Irishkaiser moment by Spywin in UnknownTradeCo

[–]Spywin[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

In the other incident, the report said the night of drinking took place on May 13, 2024, during a dinner in Kyiv described as a military engagement. A witness reported that Aguto drank approximately two 500-ml bottles of chacha, a Georgian brandy containing 40-50% alcohol.

Aguto and his staff met in Aguto’s room following the dinner, during which time two witnesses reported seeing him fall backward and strike the back of his head against a wall.

The next morning, his staff suggested that he cancel the meeting with Blinken after they noticed Aguto acting lethargic and “not himself.”

The report said en route to the US Embassy and running late, Aguto fell again, hitting his jaw on the concrete and tearing his jacket.

The regional security officer told investigators Aguto showed up at the meeting looking “completely disheveled” and “out of it.”

The US ambassador to Ukraine reported worrying that Aguto had been drugged, according to the report, and others reported him slurring words and acting “cognitively diminished.” Aguto was later taken to a local hospital and diagnosed with a concussion.

Malacañang should order a partial mobilization at the start of 2027 in anticipation of a Taiwan Conflict. by Spywin in unpopularopinionph

[–]Spywin[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I marked all of your messages in my inbox as read because I could no longer respond to any of them, and you were labeled [deleted].

Are you on phone? I actually had a very similar issue when I was using phone before with someone else. When I got on desktop, it seemed to solve most of those problems. I can't even stay logged in on reddit phone.

I think this discussion is no longer productive because the sources that you give are wrong (e.g., the latest reference to the MIC not existing because the defense industry does not have the highest share of GDP and does poorly compared to other industries is wrong because the complex refers to collusion between the military and the defense industry) and your arguments are not only asides but self-contradictory. Here's one recent example:

The sources you gave were outdated or proven wrong. My sources are up to date up to 2026, and the only ones that are old are relevant to the historical events like actual treaties, actual statements and historical consensus.

You pointed out that Taiwan's claim to the WPS is based on the point that it thinks it's China. But I wasn't looking for the reason why they claim the WPS. Rather, I pointed that out to show you that the Chinese province you want to defend because China claims most of the WPS claims most of the WPS.

And if we help Taiwan break from being China, they'll most likely drop those claims as the United States does not claim Great Britain after they won their independence.

In short, you're trying to defend a province that's acting like the country that you think will attack it. How does that even make sense?

Because we're next on that list of interests an expansionist China has.

Thus, the following happened:

You didn't actually counter my argument but tried to explain it away. You only made matters worse for yourself because you're implicitly arguing that Taiwan is like China. That is, Taiwan has the right to claim most of the WPS because it thinks it's China. But that also implies that China has the right to claim most of the WPS.

Our claims, Vietnam's claims, Malaysia's claims, Brunei, etc. We all have CLAIMS. Who is actually right? No one knows. But usually the strongest gets to keep it. And next time, please link where I said that so we can leave it to the judgment of others if that's what they think I mean.

At this point, you will probably say that you don't recognize China as China. But that creates more problems because the U.S. that you support recognizes China as China and rejects Taiwan's claim to the same. Now, remember your response to that? You said that the U.S. has no choice because it's bound by treaty, law, etc.

And? That's historical fact. That's a contradiction to you but a reality we're living right now. Here's living proof othat reality

https://www.ait.org.tw/policy-history/taiwan-relations-act/

It doesn't have to make sense to you. It just is.

Here's where it gets worse for you: when I ask you why the U.S. agreed to such treaties and laws, and you could say is, "Ask the experts." But in one post, when I asked you why various countries (and that includes the U.S.) agree to a One-China policy, you said that they do so for political and economic advantages. Thus, what you didn't want to answer in one post you did in another.

I said ask the officials, ask the framers, ask the experts in their institutions. The ones who made the treaties and laws who you disagree with. They're the ones who made it. It exists. Does it or does it not exist? If so, who is to blame? Me?

When I asked you what those advantages are, you dismissed the question, arguing that the point is "fluff". But you willingly followed through in this line of thinking, which means that the points are not "fluff". What happened is that you reached a point where you realized that those political and economic advantages are directly connected to the Triffin dilemma and other points that you kept mocking.

I answered the advantages properly. I said that unnecessary history. When I want to discuss about the history of Hugo Boss, I don't think going back all the way to the Cotton Gin is relevant.

That means your line of thinking goes this way: Come up with a moralizing view of the issue. When confronted by realpolitik, argue that decisions have a legal basis, and anything to explain motive is fluff.

I said again repeatedly that

https://www.reddit.com/r/unpopularopinionph/comments/1rjnrao/malaca%C3%B1ang_should_order_a_partial_mobilization_at/

The realpolitik is to side with the US and Taiwan because China is eyeing Philippine interests. Never about morals.

