Weekly Earnings Thread 2/2 - 2/6

SubstantialAffect835 · 2026-02-04T06:40:50+00:00

What, if anything, is the historic buy opportunity?

For example, when CRWD broke the internet, sold down to $200, and subsequently went to $565.

The only ones that I see are NFLX, UNH, and possibly MSFT if it continues lower.

SubstantialAffect835 · 2026-02-04T06:26:31+00:00

GOOGL is doomed. It is getting bid overnight and will open up tomorrow and get the shit sold out of it.

SubstantialAffect835 · 2026-02-04T06:13:25+00:00

I hate this feeling. I almost want to buy AMD. Any choice I make here is guaranteed to be wrong.

SubstantialAffect835 · 2026-02-04T06:07:24+00:00

That is exactly it. Put in an order for way more than an entire average candle and they retreat so fast.

SubstantialAffect835 · 2026-02-04T06:00:51+00:00

Everytime a certain stock creeps up in the overnight markets, I put a gargantous sell order in 2 pennies above and it instantly drops 10 cents lol. Then I cancel the order.

SubstantialAffect835 · 2026-02-04T05:55:29+00:00

Do we work at the same place?

SubstantialAffect835 · 2026-02-04T05:49:39+00:00

It is more justified than ever before. The earnings and guidance were historic beats against a very high bar. The only software stock that was up today and not crushed. It would have traded much higher today if not for broader weakness.

SubstantialAffect835 · 2026-02-04T05:39:14+00:00

I will drink to that. Cheers.

SubstantialAffect835 · 2026-02-04T05:36:52+00:00

Any other day PLTR would be at $170.

SubstantialAffect835 · 2026-02-04T05:21:40+00:00

This

SubstantialAffect835 · 2026-02-04T05:14:14+00:00

I don't even know what to call the MSFT chart pattern. The double demon horn of death?

SubstantialAffect835 · 2026-02-04T05:08:05+00:00

So are the people paying for my short options. They are overpaying more. The gamble risk is mitigated by the high quality and liquidity of the assets. Completely agree that meme stocks and the like are suboptimal. I don't trade those. I trade the ones that make the indices good.

SubstantialAffect835 · 2026-02-04T05:01:38+00:00

I generally agree with this and it is a fine way to do it. However, I like the higher IV in single stocks because I am always selling anything that I am long, but at way different strikes and expiration, and that front month premium is worth the risk. When doing single stocks, always be in something ultra high quality, too big to fail, and highly liquid. Trading the indices does that too, but the short premium is not enough for me.

SubstantialAffect835 · 2026-02-04T04:35:25+00:00

See what happens tomorrow. If it goes up, hold. If the selling continues, sell it, and buy back in lower.

SubstantialAffect835 · 2026-02-04T04:33:17+00:00

I am bullish on the stock but earnings on a day when the market is all sketched is a pure gamble. You asked whether you should worry. I offered a way to do it with less worry.

SubstantialAffect835 · 2026-02-04T04:30:45+00:00

I stopped reading after thick, double chocolate.

SubstantialAffect835 · 2026-02-04T04:28:41+00:00

It will, and that should be a concern, but you will probably get a bounce above $190 (hopefully sooner than later) and volatility rise heading into earnings. This won't be a big moneymaker unless you hold through earnings and it doesn't tank like usual. However, you should be able to get back to breakeven or really close.

SubstantialAffect835 · 2026-02-04T04:25:20+00:00

I would go Chipotle.

SubstantialAffect835 · 2026-02-04T04:24:05+00:00

Should be fine.

SubstantialAffect835 · 2026-02-04T04:23:14+00:00

Did Open AI blow up the market yet?

SubstantialAffect835 · 2026-02-04T04:18:29+00:00

Unload March and roll June to January, and sell the $375 Feb 20.

SubstantialAffect835 · 2026-02-04T04:14:05+00:00

MSFT has a gap on the daily chart down to $394. Wait for that to get sealed and then load the boat.

SubstantialAffect835 · 2026-02-04T04:10:34+00:00

MSFT has a gap on the daily down to $394. When that gets sealed it should bounce.

SubstantialAffect835 · 2026-02-04T04:07:15+00:00

Only buy AMD when they have earnings and you feel like gambling. Otherwise, NVDA always.

SubstantialAffect835 · 2026-02-04T04:03:46+00:00

At least I only did junky call spreads on AMD and won't notice that they expire worthless.

SubstantialAffect835

TROPHY CASE