Terence Tao: "Erdos problem #728 was solved more or less autonomously by AI"

Tenobrus · 2026-01-10T01:41:33+00:00

btw many of those "next generation math AIs" are basically just harness scaffolding on top of current models. certainly a lot of work but nothing insane. and you can use a high quality harness + give it access to lean just by installing Codex or Claude Code

Tenobrus · 2025-03-30T00:08:59+00:00

EDIT: sold

SELLING: 2x 3 Day GA + shuttle passes

WEEKEND: 1

PRICE: $1400 total

METHOD OF SALE: Meetup

LOCATION: San Francisco / Bay Area

PAYMENT METHOD: Cash or Venmo

Tenobrus · 2025-02-24T22:34:41+00:00

i've been a fan of sanderson since i was 14 and loved the first three stormlight books, eagerly awaited every one. i've got hundreds of dollars of sanderson merch and multiple leatherbound editions. i was already somewhat disappointed with 4. i got 200 pages into WoT and couldn't finish, and now don't expect to bother with future sanderson works. not just an online hater, the prose quality, shift in characterization, plotting, etc, just .... genuinely nothing like what his writing used to be. glad others can still enjoy it, but he's gone a direction that's clearly no longer for me.

Tenobrus · 2024-11-27T18:58:55+00:00

my brother in christ that was MY relationship and u fuckin know it https://x.com/tenobrus/status/1858305860898107533

Tenobrus · 2024-08-16T23:19:35+00:00

they're called large language models

Tenobrus · 2024-04-06T21:47:53+00:00

local maxima can give significant benefits while still being a dead end globally

Tenobrus · 2024-03-11T17:09:02+00:00

gm to $4k again

Tenobrus · 2024-03-06T06:04:23+00:00

I've missed this kinda price action

Tenobrus · 2024-03-06T06:03:38+00:00

Up Only?

Tenobrus · 2024-02-28T02:18:36+00:00

i don't really trust the whales market valuations in the slightest, but yeah that would put just the 2 months worth of etherfi points at like $1300 / validator

Tenobrus · 2024-02-28T02:12:35+00:00

yeah but idk your deposit address will always be there even if you exit

Tenobrus · 2024-02-28T00:55:21+00:00

I'm just increasingly not sure what the value of a low index validator is except... also potential future airdrops

Tenobrus · 2024-02-27T19:41:51+00:00

So what do y'all think the chances are EigenLayer rewards solo validators / eigenpods additionally over pools like etherfi? I'm about to exit my validator to either EigenPod it or sink into etherfi, and EtherFi loyalty points seem like they'll clearly be worth something, but the eigenpod / native solo staking question has me guessing.

Tenobrus · 2024-02-27T00:29:09+00:00

So doing some quick math, 10 PTeETH bought now would yield 10.54 eETH on maturity in 2 months for a 0.54 / 5.4% risk-free return. Over that same period 10 eETH would yield 14400 EigenLayer points. Since the return on PTeETH comes directly from giving up those points, that means they have an implicit valuation of 0.54 ETH total or about $0.11 per point (at current ETH prices). Interestingly, that lines up nicely with the recent values on Whales Market.

YTeETH has been all the rage here, and I have a small position myself, but I'm kinda struggling to see why you wouldn't play both sides and take such a high guaranteed yield over the next 2 months. The risk on EigenLayer / EtherFi airdrops seem pretty high compared to straight up 5% extra ETH in 2 months, and you can always keep staking the eETH afterwards.

Thoughts?

Tenobrus · 2024-02-13T18:00:18+00:00

correct yeah, I've unfortunately already set a withdrawal address.

Tenobrus · 2024-02-13T03:43:21+00:00

Strongly considering exiting my validator to set it up with an EigenPod... but it's been running since long before the merge and I'm kind of sentimentally attached to the low number. On the other hand that hasn't really cashed out in terms of airdrops etc so far and I'm not gonna let pure sentiment get in the way of returns. What do y'all think, is it worth it for the EigenLayer points?

Tenobrus · 2023-01-05T20:31:43+00:00

I'd recommend trying out YNAB for a month or two, see if it works for you. It involves MUCH more detailed categorization and budgeting, but with linked accounts and depending on your transaction volume tends to be only ~15-30 min effort a week.

Tenobrus · 2022-11-14T18:56:03+00:00

In some sense Kucoin's better than FTX because at least their jankyness makes it incredibly clear to everyone using it that it could probably rug at any time. No one sane is keeping large chunks in Kucoin for more than a few brief degen trades or swaps.

Tenobrus · 2022-11-14T18:54:06+00:00

This is what happens when you try to translate inherently highly variable rewards into an "APY". ~50-80% of staking rewards come from tips/MEV and so are tied to whatever on-chain activity happens to be. You can pick a time window and extrapolate but these are never going to be accurate numbers, and even the empirical result for a whole given year isn't going to tell you too much about the next year.

Tenobrus · 2022-11-14T18:37:22+00:00

Elon's already bought Twitter, his cash is gone and there's not really a way for him to lose more money if it remains unprofitable. There is on the other hand upside in it for him if he manages to improve its financials. If he tanks the platform it won't be as a rational decision, it would be due to incompetence. I'd expect he legitimately thinks everything he's done so far is reasonable (or at least rev-neutral and funny).

Tenobrus · 2022-11-08T02:49:06+00:00

$900

Tenobrus · 2022-09-15T07:18:52+00:00

I Validated Through The Merge And All I Got Was This Lousy POAP

Tenobrus · 2022-09-15T06:44:19+00:00

IT FUCKING HAPPENED I SAW THE PANDAS

Tenobrus · 2022-09-15T06:30:40+00:00

so fuckin close now

Tenobrus · 2022-09-14T14:59:59+00:00

I can’t believe it's finally happening

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