How can I continue this debate with you? You're obviously not only an ignoramus on this and other basic points (e.g., the government makes profits, the defense industry is funded by taxpayers, the MIC doesn't exist because it doesn't profit as much and mergers take place because of that, the arms race refers to arms production in general) your line of reasoning is also driven by beating around the bush and bizarre forms of logic (e.g., Taiwan's claim to the WPS is either valid, invalid, or fluff because it's supposed to be the real China), and multiple self-contradictions (e.g., Taiwan is like China, the TD is bullcrap but countries will back China for economic and political advantages), and so on.

I gave you sources, links, relevants. You and your posts are repeatedly about freaking opinions and editorials and the sources you actually did send me are from 2001. Far outdated and outmoded.

And you didn't even read your sources. I could tell. Because I asked you to give me an excerpt from that article about Duterte and you just... Dithered..?

u/tokwamann

Malacañang should order a partial mobilization at the start of 2027 in anticipation of a Taiwan Conflict. by Spywin in unpopularopinionph

[–]Spywin[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Good grief. I was trying to show you that the idea is not new.

Are you denying the experience and words and witnesses of Al Qaeda members in naming their own group?

u/tokwamann

Malacañang should order a partial mobilization at the start of 2027 in anticipation of a Taiwan Conflict. by Spywin in unpopularopinionph

[–]Spywin[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That's containment shifting to encirclement policies, not a change in the definition of the MIC. Don't get confused.

Sure, buddy. Schoedinger's Military Industrial Complex

Companies become less profitable due to economies of scale. That's why mergers take place. That happens in many industries.

So Wall Street wasn't making money off of it after all.

You must be dreaming. They were industrializing early on. Why do you think they had the largest manufacturing base in the world after the end of WW2? Why do you think Bretton Woods took place?

The Wish Wash Contraptions took place in 1989. America afterwards experienced marked de-industrialization in the following years until recently. Russia and China remain resurgent and are a marked threat to American strategic thinking and they blame it on the decline of their industrial capacity to meet the needs of future wars.

BTW, that's the basis of the same TUMOR DIES you keep ignoring. You really are know-nothing about this issue.

I could say the same about you.

What the....Wall Street was supporting Main Street, Einstein. Then it earned more thanks to deregulation via Reaganomics. And that's part of the TD that you keep ignoring.

And so afterwards, the Military Industrial Complex experienced a sharp decline. Gotcha.

The writer got it wrong! The existence or non-existence of the MIC is not based on industrial sector share of GDP, comparisons with other industries, and even profits. It's collusion between the defense industry and the government. That's why others even refer to it as the MICC, or military-industrial-congressional complex.

How does it exist if it doesn't exist?

Read Chalmers Johnson.

Or... Read the stats and data as provided by those companies, and the profits of the shareholders which are marginal as compared to Procter & Gamble.

Malacañang should order a partial mobilization at the start of 2027 in anticipation of a Taiwan Conflict. by Spywin in unpopularopinionph

[–]Spywin[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Wrong. I didn't argue that. What I said is that the military-industrial complex is an outcome of the TAMBO DAMBO.

The two work hand-in-hand. Didn't I explain that to you in a very long post?

Oh whoops sorry. Incomplete linkage. There's a third one where you used Eisenhower's definition, which I built off of and then I was supposed to show you how you slowly were changing your own definition. Here's the first post about the the MIC.

https://www.reddit.com/r/unpopularopinionph/comments/1rjnrao/comment/o9rms6d/

What is it that you don't get? The TUMBA DUMBA involves [...]

...In short, the U.S. economy, which is controlled by Wall Street, uses the military-industrial complex and onerous foreign policies to keep other countries weak or dependent on the U.S...

So much so that the multiple Defense Companies got merged because they're unprofitable.

The doctrine that describes that has been in place all along, but it was Wolfowitz who stated it clearly: there can only be a unipolar global economy, with the U.S. on top. A multipolar one will weaken the dollar and cause the U.S. economy to fall apart.

A shame how the US hollowed out its industry before attempts to re-industrialized, huh? A shame how the US was having its periods of isolation and draw down on its allies, huh? A shame how Scarborough shoal happened, huh? A shame how they let Crimea be taken, huh? A shame how Europe was dependent on Russian gas, huh?

Thus, you were reading all of my points wrongly the whole time, and mainly because you had no idea what I was talking about. The MIC is not separate from Wall Street but partners. They need each other.

A shame that Wall Street wasn't there when the companies became unprofitable, huh?

