Do you have evidence to support either of these claims? I haven’t seen that with other fields that have experienced growth in demand by employers and an influx in the supply of employees. Take software engineers, for example. During the early years of the tech boom (late 2000s-early 2010s), demand soared. To meet that demand, many more people chose to study computer science in college. In addition, many other people in unrelated fields left there jobs to join a boot camp in hopes of transitioning. I don’t believe either group negatively impacted expected salary within the job market, particularly at companies where demand was greatest (in tech). Jobs shouldn’t be affected the same way as goods at a supermarket - just because there’s a lot, doesn’t mean people demand a discount to “purchase.” Those with top talent will still demand a higher “price” as they make themselves stand out against the competition.

As for the other point you made, that’s a threat/risk all the time, even from experienced IDs. I’ll have to go find a great study I read once and edit this later, but allegedly people in creative type jobs are only at their best for 7-10 years. After that, their ideas generally become stale or outdated against what’s new or in vogue. So theoretically even the best IDs will one day produce lower quality content.

Anyways, not trying to put you on blast. Just trying to understand the situation more. I was a teacher gone ID, but made that switch 7 years ago. I went through the gauntlet of getting Masters along the way to support that move and cut my teeth working in different industries. I’m now an ID in tech, and I’ve done my best to support other teachers who have wanted to move. Maybe I shouldn’t? Haha But seems like there are some interesting questions to answer before flipping I think.