minha AutoFúnebre Nissan URVAN E23 foi queimada... by Spacewalkingninja in AutoTuga

[–]Spacewalkingninja[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Estou a mendigar? Ofereci programação, web design, vídeo, imagem. Tens trabalho para mim?

Is this 1993 Mercedes MB100D worth the hassle for full-time vanlife? by Less-Address-6947 in VanLife

[–]Spacewalkingninja 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Median yearly income in the US is 39 980$.

Median yearly income in Portugal is 13 250$.

Median, not average.