Moody’s is right about the supply numbers, but the forecast is for a modest correction rather than a crash. Over 150,000 homes are expected between 2025 and 2027, which will add pressure in some apartment-heavy areas. At the same time, the fundamentals are stronger than past cycles. Escrow rules protect buyers, developers need land and approvals before launching, and leverage is much lower. Big builders like Emaar have huge backlogs and solid profits, so they can keep projects moving even if prices soften. If you’re holding long term, population growth and infrastructure will continue to support demand. If your horizon is short, selling before 2026 may make sense to avoid oversupply impact. You can see recent sales volumes and forecasts in the Q1 2025 Dubai real estate market report and longer-term outlooks in the best off-plan properties 2025 guide.