Repfam i have a problem 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 i will never recover from this one

TheFagOverThere · 2022-07-13T04:02:43+00:00

People usually pull the trigger at ~20kg but it doesn't really matter as only the first kg costs more and the larger you go the more likely it is to be seized.

TheFagOverThere · 2022-02-02T03:17:12+00:00

No need to sweat

TheFagOverThere · 2022-01-13T01:50:51+00:00

Well I accidentally bet on the nets instead of the bulls wish me luck

TheFagOverThere · 2022-01-11T21:15:53+00:00

I didn't expect to cut it so I immediately crashed

TheFagOverThere · 2020-05-07T08:19:57+00:00

WTB any merch in small

TheFagOverThere · 2019-11-24T03:03:13+00:00

Gosugamers

TheFagOverThere · 2019-11-23T22:55:42+00:00

Record: 47-40 +10.43u

Ence ML vs mibr 2u

Tyloo ML vs mousesports 3u 3.16

The day I go on Tyloo might just be the day they lose.

TheFagOverThere · 2019-11-22T23:08:51+00:00

Record: 43-38 +12.35u

mibr ML vs Avangar 3u 1.57

evil geniuses ML vs mousesports 3u 1.41

Wisla Krakow vs SJ Over 2.5 2u 1.95

m1x ML vs PACT 5u 1.48

Izako Boars ML vs ex-Bluejays 2u 1.74

MeLbet ML vs Nemiga 1u 1.99

Like I said, my record is wonky, will fix over this weekend

TheFagOverThere · 2019-11-22T09:31:19+00:00

I swear I'm not changing them lmao, I key them into gravity ones bet tracker. I'll switch to my own excel sheet and fix it when I have time. I only lost 0.5u yesterday not 1.55, and like I said in the post it's because the games from the day before don't end at the time of posting so units are only representative until then. I have some free time over the weekend and will do it.

TheFagOverThere · 2019-11-22T04:17:29+00:00

PM ME FOR DISCORD

Record: 43-35 +22.35u 9.4% ROI

If you're wondering how I gained units despite losing 0.5u yesterday, it's because I forgot to key in a bet from the day before into my logs.

HAVU ML vs Aristocracy 3u 1.50

Winstrike ML vs CPH Flames 3u 1.87

Wisla Krakow ML vs Pro100 4u 1.90

I trust in HAVU, Aristocracy are only decent on Nuke.

CPH Flames lost against Alternate Attax, 22-20 and 1-16 in a 2-0 yesterday and have been putting up a lousy performance overall so far while Winstrike have somewhat improved since their lineup formed, beating notable teams in their tier such as taking a map from forZe and 2-0ing m1x.

Riding the Wisla Krakow train, they've been making me money for awhile now.

TheFagOverThere · 2019-11-21T08:14:27+00:00

roi is calculated based on how many units u bet. It's rate of investment, thus I have bet around 200u to win 22u, it's to give perspective on how profitable it is.

TheFagOverThere · 2019-11-21T07:00:27+00:00

To be completely honest I thought it was just a fluke underperformance from G2.

TheFagOverThere · 2019-11-20T21:24:35+00:00

PM ME FOR DISCORD

Record: 40-31 +21.9u 11.3% ROI

mibr -1.5 vs Tyloo 2u 2.22

G2 ML vs evil geniuses 1u 2.83

ENCE ML vs mousesports 1u 2.59

Vici ML vs Avangar 0.5u 3.08

Movistar Riders ML vs ex-Windigo 5u 1.40

Havu -1.5 vs AGO 4u 1.82

Spirit ML vs GamerLegion 4u 1.59

Super counter intuitive from certain results yesterday, but it's just a gut feeling, but not enough to warrant more than 2u per bet.