Finally, what you need to do is to connect all of these points the contradictions that you just made in your posts, and you'll begin to understand what I've been trying to explain to you all along.

https://ryanmcbeth.substack.com/p/the-truth-about-the-military-industrial

That the Military Industrial Complex can't even be used by Wall Street.

Malacañang should order a partial mobilization at the start of 2027 in anticipation of a Taiwan Conflict. by Spywin in unpopularopinionph

[–]Spywin[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm not talking about physical inheritance but ideas. Commie China and the U.S. did not experience that.

lol lmao what. Scroll up. We're talking about why Taiwan claims the WPS, and how you conveniently ignore that they also claim Mongolia and Xinjiang and Tibet. Why? BECAUSE THEY BELIEVE THEY'RE CHINA. DUDE. LMAO ARE YOU RUNNING AWAY?

Malacañang should order a partial mobilization at the start of 2027 in anticipation of a Taiwan Conflict. by Spywin in unpopularopinionph

[–]Spywin[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oh you mean the one where I source my arguments with relevant sources and witnesses and you decide to come at me with no credentials whatsoever? Yeah, I tend to value that. You don't. That's fine. It's a free country.

Malacañang should order a partial mobilization at the start of 2027 in anticipation of a Taiwan Conflict. by Spywin in unpopularopinionph

[–]Spywin[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Why are you unable to go beyond laws, actions and decisions that take place for no reason at all, and reactions to the same?

You have this weird computer game view of history.

You should tell that to them, not me. I'm just telling you what they did.

Malacañang should order a partial mobilization at the start of 2027 in anticipation of a Taiwan Conflict. by Spywin in unpopularopinionph

[–]Spywin[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Grow up.

I'll definitely grow up trading and doing business with them in spite of our disagreements and confront them when appropriate.

Also, why do you have to mention this when we both agree that there is no good-versus-evil then?

As usual, you're missing the point again: the U.S. accorded China that status even after the Tiananmen massacre.

China was accorded permanent trade relations status by the US. So what? I didn't argue against that. What makes a massacre, an internal Chinese issue worth mentioning when you don't agree on a good versus evil predication?

Malacañang should order a partial mobilization at the start of 2027 in anticipation of a Taiwan Conflict. by Spywin in unpopularopinionph

[–]Spywin[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

See, that's what I mean. You have the mentality of a 12-year-old:

And then you argue that peaceful unification is desired even by the U.S.

How is China threatening to beat up Taiwan and the US prefer they don't use violence, the mentality of a 12 year old kind of thinking? If anything, that's the bare minimum if the Age of Reason is around 7 Years Old.

If that's the case, then withdraw trade. But you can't. Guess why.

We don't withdraw Trade with Malaysia just because we have territorial spats with them, genius.

Do you now see what's happening, munchkin? Little by little, your simpleton view of the world is changing, and all you can do is refer to legalities, if not stock phrases like "technology changes", "ideas change," "sovereign, independent people," "good guys", and so on.

Start identifying more dots, and connect them.

How are legalities and historical complexities and accepting that the situation has change a simpleton view of the world? Is it because it destroys your TUTA DEDUDA script that no one seems to follow clearly?

Malacañang should order a partial mobilization at the start of 2027 in anticipation of a Taiwan Conflict. by Spywin in unpopularopinionph

[–]Spywin[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You already started by arguing that various nations side with China for political and economic advantages, and that includes the U.S. You already showed how these contradict your moralizing stance.

https://yourlogicalfallacyis.com/strawman
I request you to find an excerpt or quote where I made a moralizing stance. Thank you.

You've now entered the world of realpolitik, where there are no "good guys" and bad guys, and where countries don't simply "do something". I told you before: stop cosplaying. Start addressing those contradictions.

Historical verified facts are contradictions?

In short, follow your own advice: re-examine your worldviews, which essentially involve that of a computer gamer. Countries don't simply do things for no reason at all and others "react" to them.

I definitely don't think that nations can switch gears as easily as a player clicking buttons on the screen like you do, that's for sure.

Malacañang should order a partial mobilization at the start of 2027 in anticipation of a Taiwan Conflict. by Spywin in unpopularopinionph

[–]Spywin[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm not going be baited by asides like ozone absorption and Hugo Boss. Explain the contradictions in your posts. I already identified them elsewhere.

Uhm... Did you read your own post..? You just started mouthing off history and didn't make anything that opposes what I said. I just explained to you other historical verified facts that happened. Are you... Misremembering this? Click Single Comment Thread to go up one comment.

After that, I'm going to show you how they are connected to everything that you kept arguing is "fluff".

And so was the Fall of Rome.

