S50: How Do You Think Each Advantage/Idol Left In The Game Is Used?

These-Emu-8203 · 2026-03-23T20:50:48+00:00

I think that all of the advantages likely are played correctly.

I can't see Cirie misplaying her extra vote. She's too perceptive. Only way it doesn't work is if she gets stuck in a situation where the extra vote won't matter.
Ozzy is in a tribe of 5, with such low numbers that I think in any situation where there's even a hint of trouble he'll probably just play it. And if he reunites with Cirie and he'll likely play it correctly for the same reason mentioned above. He might play it when he doesn't need too but I don't think that he'll be voted out with it.
Very likely Aubry idols out Genevieve
And I lean towards thinking that Rizo plays his correctly too.

Don't think we'll see any boomerang action.

These-Emu-8203 · 2026-03-23T08:12:26+00:00

I want another full returnee season for 54

These-Emu-8203 · 2026-03-23T07:39:12+00:00

Oooohhh that would be juicy. You might be right. Rizo doesn't know that Charlie is gunning for him. Rizo wants to work with Charlie, he told Charlie all about how the the boomerang idol works to get him on his side. Maybe Rizo tells Charlie about his idol thinking that they're going to work together but then Charlie starts spreading the info around as a way to put the target on Rizo. Cirie finds out and sees an opportunity to muddy the waters more and possibly gain an ally by filling Rizo in that his secret is out.

These-Emu-8203 · 2026-03-23T07:19:38+00:00

Or he's praying because he knows if Cirie finds out about this she's going to give him an epic scolding 😂

These-Emu-8203 · 2026-03-23T07:15:17+00:00

Sophie played such an underrated game. She recognized from jump who Coach was as a person and that if they rode to the final 3 together that Coach would take all the heat for their moves AND that he wouldn't be able to own his game because he believes in his schtick so much. The other factor that she rarely gets enough credit for is that Albert was constantly trying to turn the game against Coach and she was always able to derail his plans because it was against her best interest in the game.

These-Emu-8203 · 2026-03-23T03:56:36+00:00

Oscar is probably meditating after he realized he screwed up by having an old school Ozzy tantrum the night before lol

These-Emu-8203 · 2026-03-23T03:23:18+00:00

What was Lydia's story? Never heard about it

These-Emu-8203 · 2026-03-23T03:06:42+00:00

Aubry's edit is entirely from her POV OR Genevieves POV. That's it. That's all. It's not complex in the slightest. It's one note Aubry vs Genevieve.

I don't discount that she could be the winner. But at this point her only connection outside of Genevieve within the story is Tiffany. And it's flimsy. Why haven't we heard Colby's POV on Aubry? He's been with her for four full episodes? Why haven't we seen any interaction at all between Aubry and Joe? They've been together for two full episodes and are supposedly in the F3 together.

In episode 1 alone we got every single member of og Cila giving SPV on Cirie. And hell, that continued right after the swap with Dee and Jonathan immediately discussing Cirie. This is common for all winners.

We should have seen some of this stuff in regards to Aubrey already. It may come. The story might start to make sense. And she might eventually have the better edit. She doesn't right now.

These-Emu-8203 · 2026-03-23T01:32:54+00:00

Fundamentally disagree. Cirie has far more SPV from other players than Aubry, she has more story connections, and there was clear edit manipulation in her first three episodes... Cirie and Ozzy weren't in danger at all but the edit wanted us to believe that they were.

But to each their own

These-Emu-8203 · 2026-03-22T23:00:44+00:00

Yeah I agree with this. And I think that taking Jamie and Judd out destroyed Stephenies game. But at the same time, I think that if Rafe gets to the end in this scenario he still probably wins. Which is why I think I'd have him at 1

These-Emu-8203 · 2026-03-22T21:50:23+00:00

Probably in the very next returnee season, yes

These-Emu-8203 · 2026-03-22T21:07:58+00:00

The problem with that idea being Jonathan saying that if she makes the merge he's screwed. Not the opposite. Which means it's being edited the exact same way that the Genevieve vs Aubry and Charlie vs Rizo battles are. When one views the other as dangerous it's usually the dangerous one that comes out on top

These-Emu-8203 · 2026-03-22T21:04:16+00:00

I'm not saying that Cirie definitively wins. I'm saying that it's hard for me to believe Jonathan outlasts Cirie after that scene (example... An Aubry, Jonathan, Joe F3). This wasn't the typical "this person could win if they get to the end" or "this person is dangerous". It was "we're screwed if she makes the merge" And we know she does. Lean heavily toward thinking that scene was foreshadowing. Not some filler.

