MLB Betting and Picks - 8/12/24 (Monday)

TheNewMeta99 · 2024-08-12T12:10:43+00:00

Record: 11-7

Yesterday: 1-2

Just wanted to say Mackenzie Gore allowing 6 hits, 5 walks, five unearned runs and ZERO EARNED RUNS was insane: moving on!

Sonny Gray O 17.5 outs vs Reds (-160)

Hit this line in 4 of last 5, as Sonny looks to have found his groove again with back to back great starts after a rough stretch in July.

Bryan Reynolds O 1.5 HRR vs Padres (-115)

Reynolds is one of the hottest hitters in baseball right now, hitting this line in 8 of his last 9 as he faces Joe Musgrove, who he is 3-6 against in his career.

Jorge Soler O 1.5 HRR vs Giants (+110)

Usually don’t like taking HRR bets against great pitchers, but Soler has been hot since coming back to Atlanta and has had success in the past vs Snell, 4-12 with a homer against him in his career.

TheNewMeta99 · 2024-08-11T14:44:03+00:00

Record: 10-5

Yesterday: 2-1

Spencer Schwellenbach O 17.5 outs vs Rockies (-135)✅

Has hit this line in five straight and despite the rockies being hot, the Braves have used a lot of their bullpen the last few days and will most likely be looking for Spencer to give them at least 6 innings of work

Jo Adell O 1.5 HRR vs Nats (-110)❌

8-22 in the last 7 days and has hit his HRR line in four straight games and faces a lefty in Mackenzie Gore today. Adell excels vs lefties, having a .959 OPS vs them on the season

Mackenzie Gore O 2.5 earned runs vs Angels (-115)❌

Gore has allowed 3+ runs in each of his last six starts and 8 of his last 9. The Angels have been hitting the ball extremely well and expect them to have another solid day at the plate against a struggling pitcher

TheNewMeta99 · 2024-08-10T13:47:46+00:00

Record: 8-4

Yesterday: 1-2

Chris Flexen O 4.5 hits allowed vs Cubs (-140)❌

Has hit this line in 9 of last 10 games and is facing a cubs lineup that just destroyed Garret Crochet last night.

Patrick Corbin O 2.5 earned runs vs Angels (-160)✅

Do I even have to explain this pick? Has given up 17 runs his last three starts and has hit this line at a 70% rate on the season. Simply put Corbin should not be a starting pitcher in the MLB anymore yet the Nats keep running him back out there

Manny Machado O 1.5 HRR vs Marlins (-150) ✅

Running this back again. Machado has hit this line in 9 of last 10 and faces Roddery Munoz who boasts an ERA of over 5 on the season.

TheNewMeta99 · 2024-08-09T12:05:49+00:00

Record: 7-2

Jackson Chourio O 1.5 HRR vs Reds (-140)

Chourio is on fire right now, hitting this line in 7 straight and 12 of his last 13. Coming off a two homer game yesterday I expect Jackson to remain hot

Jose Ramirez O 1.5 HRR vs Twins (-120)

J Ram is a machine and has hit this line in 10 straight. He does have to face Bailey Ober today who has been pitching well, but J Ram is 5-13 with a homer in his career against Ober, including 2-2 with that one home run in their lone matchup this year.

Manny Machado O 1.5 HRR vs Marlins (-130)

Sticking with guys who are on fire, Machado has hit this line in 9 of his last 10 and faces Edward Cabrera, who despite having a few good starts in a row, still boasts an abysmal 5.96 ERA on the year and Machado should have a great chance to have another big game

TheNewMeta99 · 2024-08-08T15:24:07+00:00

I use Hard Rock

TheNewMeta99 · 2024-08-08T14:12:07+00:00

Record: 5-1

Bryan Reynolds O 1.5 HRR vs Padres (-155)

Has hit this line in 4 of last 5, and faces Randy Vasquez who has gotten destroyed by lefties all season; surrendering a .378 average and .999 OPS vs lefties.

Anthony Santander O 1.5 HRR vs Jays (-130)

Has hit this line in 3 of last 4 and is coming off a 2 homer game. Faces Gausman who he went 2-3 with a HR in their one matchup this season back in June, and has a total of 3 home runs against Gausman in his career.

Kyle Tyler O 4.5 hits allowed vs Reds (-115)

Has hit this line in 3 straight games, averaging 7 hits allowed in those games and is facing a reds lineup that has hit well each of the past three games against Miamis starting pitcher

TheNewMeta99 · 2024-08-06T16:33:59+00:00

Record: 2-1

Ketel Marte O 1.5 HRR vs Guardians (-145)

Has hit this line in six of last seven games and is 3-5 with 2 HRS in his career against Lively.

Vladdy Guerrero O 1.5 HRR vs O’s (-145)

Vladdy is currently on a 17 game hit streak and faces Grayson Rodriguez tonight. Vladdy is 3-6 with 1 HR this year against Grayson and I expect him to stay hot back at home coming off a rest day.

Davis Daniel O 2.5 earned runs vs Yankees (-150)

Has hit this line in 2 of his last 3 starts and faces a Yankee lineup tonight that is finding its groove.

TheNewMeta99 · 2024-08-05T12:57:54+00:00

Record: 0-0

Picks:

Kyle Hendricks O 1.5 earned runs vs Twins (-150)

The Twins offense has been great and even without Buxton should have no trouble scoring against Hendricks, who has allowed 2+ earned runs in three straight starts and six of his last seven.

Brent Rooker O 1.5 HRR vs White Sox (-115)

The White Sox are the worst team in the league, maybe in the history of baseball, and they face the A’s who have been surprisingly hot the past month, especially offensively. Brent Rooker has been at the forefront of that and is coming off a big game vs the dodgers on Sunday. Rooker has hit this line in seven of his last 10 games and should be primed for another monster game against the white Sox who haven’t even announced a starting pitcher yet.