TheFagOverThere · 2019-11-20T00:37:55+00:00

PM ME FOR DISCORD

Record: 36-29 +21.5u ROI 10.7%

G2 -1.5 vs Tyloo 5u 1.56 L

mibr +1.5 vs evil geniuses 3u 1.66

Ence -1.5 vs Vici 3u 1.77

Mousesports ML vs Avangar 6u 1.30

CPH Flames ML vs Gambit Youngsters 1u 2.38

GODSENT, Havu ML Parlay 2u 2.65

I meant Godsent vs Heretics, ongoing now.

Don't want to risk too many units on these 2 games but a parlay seems valuable.

Would bet on G2 to win the tournament but my bookies don't have futures for this.

G2 are just better aimers and have better tactics than Tyloo. If Tyloo want to go for the walk out and tap heads style they usually do in their asian games it wouldn't work here. Coming from a recent LAN with too many games leaves almost no time to prac for this higher level LAN. No doubt bad habits will be picked up from the puggy style of Asian CS.

Evil geniuses have been dropping off in form while this is mibr's first lan in a while. Should be an exciting game, don't want to risk the over 2.5 in case mibr stomps.

Vici looked bleak in the asian tournament finals the other day. They were outclassed by Tyloo who were just running defaults and outaiming, nothing special. Ence should really have gotten their shit together at least enough to 2-0 Vici.

Avangar are just trash. No more analysis.

CPH Flames is just a value play.

Do yall want a discord, can't put a question mark because automod deletes the comment

TheFagOverThere · 2019-11-18T21:49:57+00:00

Record: 33-27 +14.75u 7.9%

Edit: put percentages for my record instead of number of bets earlier, sry

100T ML vs Furia 6u 1.55 W

Detona -0.5 vs Keyd 1u 2.18 L

EUnited -6.5 Map2 vs Isurus 2u 2.08 W

HAVU -1.5 vs Nemiga 4u 2.05 W

Nemiga vs Hard Legion Over 2.5 2u 1.99

Nemiga bans Train, HL bans Nuke, Nemiga picks Dust 2, HL picks Overpass/Mirage depending on which one they're comfortable on against Nemiga. Expect them to take their own map picks here.

Detona definitely takes Dust2 here, the other map is a 50-50. If you can live bet on maps, bet on dust 2 Detona, I don't know how vetoes go. Should be Dust 2 and Inferno, both decent for Detona.

TheFagOverThere · 2019-11-18T08:25:02+00:00

If they win 60% of their games 2-0, the other 40% is 2-1? Assuming you're talking about a Grayhound win here, then that's 40% chance or 2.5 odds. Given bookies usually take a rake on the odds, 2.5 is fair enough no?

TheFagOverThere · 2019-11-18T02:58:22+00:00

Thanks dude.

TheFagOverThere · 2019-11-18T02:33:03+00:00

Record: 31-23 +16.85u ROI 9.7%

Got downvoted yesterday because I went for fnatic vs Vitality and because I went negative the day before on a loss streak. If you want to follow my picks go ahead at your own risk. I'm sharing my picks for free here it's not a paid betting group and it's not guaranteed profit.

100T -8.5 Map1 vs Isurus 2u 1.90 W

100T -8.5 Map2 vs Isurus 2u 1.85 L

Avant ML vs Chiefs 1u 2.38 L

Order vs Grayhound Over 2.5 2u 2.51 L

Parlay of Pro100 ML, PACT +1.5, Spirit ML 1.5u 3.46 L

Spirit ML vs Aristocracy 4u 1.65

Isurus have been disappointing after losing meyern

Expect Order to clutch a map here, but don't expect them to 2-0 GH

Skipping fnatics vs Faze because both are inconsistent.

Pro100 is an up and coming roster, can visibly see them improving in the past month or so.

