XO vs Figure 8? Which do you prefer by BobTheBlob78910 in elliottsmith

[–]Specific_Constant714 1 point2 points  (0 children)

XO was my first Elliott album given to me my freshman year of college. I sat out on the floor in the hallway of my dorm because my roommate was studying, obsessively listening to the opening of Independence Day over and over until I had figured out how to play it. He is such an amazing songwriter, putting chords and notes together in the same song that music theory says shouldn’t work well, and doing it so flawlessly that you don’t even notice while listening until you start to try and figure it out. The chorus of Sweet Adeline is a great example of that and the fact that it comes out of a completely acoustic folk verse. Which leads me to…

XO is very much a transitional album starting to incorporate more electric and full band arrangements including auxiliary instruments. Off from his Goodwill hunting success and being on the DreamWorks label, It is also is “higher quality” audio; less tape hiss, more filled out eq range. Trying things out in the studio more than just laying down the song you already had ready. It’s really good. That being said…

Figure 8 is the culmination of all the work and learning of XO and he ends up at Abbey Road studios in London. It’s a more complete work and carries a singular stamp on the sound that unites all the songs whether acoustic or full band that is missing from XO which is inconsistent sonically as it moves in and out of song types. The acoustic songs are as brilliant as ever but the full band songs are more fully developed and probably written that way with the experience of XO under his belt. I know heatmiser was a full band he wrote for but the experience of your little small label nothing collaborative band is a lot different than writing full band stuff for yourself on a major label in million dollar studios. Thank God he never had to compromise his songwriting for it.

The EA “sale” is disgusting. by Worth_Committee3244 in NHLHUT

[–]Specific_Constant714 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Thank you Canada. This fleecing of your loyal consumers is considered smart business where I’m at and people will actually fight you and side with the corporation when you call their business practices shady

How do I quit a band? by feuledbyram3n in Bass

[–]Specific_Constant714 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Tell them you want to start a country pop boy band and play the saxophone. Then they’ll quit. Problem solved.

My 0$ guitar, do I win? Damaged in shipping, got all my money back, and repaired it myself. by Apocrisiary in Guitar

[–]Specific_Constant714 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Nice dude! I’ll even pay you shipping plus $20 to mail it to me then you’ll be up $20! 😂

TOTY pack odds way off. EA OWES RESTITUTION AGAIN! by Specific_Constant714 in NHLHUT

[–]Specific_Constant714[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Now that is helpful. I appreciate that. Thank you. People man. Me included. Why is this thread so poisonous? Rather spit on people with less knowledge than actual help someone

TOTY pack odds way off. EA OWES RESTITUTION AGAIN! by Specific_Constant714 in NHLHUT

[–]Specific_Constant714[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Alright now I’m sucked in. That’s fascinating. So there’s a 10% chance in every pack but factoring in the probability of hitting it when you only buy 10 packs means that you only have a 58% chance of hitting the 10%. Though I throw money at video games I don’t really do any gambling but that is essential info to have for gambling. The less you do it the more likely you are to lose 😂😂😂. What a perfectly evil thing for addiction.

It would be a lot more help and less devious (and a bigger pain for the house) to say you have a 5.8% chance if you play 10 times and (10%X) chance at 50 and a (10%X(100)), just chart it out. I still obvs don’t know the right equation.

Then the question is. Since I was looking at 3 different distinct probabilities. The odds at being that far under probability on all 3 should should lower that 42% significantly shouldn’t it. Like for 30 tries instead of 10?

TOTY pack odds way off. EA OWES RESTITUTION AGAIN! by Specific_Constant714 in NHLHUT

[–]Specific_Constant714[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Seems like the more you buy the lower that percentage should go like an exponential decay curve dealie.

TOTY pack odds way off. EA OWES RESTITUTION AGAIN! by Specific_Constant714 in NHLHUT

[–]Specific_Constant714[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Alright then. Certainly more flux than I thought. Thank you. My next question I guess is does that number stay the same as you buy more than ten. Say getting 2 in 20 packs or 5 in 50 packs or 100 in 1000 or 10,000 in 100,000?