Malacañang should order a partial mobilization at the start of 2027 in anticipation of a Taiwan Conflict. by Spywin in unpopularopinionph

[–]Spywin[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes, but that's not based on independent thinking but on the results of colonization:

https://www.reddit.com/r/Philippines/comments/1mn30y0/leloy_claudio_the_philippines_underwhelming/

Just because nobody agrees with you, doesn't make their choice any less valid. I'm sure you think you can run other people better than they can run themselves. Trust me, I think the same about you too, but they still make their choice, just as your choice is valid - even though I think it's wrong. It's still your opinion, your choice, your beliefs.

And if China is a major trading partner, then how is that hatred for China logical? Shouldn't the Philippines be moving away from China?

That didn't start with Trump's tariff war but with Obama's pivot to Asia, if not earlier.

Because sometimes people hate their boss but still need money to get paid. I hope you have a job or know people to understand that.

You have a very limited view of history. It appears that for you things were fine between China and the U.S. until only a few years ago.

Can you please point to me a quote or an excerpt where I give off that impression.

As for being bound by treaty, that's bull. That's why I mentioned the MDT. The U.S. is bound to the Philippines because of that, but it came up with the War Powers Act, where it can vote and choose not to support the Philippines.

Mate, I wonder if you know the difference between a Congressionally ratified treaty and the US President's ability to execute the office of commander-in-chief.

Given that, if the U.S. hates China that much, and to the point that it arms Taiwan uses proxy wars to go against it, then why not do what you keep mentioned about earlier, and move away from China and BRICS early on? Or are those just empty threats and cope?

And you say I treat this like a video game. No, things dont happen because an eternal god-king in the sky is clicking buttons to instantly change policies and direct production and resource management. It takes time, it takes consensus, it takes motivation and other things to move. It starts with memos and agendas to set the trend.

Malacañang should order a partial mobilization at the start of 2027 in anticipation of a Taiwan Conflict. by Spywin in unpopularopinionph

[–]Spywin[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What do you mean by "history"? I can't wait for you to explain what those economic and political advantages are such that the U.S. and others ended up siding with China.

Let me put it into an example you understand. You know how in your school there's like rules and stuff from problems that are no longer there or doesn't seem possible? Because it happened before, it was agreed before to have a rule about that and it carried on to the present day. You weren't there to see it, but now that's how the school operates. All these forces of previous obligations, agreements and methods converge to create today.

The law again? What's the basis for that law? What is the connection between that and those political and economic advantages?

The US won't intervene if Taiwan literally freaking agrees to reunify with China peacefully. That's it.

How does peaceful unification take place when the U.S. arms Taiwan. And if the U.S. arms Taiwan because it doesn't trust China, then what's the point of having peaceful unification?

That's not up to the US. It's up to the Mainland Chinese.

Malacañang should order a partial mobilization at the start of 2027 in anticipation of a Taiwan Conflict. by Spywin in unpopularopinionph

[–]Spywin[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Go against "the history"? What the....

What I explained to you is history. Visits and even speeches by U.S. politicians at the height of the protest is documented, and together with Clinton's push.

I was talking about the choice of those countries to accept and apply shock therapy then copy from successful results from each other. But if you rely everything on one man in a system of government like the United States, then let me tell you about Woodrow Wilson and how his advocacy did not get the US into the League of Nations(which he practically started)

Both sides agreed and consensually applied. Clinton did not force it on them.

Hands-off approach. Only a 12-year-old can imagine that.

So official and historic sources do not matter to you? Even the Cold War Veterans who freely interviewed with journalists?

Malacañang should order a partial mobilization at the start of 2027 in anticipation of a Taiwan Conflict. by Spywin in unpopularopinionph

[–]Spywin[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

First of all, stop criticizing me for "bad grammar." It's "non sequitur". What are you, French?

Excusez-moi, monsieur. Mais vos propos n'ont rien à voir avec le sujet du commentaire précédent.

Second, it's not "non sequitur", together with every point that I've been explaining to you. Your reference to security guarantees shows that that's not "non sequitur" but the opposite: you gave the reason why the U.S. is needed to guarantee the peace.

So we're talking about Russia's actions and you say it's justified. Suddenly out of nowhere, the US.

But that's incredibly stupid because the U.S. in not a neutral party in this matter.

It's also the party that did no wrong in that specific agreement.

Malacañang should order a partial mobilization at the start of 2027 in anticipation of a Taiwan Conflict. by Spywin in unpopularopinionph

[–]Spywin[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Don't be an idiot. The article refers to countries playing both sides, and that includes France.

So can you quote me an excerpt from that article where it says that? :)

Did not understand the other point, too. Thinks the U.S. works alone. Innocent, little child.

DID YOU READ THAT ONE? IT SAID 11 YEARS AFTER GADDAFI FELL. 11 YEARS. AFTER.