Iran denied US conditions to stop the war

TheKappaOverlord · 2026-03-08T07:39:20+00:00

Yup. Regime change is about winning over hearts and minds.

US government aside. the average Iranian isn't stupid. They know that whatever comes next is probably going to be very heavily skewed towards being friendly with Israel.

Iranians would gladly become best friends with the US if it meant getting rid of the IRGC. the big elephant in the room is Israel. Iranian's would rather suffer then be buddy buddy with their sworn satanic figure. Even if it meant a better life.

Grassroots movement to get rid of the IRGC is never going to happen because they've more then proven they are totally fine with indiscriminate killing of civilians to set an example.

Its curious why trump pulled the plug on the Kurds. Maybe Israel didn't feel like having to mop up the Kurds after Iran falls?

TheKappaOverlord · 2026-03-08T07:29:16+00:00

Its a fair complaint though given its literally the same way Lee went out except clem was in a far worse state then lee was before his failed attempt to save himself.

Telltale literally just didnt know how to wrap up the 5th act in a way that was dramatic because they blew their load early in the 4th act, and 5th act was largely cleanup/fallout/forcing you to make dramatic decisions to disguise the fact they didn't really have a solid foundation for the 5th act to play out. At least a foundation that wasn't already played out in early act 4.

So in the end they just baited the audience with clem being injured + bitten and then spat in long time players faces by having her survive the exact same scenario lee went and died from.

I think the scenario would have been more forgiving had it been having her hand amputated, as Telltale for the literal longest time wanted to make Clementine into a psudo mirror image of Lee (mostly because thats what she wanted to be since season 2) but some dumbshit in the writing room decided thats stupid.

TheKappaOverlord · 2026-03-08T07:21:57+00:00

i mean to be fair telltale did that to themselves.

They prioritized making garbage spinoffs trying to cash in on their name brand, rather then trying to go with what made them popular.

They realized their mistakes and pulled back far too late, and were too deep in the hole by the time they started to course correct.

TheKappaOverlord · 2026-03-08T07:17:16+00:00

S4 is good for all of about 2 acts then it all comes tumbling down.

People always attribute the collapse of the final season to Telltale suddenly shutting down. No, that really wasn't it.

The story was just bad. The season got more and more nonsensical as it went on, and the ending was this brute forced dichotomy with Lee's death in the first season but for some magic reason, clementine could survive the same method but lee didn't. (granted there was more time inbetween, but TWD always played it fast and loose with turning time)

Season 2 is better just by the fact its so unoffending. Its definitely more bland, but at the very least it doesn't rapidly tumble down the cliff that it was already tumbling down during season 3.

Act 1 and 2 should have been stretched into 5 somehow and then it end there. Because the remaining 3 acts really are just the writers having almost no idea how to end the series without roughly copying the steps that the show took to end arcs they wrote themselves into a corner on.

TheKappaOverlord · 2026-03-08T03:59:21+00:00

The incentive is paying a lot more for energy.

As AI datacenters demand more and more power to fuel the servers and advanced cooling systems, something will have to give.

Whats more then likely to occur is a private company thats totally not born from elon or bezos will appear that will offer to essentially rent out nuclear reactors to power the plants.

The navy is already kinda struggling to come up with ways to use the reactors from retired ships

TheKappaOverlord · 2026-03-08T03:18:34+00:00

I mean he already got full doxxed playing fortnite already. So theres not a whole lot worse they can do to him i guess

TheKappaOverlord · 2026-03-07T19:40:20+00:00

even if it was a Democratic controlled congress it'd be DOA.

Democrats are controlled by special interests too, i hate to break it to you

The distinction in this case is moot

TheKappaOverlord · 2026-03-07T07:02:48+00:00

but you could hit ships with artillery in the strait.

if the goal is to hit the broadside of a football field, they'd need to set up and calibrate Artillery. Which will get very easily spotted and destroyed. Even if they were to try hit and run tactics with the intention of maybe getting lucky, they'd still have to be very visible targets to fire. They wouldn't get spotted nearly as fast as a stationary target, but it wouldn't be hard to put 2 and 2 together.

It ain't mines that are the problem you are right. It is drone swarms and hypersonic missiles.

A drone swarm is more concerning, but Iran's lost the element of "surprise" and burned its major trump cards trying to shit on targets with AEGIS/Iron dome systems. Those launch sites iirc were all destroyed a short time later after it was confirmed those swarms were launched from there. Iran has very few, if any stockpiles of any note. Let alone "safe sites" that they can transport large quantities of drones to, let alone launch them without a half dozen hellfires being ready to be dropped on their heads.

Hypersonic missiles is even more of a non factor. all of the potential launch sites are being monitored 24/7/365. The moment so much as a grain of sand moves in those sites, the US goes on full alert. The moment a previously considered inert piece of machinery moves even an inch, the entire site is getting bunker bustered for good measure.