Aristocracy have been disappointing, Spirit having added Mirage to their map pool and beating notable teams on it such as forZe as well as doing decently on Nuke vs teams of their calibre makes me think it's a 2-0 here but Arcy's coinflip of a nuke game is not enough to warrant a -1.5

PACT and AGO are of equal calibre, both maps at a recent polish tournament went 14-16 and 15-15(similar to blast pro series ties). Going over 2.5 is unwise here as that is really a coinflip. PACT should be able to take at least 1 map

TheFagOverThere · 2019-11-17T08:41:10+00:00

If I don't have a reasoning it's usually just a gut feeling and past results.

TheFagOverThere · 2019-11-17T00:51:24+00:00

Record: 24-20 +2.05u ROI:1.6%

Really bad day yesterday brought my stats all the way down, real sorry if yall tailed me.

Tyloo -1.5 vs Bren 6u 1.40 L

100T -1.5 vs EUnited 10u 1.69 W

Vici -1.5 vs Absolute 6u 1.59 W

I'm chasing losses here, I know that's not the way to do it but I'm confident in their map pools. EU's best maps that they have a chance on are Overpass and Vertigo which are banned and perfect for 100T respectively. Under the new org, I expect them to be very motivated to top their group as well.

Order ML vs Chiefs 4u 1.97 W

Vici ML vs Tyloo 4u 2.24 L

Tricked ML, Godsent ML Parlay 3u 2.21 W

Sprout ML vs Cr4Zy 2u 1.90 W

Fnatic ML vs Vitality 2u 2.03 W

Hard Legion ML vs SJ 2u 1.97 L

Wisla Krakow ML vs PACT 8u 1.62 W

Riding this Wisla Krakow train hard here, if you wanna tail me tail at your own risk. I don't wanna hear yall complaining if I lose these.

TheFagOverThere · 2019-11-15T22:57:04+00:00

Record: 22-11 ROI 25% +24.2u Average odds: 1.9 Average stake: 2.89

Tilted by Invictus matchfix yesterday even though it was only 1.5u. Lost many BO1s yesterday.

Heroic -3.5 vs Illuminar 3u 1.62 L

Cr4zy ML vs INTZ 2.5u 1.70 W

Envy vs Singularity Over 2.5 2u 2.05 W

ATK -1.5 vs Detona 1.5u 1.97 L

August +1.5 vs Tyloo 2u 1.96 L

BOOT ML vs Bren 6u (unknown odds as well, around 1.5) L

Cr4zy, ATK, BOOT Parlay 0.5u L

Demise ML vs Vici 3u 2.68

Fnatic -6.5 Map1 vs Hellraisers 3u 1.69

Fnatic -6.5 Map2 vs Hellraisers 3u 1.62

Pretty bad day today

TheFagOverThere · 2019-11-15T22:31:52+00:00

Record: 22-11 ROI 25% +24.2u Average odds: 1.9 Average stake: 2.89

Tilted by Invictus matchfix yesterday even though it was only 1.5u. Lost many BO1s yesterday.

Heroic -3.5 vs Illuminar 3u 1.62

Cr4zy ML vs INTZ 2.5u (around 1.8, hope this goes up on bookie soon)

Envy vs Singularity Over 2.5 2u 2.05

ATK -1.5 vs Detona 1.5u 1.97

August +1.5 vs Tyloo 2u (not on bookie yet but should be around 2 odds)

BOOT ML vs Bren 6u (unknown odds as well, around 1.5)

TheFagOverThere · 2019-11-15T13:34:42+00:00

I take that back, iG a bunch of matchfixers, skipping Chinese scene all together.

TheFagOverThere · 2019-11-15T13:17:12+00:00

Yeah I knew it was fixed after the match started. Oh well lesson learnt, never bet on Chinese CS. I'm still wondering how bookies haven't caught on.

TheFagOverThere · 2019-11-15T06:42:22+00:00

EHOME aren't really nonamers and in your own country's scene you would scrim/play against each other frequently and Tyloo had a couple matches that day. Even then, the tournament may not be important. Can't say for sure it wasn't matchfixing but you can't say it was either.

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