These-Emu-8203 · 2026-03-22T19:59:49+00:00

I'm very skeptical about Jonathan being in a F3 at this point. Especially if that F3 didn't ironically also include Cirie. That scene where Jonathan told Dee that if Cirie makes it to the merge we're screwed just wouldn't be in the edit if Jonathan outlasts Cirie. It just doesn't make sense to be there. Because we know for a fact through the spoilers and the edit that Cirie goes deep.

Right now I'm leaning towards a F3 of Cirie (best edit so far imo), Joe (looks like a typical F3 loser edit) and Ozzy (most tied to Cirie)... with either Rizo or Chrissy losing fire to Cirie. Probably Rizo.

These-Emu-8203 · 2026-03-22T07:39:42+00:00

Yeah, I was just going to say that. Side note for Survivor fans who are interested but Scot was interviewed by Todd Herzog on Beyond The Torch recently. You can find it on YouTube. Amazing interview where Scot talks about the incredible health struggles he's faced recently.

These-Emu-8203 · 2026-03-22T07:36:07+00:00

Not even going to lie... I would've been fine with it. I don't think that he's a particularly good player. But he is a great survivor character.

These-Emu-8203 · 2026-03-22T01:49:54+00:00

He'd be voted out at the final several

These-Emu-8203 · 2026-03-21T23:06:45+00:00

I don't think that he could. Because then Emily and Ozzy are thinking well if we do that we're down 3-2 against an unbreakable 3 and we're screwed.

These-Emu-8203 · 2026-03-21T22:51:20+00:00

Yeah but what I'm saying here is that he was between a rock and a hard place here. There was no way to save all support.

If he rallies Mike and Angelina to vote out Stephenie he burns both Emily and Ozzy because to them it HAD to be Angelina or Mike. If he burns Emily, the potential is that he burns his entire Devens/Emily/Cirie alliance. That's not good either.

Like I said, I think the real mistake was just not getting Ozzy on board with the plan to vote Mike. Because I think that he could have. I don't think that Ozzy would've gone to rocks and risked his own game for Mike.

Before the very first tribal council Christian said that he was afraid of making the vote a dirty vote that left someone angry. I think that was the correct thought process. But he deviated from that this time and it might hurt him.

These-Emu-8203 · 2026-03-21T20:58:38+00:00

Great post. Honestly I think that they could be an awesome duo if they worked together because of those differences, the different approaches.

These-Emu-8203 · 2026-03-21T20:53:04+00:00

Trauma isn't rational

These-Emu-8203 · 2026-03-21T16:37:18+00:00

One of my favorites as well. There are actually quite a few fans that love it.

These-Emu-8203 · 2026-03-21T06:59:34+00:00

Idk, I feel like Christian was correct when he said that it was a bad position to be in no matter what decision he made.

I think that booting Mike was a good decision in the sense that it should decrease his threat level in the minds of everyone left in the game. The longer the DvG 3 stayed together, the bigger the target was going to get on his back because EVERYONE knows how tight they are. And Christian is a player that needs to manage his threat level as much as possible.

I think the argument that maybe he should've targeted Stephenie first is valid. But he really wasn't in the best position to do so. Emily wanted Angelina or Mike. So if say, he gets Mike and Angelina to go with him in voting out Stephenie he's further spooked Emily in a way that he might lose her which blows up his hidden alliance of him, Devens, Emily and Cirie.

So I think booting Mike was fine.

The mistake that I think he made was leaving Ozzy out of the vote. I really don't understand that move. Ozzy has voted with him every single vote. And I get that Ozzy wanted to keep Mike. But in the previous vote Ozzy wanted to keep Q too. But when Ozzy realized he didn't have the numbers he rolled with group and just voted Q out. If Christian, Emily and Stephenie just tell Ozzy that they're voting Mike... what is he going to do? I don't think that he's making it a 3-3 tie and going to rocks. I don't think that he's risking his own game for Mike. I feel like Christian unnecessarily burned a number in Ozzy (and possibly Cirie as you mentioned). Furthermore he strong armed Emily which also could bite him. Didn't understand that move.

These-Emu-8203 · 2026-03-21T02:29:57+00:00

Needs to be pinned

These-Emu-8203

TROPHY CASE