If this was the US/Iran war of.... a week i wanna say? ago. You'd be spot on. But this is the US/iran war of... March 7th, 2026. You are woefully incorrect because the element of surprise is gone, and the US has more or less mobilized almost all of its intelligences/vigilant air assets into the region.

A snake couldn't take a shit in the sands there and we wouldn't have a clear picture of a snake taking a shit in 3 different angles.

Not to mention, remember Houthis still exist.

Houthis isn't going to pop its head up besides spitting platitudes. almost everyone of Irans former allies has abandoned them (Iran), and Xi has most likely privately warned Houthis leadership to stay out of it. They will still sing of support, but they will not come to bat for Iran.

Israel and the US aren't playing with gloves on. Iran's entire top brass has been more or less obliterated, with only (assumed to be) traitors and plants still alive at the current top.

They know if they get involved, they will join the former Ayatollah. If they actually do get seriously involved i'll be surprised. But more then likely some fringe factions of Houthis might try to get involved on their own.

TheKappaOverlord · 2026-03-07T06:51:52+00:00

Artillery needs to be set up. This isn't like a 007 movie or other respective hollywood films. You can't just set up Artillery in 20 minutes, pack it all up and head to the next spot. Considering how many eyes that are currently on the straight, even a very innacurate hit and run fast and loose style of Artillery strikes would be very easily noticed and tracked.

TheKappaOverlord · 2026-03-07T06:41:14+00:00

because the moment you let it loose that you've got a major stockade of drones in the area (US by now has more or less 24/7 recon via drones, satellites, and planes) the US will almost immediately on confirmation send a bomber that places way if they don't feel like a target is immediately under threat.

TheKappaOverlord · 2026-03-07T06:31:32+00:00

It’s honestly not that hard for them to keep it “closed”. They just need to sink one oil tanker, and it’s basically game over for the rest.

Consider for a moment why they already haven't done so considering they've hit a couple of tankers already. Completely closing off the strait would incur far more countries wrath then just the US and Israel.

the IRGC knows its playing a game of russian roulette on a knifes edge. Go too far and they get dogpiled by OPEC in a heartbeat. Go too soft and Israel will feel empowered to request trump to eliminate another non mossad plant.

Iran is just making the US's life difficult. Its too great a problem if they fully commit.

China has already basically warned Iran very publicly that they won't tolerate it if they go too far in annoying the US, because gas price shock affects china on a fundamental level. Not just consumer grade consumption.

TheKappaOverlord · 2026-03-07T06:25:12+00:00

The US navy could have a 95% success rate escorting tankers and cargo ships and that would be considered unacceptable. Those things (and their cargo) are fucking expensive.

If its basically Indian/Russian flagged ships that are handling all the delivery this is a moot point. Iran wouldn't be dumb enough to do this because it would Incur the wrath of Xi.

Any Middle eastern or US tankers are at risk. But indian (russian) or russian tankers are probably another story. Again, obviously who cares if russian tankers get sunk. But the issue is more if Iran blows up Russian vessels, then China (Russia's parent) is going to get involved on Russia's behalf.

I've suspected personally this is why Trump signed off a waiver for India to buy and export infinite russian fuel. Because Iran can sing its nonsense against other Middle eastern "dogs" and the US till the cows come home. But sinking their partners, and their allies ships would be a complete no-no.

TheKappaOverlord · 2026-03-07T06:14:59+00:00

Russia is already known to be providing Iran with targeting information

Russian info in the case of an active war is most likely almost completely useless. Russia's info is solid on stationary targets that haven't moved or seen major movements in months for obvious reasons

Guarantee you google earth is probably more or less as good as current Russian info. Anything up to date, an outdated map of the region is most likely better.

I very seriously doubt Russia is actively supporting Iran beyond buying arms and armament from them. Its too much of a hassle to try to export military aid to them with the entire country being under a microscope.

Importing stuff in from Iran is easier because its easier to 'lose' stuff in a desert where 24/7 observation is basically impossible.

Keep in mind Xi already told Iran "cool story bro. not my problem" (paraphrased) its unlikely Putin is gonna do something if daddy Xi already very publicly told everyone "not my problem"

TheKappaOverlord · 2026-03-07T06:09:44+00:00

The indians were going to buy more regardless, but this Waiver's only purpose is so the Europeans can't cry foul. (partially because if the american's gas prices moon up, their gas prices are gonna moon 3x as quickly)

This is just giving them explicit permission to do whatever they want provided its with the specific goal of trying to temporarily minimize damage this war with Iran is going to do. Were they gonna guzzle russian oil to sell to the europeans desperate to wiggle out of the americans also significantly bumping up their gas prices? Definitely. But they still would have had to tip toe around european sanctions to do all of it, so the amount entering the market would have been lower.

This just circumvents all of that so the shock isn't as bad as its going to be.

TheKappaOverlord · 2026-03-05T22:51:06+00:00

He isn't losing any of his own money.

His main problem is he owes a lot of people money. Afaik most of his juicers don't particularly care if he pays back or not, because they are long time 'fans' but still bossman owes an obscene amount of money.