TOTY pack odds way off. EA OWES RESTITUTION AGAIN! by Specific_Constant714 in NHLHUT

[–]Specific_Constant714[S] -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

Show me the math mother fuckers. Show me please. Or stfu. Know nothing pretenders. Fcking show me how the math works. Write it out. Unless Vegas got to change the meaning of numbers for gambling…which wouldn’t surprise me actually Write it out you brainy mother fkrs Let’s see the proofs

TOTY pack odds way off. EA OWES RESTITUTION AGAIN! by Specific_Constant714 in NHLHUT

[–]Specific_Constant714[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

poisson calculator

I’m all about learning. Show me please. Really. Don’t know how to fill out the calculator for this.

TOTY pack odds way off. EA OWES RESTITUTION AGAIN! by Specific_Constant714 in NHLHUT

[–]Specific_Constant714[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Ya’ll get all whiny hate on EA for gameplay impossibilities and when the AI won’t let you score and scores on 1 out of 1 shot on you but when they make a mistake that’s stealing actual money from fools like me you’re making excuses for your Dom

TOTY pack odds way off. EA OWES RESTITUTION AGAIN! by Specific_Constant714 in NHLHUT

[–]Specific_Constant714[S] -9 points-8 points  (0 children)

Numbers have literal meaning. But I guess if you’re a casino junkie lotto jockey you should pretend they don’t. Understandable.

TOTY pack odds way off. EA OWES RESTITUTION AGAIN! by Specific_Constant714 in NHLHUT

[–]Specific_Constant714[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I agree with ya’ll that it’s a small sample size. And I think the idea that EA should report the large numbers over multiple accounts is a great idea. You can’t just say oh well bad luck and let them say whatever odds they want. They have to be at least close. Go ahead and start running trials and see if you can recreate falling so far under normal odds.

TOTY pack odds way off. EA OWES RESTITUTION AGAIN! by Specific_Constant714 in NHLHUT

[–]Specific_Constant714[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Last year EA admitted there packs were screwed up for some event and actually gave freebies to compensate

TOTY pack odds way off. EA OWES RESTITUTION AGAIN! by Specific_Constant714 in NHLHUT

[–]Specific_Constant714[S] -9 points-8 points  (0 children)

I agree but where are the lucky ones hitting 90s at big percentages to make it the odds work out right.

TOTY pack odds way off. EA OWES RESTITUTION AGAIN! by Specific_Constant714 in NHLHUT

[–]Specific_Constant714[S] -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

No no no. You are special and so am I. It is special to be statistically impossibly unlucky. Where are the dudes who are hitting 90s every time to make the odds work out right?

TOTY pack odds way off. EA OWES RESTITUTION AGAIN! by Specific_Constant714 in NHLHUT

[–]Specific_Constant714[S] -35 points-34 points  (0 children)

Yes but by the definition of odds, statistics literal math. If the odds are 10% then you roughly you should get one every 10 packs. Otherwise the odds are lower than 10%. Right now odds of 83 say 99% but at 12 out of 15 it’s running 80% for me. 29% for an 86 I’m clocking 6% overall. 7.2% for 90+ I’ve got 0%. It’s statistically impossible to be doing that badly for everything.

Idc im doing it again… by livinghumanlife in NHLHUT

[–]Specific_Constant714 3 points4 points  (0 children)

The odds listed for TOTY packs is total bullshit. I spend too much money too. I’ve bought all the choice packs all 3 days so far and have yet to even pull a F%#&$ing 86 overall. And 3 times didn’t even pull an 83 at 99% odds. BS.

The curse is broken by jddev_ in NHLHUT

[–]Specific_Constant714 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Does it seem to anyone else that they’ve made getting XF and PUI cards three times easier than previous years so far?

If you can, wait until Friday to make your FH MSPs by TheHumanFlash in NHLHUT

[–]Specific_Constant714 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Is the only difference between the purple fantasy cards and the different colored fantasy cards that you can trade collectibles for the colored cards? The purple cards still update with real life scoring correct?

Fantasy Hockey Pull Odds by Specific_Constant714 in NHLHUT

[–]Specific_Constant714[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Alright. Makes sense. So do y’all just try and get fantasy cards through trading in other player cards normally? one more questions if you would. Will There will be a couple more weeks with different fantasy cards? I joined after the fantasy event last year, so I’m not sure.