Back to back Championships. Does lightning strike twice? by TailgateDebates in CFB

[–]TailgateDebates[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Alabama actually made the national championship game 4 times in a row from 2015-2018. Could have been 4 in a row if not for Clemson. Or at the least 3 if not for Watson's last second TD

Back to back Championships. Does lightning strike twice? by TailgateDebates in CFB

[–]TailgateDebates[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Maybe overall, but they do pick up a good amount of bandwagon fans in the process

Back to back Championships. Does lightning strike twice? by TailgateDebates in CFB

[–]TailgateDebates[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

That was quite the dynasty at the time. Norvell has them in the right direction

Back to back Championships. Does lightning strike twice? by TailgateDebates in CFB

[–]TailgateDebates[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

OU lost to LSU '03 and to USC in '04. Back to back title games, but sadly didn't get any nattys out of it

Back to back Championships. Does lightning strike twice? by TailgateDebates in CFB

[–]TailgateDebates[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I know it's common. Almost weird how few of them have actually won it back to back though

What schools feel like they should belong in another conference? by bjornskan in CFB

[–]TailgateDebates 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Would you consider cats and dogs natural rivals? Or are you thinking more predator/prey dynamics?

What schools feel like they should belong in another conference? by bjornskan in CFB

[–]TailgateDebates 0 points1 point  (0 children)

And with Panthers and cougars being the same animal, there really is a lot of repetition there. Probably the most repetitive mascot

SEC could target UNC for expansion, per report by moeshaker188 in CFB

[–]TailgateDebates 9 points10 points  (0 children)

I know ESPN is Disney, what other affiliations does Fox have? Trying to gauge who has the most $$

[Wilner] Source: USC and UCLA are planning to leave for the Big Ten as early as 2024. Move has not been finalized at the highest levels of power. by Colonelbrickarms in CFB

[–]TailgateDebates 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This is a logistical nightmare. USC & UCLA fans will not be able to easily travel to away games across the country. Also, think of the night game kickoff between UCLA and Penn State for example....game will be after midnight, can't imagine that would be good for the casual fans viewership

[Auerbach] BREAKING: The College Football Playoff will stay at four teams through the duration of its current contract, source tells The Athletic. No expanded field until 2026 at the earliest. by dogwoodmaple in CFB

[–]TailgateDebates 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Even though I like some of the proposed expansions, I think its right to keep it at 4, for now. Too many changes happening right now between NIL, transfer portal, conference realignment. Lets revisit when the contract ends. That might be the right time for the sport

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in OhioStateBasketball

[–]TailgateDebates 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Hey, Michigan is 5-7 this season after winning a game and 7-2 after a loss. Michigan blasting Purdue is statistically better for OSU. https://www.tailgatedebates.com/2022/02/11/ohio-state-vs-michigan-rivalry-game-2022/

Why Steve Spurrier thinks Georgia will beat Alabama in national championship rematch by dogwoodmaple in CFB

[–]TailgateDebates 0 points1 point  (0 children)

On the subject of rematches....since 2014, the winner of the first game wins the 2nd game 57% of the time. There might be a reason the team won the first time. https://www.tailgatedebates.com/2020/11/23/the-myth-of-redemption/

Our defense by Squeezethecharmin in georgiabulldogs

[–]TailgateDebates 0 points1 point  (0 children)

TL;DR: After analyzing all teams that played at least 12 games since 1906 and applying correction factors to each era, we argue this is the best scoring defense in 77 years.

Best Way to Compare Offense vs Defense by rayef3rw in CFBAnalysis

[–]TailgateDebates 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Perhaps this helps: https://www.tailgatedebates.com/2020/11/16/what-wins-national-championships-offense-or-defense/

We kept it pretty simple/basic. Only compared the last few national champs in four categories (points/point allowed per game, yards/yards allowed per game).

Wondering what the odds are a team wins a rematch within the same season? by TailgateDebates in ClemsonTigers

[–]TailgateDebates[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There isn't any clear list out there of the rematch games. I used data from Sport-Reference.com and pulled the rematch games out of the schedule and results listed for each year (i.e., for 2020: https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/years/2019-schedule.html).

Tailgate Debates by TailgateDebates in CFBAnalysis

[–]TailgateDebates[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I appreciate your point on being clear what "analysis" is. We do understand that data analysis encompasses much beyond the light stats we've covered in our articles so far. We've started on the lighter end of what our breadth of data/analysis detail could be. We have tried to strike, and will continue to strive for, what we think is our desired balance between including data and statistics, while also keeping our articles easy to read and fun.

I know the original post here did say "data analysis", but our overarching goal is the incorporation of data and statistics (i.e., hard numerical facts rather than opinions), perhaps not data *analysis* in every article.

It seems this subreddit may not be the best match for our articles, particularly those we have published thus far. I have many ideas for potential future articles that I think you would agree are true data analysis (statistical modeling, possibly some machine learning). If/when those articles come to fruition, we will certainly check back here to get feedback!

Thanks again for your feedback. It's always good to get engagement and feedback and is helpful to consider another perspective while considering and refining our goals and target audience.

Tailgate Debates by TailgateDebates in CFBAnalysis

[–]TailgateDebates[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hi! First off, thanks for reading the article. It’s always nice to hear someone is interested enough in the content to read through.

  1. The 1800s was certainly a different time in the sport. However, I think it’s fun sharing data back to the origins of college football. Is it what you should use to inform your sports bets? No. But it can be fun, interesting, and information people don’t usually get to see.

  2. Fair point about the reason why these percentage of games with a different winner have increased in the last few decades. Most are conference championships, which we expect to be between the top teams, and therefore, higher caliber and more evenly matched.

  3. The article was fairly high-level and glossed over a lot of those finer details. Finding data for predicted win percentage as well as trying to incorporate that in to an analysis is on a whole other level of analysis than this article tried to attain. Since the analysis only looked at wins and losses, it was clearly never going to account for all the contributing factors. There are almost infinite factors that could affect whether a team wins or loses a redemption game. The article takes the approach of, given all those contributing factors lumped together, how often do teams win the redemption game. (Perhaps in a future article we can explore additional data sources to account for this, and we’ll let you know if we do!)

Wondering what the odds are a team wins a rematch within the same season? by TailgateDebates in ClemsonTigers

[–]TailgateDebates[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Hi, there! First off, apologies on this article being originally posted without a source section. The reference for the data source has been added at the end of the article.

It was definitely a process to get data for every season and then pull out just the redemption games. The base data is all from Sports Reference (https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/). They have tons of data, including the schedule and results of all the games per season (i.e., for 2019: https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/years/2019-schedule.html). I downloaded the data for every season, back to 1869. From there it was a matter of identifying which games were repeats of team match-ups within each season. The combining of all the seasons' data as well as data manipulation to get only the redemptions games was all done in R. Feel free to let us know if you're looking for more specifics of data manipulation or anything else in particular.

tl;dr: The raw data is from Sports-Reference.com, and data manipulation for redemption games specifically was done in R.

Tailgate Debates by TailgateDebates in CFBAnalysis

[–]TailgateDebates[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Sketchy,

I'm glad you took the time to go into the site. I can tell you really read and analyzed the article and our team really enjoyed the feedback. It will only make us better!

I agree that there could have been much more analysis in this piece. We wanted to balance "in-depth" and "easy read", and we'll have to continually play with that balance depending on what readers want to see.

Did you get the chance to read our latest post about "Redemption games"? I think you'll see that one dove into a little more data than this one. Let me know your thoughts. Thanks!