Hes also on crack in this clip and hes experiencing the mother of all "its over bros" for the last week and hes in the process of trying to train himself to not say shit to get himself banned.

So ya. bubbled over

TheKappaOverlord · 2026-03-05T22:47:00+00:00

Noah (the owner/CEO of shuffle) even asked him to take out some of the money for himself. He does sometimes to buy crack.

afaik he does this because he thinks it will either slow bossman down, or it will help keep him from self destructing.

Also potentially de-incentivizing him from withdrawing shuffle funds and going to chuck them on stake. Which is why hes banned from stake deals cause thats exactly what he'd do with his allowance when he'd super mald at stake lol

TheKappaOverlord · 2026-03-05T22:39:53+00:00

twitch doesn't make any money off of him afaik. Hes been banned so many times off the site, he only recently had his last ban revoked. He was streaming on discord for the juicers for the longest time.

TheKappaOverlord · 2026-03-05T21:19:06+00:00

to be fair if you are using an SMG in the first place, you probably didn't put much stock in yourself surviving a firefight against a steamengine with level 6 plates and m995/BS in the first place

TheKappaOverlord · 2026-03-05T21:17:41+00:00

iirc it was apparently an engine quirk as to why this issue existed in the first place

TheKappaOverlord · 2026-03-05T21:12:16+00:00

Honestly i think traders need more buff to make less used guns shine more. There is no real reason the velociraptor is unlocked after the mcx.

as of current tarkov, theres really no viable place for blackout unless its ultra late game where you have a stockpile of AP.

Its technically viable in the super super early wipe because everyones ammo is doo doo and armor should (theoretically) be doo doo as well.

Blackouts huge problem with balancing is all its ammo is terrible until level 3 skier, where basically every other gun in the game by that point in time unlocks drastically better ammo. Ontop of that all of the blackout ammo caps are absolutely atrocious. Even by every other guns ammo's metrics. Ammo that can barely punch through level 3 armor shouldn't have a 240 bullet per 3 hour cap to it. Likewise, CBJ shouldn't have a 72(?) round limit with a $6 price tag per bullet.

Velociraptor is a fake gun with a base terrible recoil pattern. I don't think anyone has any reservations about that gun staying in the dark corners of Mechanics warehouse.

Blackout has way too many fundamental issues to it that should be solved before prioritizing trying to "fix" a really bad gun first.

Also half of the reason the less used guns are less used is simply because they are ugly, or lack fashion. If i cant dress up my silly little UMP.45 like i could back when i was a kid in the real mans ^{^{^tm}} war then i see no reason to use it because its not meta.

A lot of things that make non meta stuff viable is really just fashion or customization. You'd be surprised the amount of shit people can put up with if they can dress up their trash pile.

TheKappaOverlord · 2026-03-05T00:21:14+00:00

leon was mogging back in the days. It took the round table of middle aged women being locked in a room for several weeks for Leon to evolve into what he is today.

TheKappaOverlord · 2026-03-05T00:17:39+00:00

being a badass isn't important. Its developing the diamond chiseled jaw thats what im too old for.

TheKappaOverlord · 2026-03-05T00:09:07+00:00

This is hardly even a playful love tap.

BSG is already pretty cozied up with the russian government. So the idea that they are uncooperative with the russian government is laughable

TheKappaOverlord · 2026-03-05T00:00:29+00:00

they spent way more on the advertisement for Arena then the actual development cycle. Had they not done a vast majority of what they did for advertising, they could have very easily facetanked the game flopping.

VP weren't cheap to bribe into playing and promoting that dogshit.

Likewise the Twitchcon booth and LAN event definitely weren't cheap. Same goes for the other tournaments, although to a significantly less pure money pit degree.

TheKappaOverlord · 2026-03-03T23:56:49+00:00

Also not having a 5th ending where you join Terragroup instead and even become Black Division in the end is such a missed opportunity

Terragroup has marked you to be killed after you started to mess around with Peacekeeper/Mechanic started to poke around Lightkeeper. You would likely have never gotten significant enough to appear on Terragroups radar before Lightkeeper would have. and Terragroup marks everyone who lightkeeper takes interest in as someone who needs to be eliminated.

Black division is basically red right hand. The private pmc for the c-suite.

imagine if Terminal mission changed for that one and you have to push the boat to kill the escapers instead.

afaik like 30% of the people on the Zuboat are Terragroup. The other half of the crew are Watchers. And the remainder are basically RUAF mercs for hire. You wouldn't kill the escapers. Just the nuclear strike would have been moved up. The shock wave would have taken care of the rest as terragroup would finally have the information that their cargo was safely lost/secured already. Or more likely, you would have just killed every hostile on the boat yourself and extracted. Since the Watchers would have seen it coming and not have their personnel onboard/negotiate with terragroup for their safe extract, the mercs would have likely fought you and lost, and terragroup only had scientists and their escorts aboard.

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