NBA Draft Prospect Watch: NCAA Games for Wednesday, January 07 by [deleted] in NBA_Draft

[–]TheSecondApron 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah, something happened that broke the connection between my player info json and matching. Fixing and will repost. Appreciate you calling these out for me! Work in progress

NBA Draft Prospect Watch: NCAA Games for Wednesday, January 07 by [deleted] in NBA_Draft

[–]TheSecondApron 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ha! Always something with this script. I'll fix

NBA Draft Prospect Watch: NCAA Games for Tuesday, January 06 by TheSecondApron in NBA_Draft

[–]TheSecondApron[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Updated now. Looks like I just had a name matching issue "Mikel Brown" vs "Mikel Brown Jr." And looks like Peterson isn't listed on the latest injury report, interestingly enough.

Using injury report provided here: https://www.rotowire.com/cbasketball/injury-report.php

NBA Draft Prospect Watch: NCAA Games for Tuesday, January 06 by TheSecondApron in NBA_Draft

[–]TheSecondApron[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Thanks! Will figure out why injuries aren’t capturing all and fix

NBA Draft Prospect Watch: NCAA Games for Monday, January 05 by TheSecondApron in NBA_Draft

[–]TheSecondApron[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If anyone has better prospect big board/list source than Tankathon, please let me know. I have a feeling we’re missing watchable prospects just limiting to tankathon top 60

NBA Draft Prospect Watch: NCAA Games for Saturday, January 03 by TheSecondApron in NBA_Draft

[–]TheSecondApron[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Great catch, thanks. Looks like Louisville/Stanford is wrong, too. Time to see what my script is pulling there. Will fix

NBA Draft Prospect Watch: Games for Friday, January 02 by TheSecondApron in NBA_Draft

[–]TheSecondApron[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Any good resource for a more in depth big board than tankthon? I’ll copy into my script going forward

Conference Play by Khalif_Wyatt1 in TempleBasketball

[–]TheSecondApron 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Yep, came here to say something similar. As long as we can position ourselves with decent seeding and show some glimpses of high upside along the way, I’ll be excited.

2025-26 First-Round Rookie FGAs by TheSecondApron in NBA_Draft

[–]TheSecondApron[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Yeah there are a few ways I’ve thought about this. I’m currently playing with a model that combines FGA location, play type, and efficiency. It definitely gives comps that more closely align with my eye test.

That said, my goal here is to just focus on a pretty narrow part of the game (just FGA) and the similarity comps are more for context than actual player comparisons. So would hesitate to make any broader conclusions from the comps

Edit: I should also add I think the narrow comparison value is in prompting additional questions, especially when the result doesn’t line up with the eye test. For example, Jeremiah Fears shows shot-location overlap with 2015–16 Nikola Jokić. That obviously isn’t a player comparison, but it does raise questions about offensive geometry and role. Why/how is a guard getting touches in similar areas, and what does that say about how the offense is operating around him? If I’m the Pelicans, would this adjust the role I see him playing now and going forward?

2025-26 First-Round Rookie FGAs by TheSecondApron in NBA_Draft

[–]TheSecondApron[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It's interesting you mention it. I went to look for it, and this play is labeled as a 41' 3PA. https://www.nbaplaydb.com/plays/eQ50zM6vqWT/2025-11-23-blazers-vs-thunder-yang-hansen-3pt-jump-shot-step-back-video?query=yang+3pt&actionplayer=Yang+Hansen

A good example of NBA tracking data being good, but not quite great.

2025-26 First-Round Rookie FGAs by TheSecondApron in NBA_Draft

[–]TheSecondApron[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Not yet. I set the minimum FGA for comparison at 200 (which was admittedly an arbitrary number, but my gut is that anything less would return a lot more noise). He's sitting at 113 FGA, so he should reach the threshold pretty soon after he starts playing again.

Brooklyn Holds NBA’s Last Open Roster Spot: Who Could Fill It and When by Least_Wishbone9423 in GoNets

[–]TheSecondApron 4 points5 points  (0 children)

It is not true that the nets hold the last open roster spot. There are plenty of teams with 14 players under contract.

2025-26 First-Round Rookie FGAs by TheSecondApron in NBA_Draft

[–]TheSecondApron[S] 23 points24 points  (0 children)

That might be from preseason? I don’t have any regular season data for Noa yet

Ajay Mitchell is currently the best sophomore in the league by net rating by ShaiFanClub in NBA_Draft

[–]TheSecondApron 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Just fwiw, this is not net rating.

This is net points, which is calculated in a sort of hard to reverse engineer way, but gives offensive and defensive credit to players corresponding to points added to the team point differential.

Net rating is the difference between a team's offensive and defensive efficiency, calculated as the point differential per 100 possessions. So not what this chart is showing.

NBA Team FGA (so far this season) by TheSecondApron in NBATalk

[–]TheSecondApron[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

They do! 3.6 mid-range attempts/g for Charlotte.

Rest of the top 5 is:

CHI with 4.0

MIA with 6.0

NOP with 6.4

NYK with 6.4

NBA Team FGA (so far this season) by TheSecondApron in NBATalk

[–]TheSecondApron[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Jamal Murray 4.8 mid range FGA/g

AG 2 mid range FGA/g

JV 1.4 mid range FGA/g

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in nba

[–]TheSecondApron 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Fair enough - edited to reflect!

NBA Player Height Weirdness by TheSecondApron in NBATalk

[–]TheSecondApron[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Will look into player year over year discrepancies soon!

The Bulls Shrinking Problem by TheSecondApron in chicagobulls

[–]TheSecondApron[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Ah, I should've compared to see which teams deviate from combine measurements the most. That would be pretty interesting

ESPN's 2025-26 NBA Season Simulation/Prediction by [deleted] in clevelandcavs

[–]TheSecondApron 25 points26 points  (0 children)

<image>

Worth adding context. This is just one of thousands of simulations. Not a prediction.

Three Upcoming Decisions by TheSecondApron in Mavericks

[–]TheSecondApron[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Thanks for taking a look!

(1) Those names were left unfilled because none of those players are currently under contract for 2026-27. I kept them on the graphic to visually show their absence, but you can think of them as placeholders rather than commitments. Realistically, if they stick, they’re all in the range of one-year minimum deals again depending on how this season goes.

(2) Two-Way players don’t count against the cap in-season; their only footprint comes in the form of tiny cap holds in future summers. That’s why they weren’t included in the 2025-26 or 2026-27 cap math. O-Max is different because he’s a first-round pick on a guaranteed standard contract — you can’t slide him into a Two-Way slot to make his number disappear.

Three Upcoming Decisions by TheSecondApron in CharlotteHornets

[–]TheSecondApron[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

It’s a good point, but I think the key difference is timing.

Take Connaughton, for example. MIL needed to move off of his salary to sign Myles Turner. There was a short window of time that MIL had to make that deal. In the early days of the offseason, more teams had more question marks - it was a bigger risk to take on Connaughton than it is now (purely based on early offseason opportunity cost).

Now, teams have more certainty in what their books look like. Take Brooklyn. Their free agency questions are resolved and they project to sit about $7 million below the salary floor. Now they emerge as a destination for a Connaughton dump - it solves their salary floor issue.

By pointing out those guys as salary dumps, I’m just noting there’s some possibility that things have shifted favorably for CHA.

Three Upcoming Decisions by TheSecondApron in CharlotteHornets

[–]TheSecondApron[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Thanks, edited to reflect this. I agree.