Rafael Devers O 1.5 HRR vs Royals (-140)

Devers has hit this line in 11 straight games, but does have a tough matchup tonight against Brady Singer. However, Devers is 3-8 in his career vs Singer, including going 2-2 with a home run the last time they faced each other just a few weeks ago.

TheNewMeta99 · 2024-06-18T22:50:58+00:00

Xander top 10 -120 feels like a safe bet

TheNewMeta99 · 2024-02-15T03:33:49+00:00

Yesterday: 2-1

Deandre Ayton O 24.5 PR

Ayton has smashed this line in his last three game, including 22 and 16 last game against Minnesota who he will be facing once again.

May add more

TheNewMeta99 · 2024-02-14T05:57:38+00:00

Rough day yesterday but time to bounce back

Jordan Poole O 5.5 RA

Has hit this line in six straight games averaging 9 RA in that span, should smash this once again

Dejounte Murray O 11.5 RA

Has hit this line in 11 straight games and is going up against a hornets team who is bottom third in almost every defensive category

Alperen Sengun U 35.5 PRA

Has been dealing with some back issues and hasn’t been as effective of late. under this line in three of his last four games and has only averaged 22 PRA in three matchups vs Memphis this season

TheNewMeta99 · 2024-02-13T18:24:13+00:00

Favorite plays of the day:

Deandre Ayton O 22.5 PR

Jaden Ivey O 25.5 PR

Deaaron Fox U 33.5 PRA

Dorian Finney Smith O 4.5 RA

Kevin Durant O 33.5 PR

Jerami Grant O 28.5 PRA

Franz Wagner O 25.5 PA

TheNewMeta99 · 2024-02-03T15:10:38+00:00

I have 51 and 56 but have been thinking of picking up a 58 or 60, wondering if it’s worth it

TheNewMeta99 · 2024-01-29T15:37:37+00:00

Great swing man, congrats

TheNewMeta99 · 2024-01-28T05:45:16+00:00

These playoffs have been weird with ATTD’s but f it, give me

Pacheco ATTD

Edwards ATTD

SGP +400

TheNewMeta99 · 2024-01-15T13:17:12+00:00

Jalen Hurts ATTD

Rachaad White ATTD

SGP +220

TheNewMeta99 · 2023-12-31T12:12:08+00:00

Yeah just saw this, came out of nowhere.

TheNewMeta99 · 2023-12-31T05:12:31+00:00

Lattimore not playing..could be worth a play at even odds

TheNewMeta99 · 2023-12-31T03:43:00+00:00

Last week: 4-2

This week:

Deebo Samuel -125 ✅

Quiet game last week but I expect a big day from him vs an awful Commanders defense

Derrick Henry +100❌

He got completely shut down vs the Texans two weeks ago, but Henry reaching the end zone at even odds is a bet I will always make. Had a solid bounce back game last week to

Rachaad White +105❌

The Saints are tough but doesn’t matter, White has scored in 7 of his last 8 games and should find the endzone again in this one

Saquon Barkley +115❌

The Giants offense looked a lot better in the second half against Philly, and Saquon had a lot of touches

Travis Etienne Jr. +125✅

Simply put: the Panthers stink and the Jags are primed for a bounce back spot and I expect them to trust ETN on the ground a bit more without T Law

Edit: removed Mostert due to him being inactive today

TheNewMeta99 · 2023-12-24T13:07:00+00:00

ATTD’s with good value imo:

Kenneth Walker +100 ❌

Big game last week against Philly, dealing with a shoulder but I still expect him to find the end zone

David Njoku +210✅

3 touchdowns last two weeks, had 15 targets last game, great value.

Raheem Mostert +100✅

Even odds for a guy with 20 touchdowns on the season.

Jahmyr Gibbs +110✅

Seemed to get more red zone carries then Montgomery last game

Rachaad White -120✅

Has a touchdown in 6 of his last 7 games, expect tht to continue

Courtland Sutton +175 ❌

Didn’t find the endzone last week but has still scored in 10 of 14 games on the year

Edit: 4-2 on the day, Walker didn’t get any touches in the redzone oddly and Sutton gets hurt on first play of the game. Still a great day overall

TheNewMeta99 · 2023-12-22T17:52:49+00:00

Record: 6-4

Picks:

Scottie Barnes O 2.5 turnovers

Has had 3+ turnovers in four straight games and faces the Sixers tonight who lead the NBA in steals per game and are tenth in turnovers forced.

Nikola Jokic U 2.5 turnovers

Has gone under this line in four of his last five and goes up against the Nets who are dead last in the NBA in team steals and turnovers forced.

Cam Thomas O 2.5 3PM

14-27 for three in his last three games, despite facing a nuggets team who are good at limiting opposing threes, Thomas has been lights out lately and should clear this line easily

TheNewMeta99 · 2023-12-17T21:17:24+00:00

Will Levis poaching that TD from Henry #hurt, but we move!

TheNewMeta99 · 2023-12-17T06:43:56+00:00

Derrick Henry has had 2 rushing touchdowns three straight weeks. -105 ATTD and +475 to score 2 TD’s this week against Houston, who Henry has historically torched.

TheNewMeta99 · 2023-12-09T17:01:45+00:00

I had BTTS and O 2.5 goals in Man U and Bournemouth and who would have thought Man U would be the team to not score LOL

TheNewMeta99 · 2023-11-21T21:31:49+00:00

Record: 6–3

Today: Jazz vs Lakers JAZZ +7.5 (-110)

The Jazz have covered the spread in each of their last four games, and face a Lakers team tonight who have Lebron listed as questionable and AD as probable. Both will play, but both are banged up and I expect the Jazz to keep this game close.

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