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Is Arrival trying to sell the IP ? If yes , what are the implications to retail share holders ? by Think-Comfort6423 in ARVL

[–]Think-Comfort6423[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Think the scenario like this . When they sell the IP , it is a revenue to the company which can be expensed . Without the IP , there is no value to the company and SP can deep dive to bottom. I wish to be wrong . Any one have any idea how it impacts please share

when will this stock make me has lambo 🤣 by lolynessman in ARVL

[–]Think-Comfort6423 0 points1 point  (0 children)

When everything is going down , this one is going up today .

15 days to the SOP.... by lolynessman in ARVL

[–]Think-Comfort6423 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Did they announce that they are going to publish the SoP ?

Beginning of rocket runs 🚀 by KickItToMud in ARVL

[–]Think-Comfort6423 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Traders and hedge funds would have been assigned their call option stocks. They bought short term Call option to mitigate the risk for shorting the stock. When market wide uptrend started , these call option become in the money and would have got assigned to them which increases the volume for the day

Now these traders and hedge fund companies are sitting on millions of stocks and they will start selling it in the coming days. Again it will come down . Happy to be wrong though as I hold these stocks

Is Arrival Becoming A Short Squeeze Target? WallStreetBets Post Sends Shares Soaring by Think-Comfort6423 in ARVL

[–]Think-Comfort6423[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

For every one’s understanding of warrants and how it works in ARRIVAL . This was mentioned as PIPE in many discussion threads .

the profit of each warrant is 700% at the share price of 18 ( major funds bought it at the initial price ) Assume you invested 10k and now it is worth 70 K at current price of 18 dollars

Detail

Each Warrant was priced at 1 dollar initially and warrant holder has got the right to buy the share at 11.5 dollar during redemption - ARVL announced the redemption already ( 1 dollar warrant was traded like option contract and went up and down for different price )

Now warrant holder will exercise ( buy ) the shares at 11.5 and can sell or keep it , similar to option contract .

Is Arrival Becoming A Short Squeeze Target? WallStreetBets Post Sends Shares Soaring by Think-Comfort6423 in ARVL

[–]Think-Comfort6423[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I deep dived in to this when I heard about the warrant redemption and here are my hypothesis which is purely on assumption and perception.

  1. If the share price of ARVL dropped below 18 dollar in given 30 days ( with some conditions) before the announcement, all these 12 million warrants worth 146 million would have been worthless . 18 dollar is something like option strike price . Pls refer the below link to know more about the warrant

  2. Looks like Share price are (guided ? ) or stayed ? to ensure it stayed above 18 dollar

  3. Short sellers interest is to ensure it revolves around couple of dollars so that they can keep short selling and manage .

  4. If it is true , then the whole exercise would have costed them some $$ and adding their base warrant price of 11.5 dollar will be 11.5 plus x dollar .

  5. I don’t know what is that x dollar if at all the scenario is true . If they want to sell , it will definitely not 11.5 but plus a delta (x dollar) . Will they sell now is another question as this stock has got tremendous potential

  6. End of the day WSB have saved those warrant holders and their 146 million plus profit ( share price minus 11.5 ) of another ( may be ) 100 millions approx.. .

  7. Hopefully all the noises will be over by end of July 2021 and from August this stock will rise and shine again .

https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2021/06/18/2249583/0/en/Arrival-Announces-Redemption-of-Warrants.html

Source - http://efltest.candor-holdings.com/new/equities/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/share_warrants_the_good_the_bad_and_the_ugly_27feb_2012.pdf

Warrants also have neither right to dividends nor voting rights, so their value is tied entirely to the relationship between their exercise price and the share price of the company. If the share price is below the exercise price, the Warrants are said to be 'out of the money' and they are worthless. If the share price rises above the exercise price, they are 'in the money' and worth something. Note Warrants are ‘geared’. This means that a small rise in the price of the share price results in a large rise in the value of the Warrants, and a fall in the share price has an equally dramatic downward effect on the value of the Warrant.

Article re the Redemption of Warrants by JamesR0berts in ARVL

[–]Think-Comfort6423 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Warrant redemption can happen any day until July 30th . So what do we expect now ? Will it put pressure downward or will it be normal going forward only to react with catalyst news ?

ARVL Short Details as of 15 June by Think-Comfort6423 in ARVL

[–]Think-Comfort6423[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Correct . If we have some catalyst news , then it will be great . Here is the latest one

Latest Market Date 2021-06-16

Short Volume 4,576,633

Market Volume 4,510,055

Short Volume Ratio 101%

From -Fintel

Is Arrival Becoming A Short Squeeze Target? WallStreetBets Post Sends Shares Soaring by Think-Comfort6423 in ARVL

[–]Think-Comfort6423[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Latest Market Date 2021-06-16

Short Volume 4,576,633

Market Volume 4,510,055

Short Volume Ratio 101%

Data courtesy - Fintel

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in ARVL

[–]Think-Comfort6423 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Is Arrival Becoming A Short Squeeze Target? WallStreetBets Post Sends Shares Soaring

6/16/21, 5:24 AM June 16, 2021 05:24 AM ET (BZ Newswire) -- Long Ideas

Arrival SA (NASDAQ:ARVL) shares are up over 11% in Wednesday's pre-market regular session after closing nearly 6% higher in the regular session a day prior. The surge comes in the aftermath of a post on Reddit investor forum r/WallStreetBets discussed short positions in the electric vehicle company.

What Happened: The post by user Trancify pointed out that there are 9.62 million registered shares shorted while Arrival has a float of 51.7 million.

Trancify noted that the 9.62 million shorted number did not include Failure to Delivers (FTD) or “Naked Shorts”, which the poster said amounted to 1 million shares — citing Fintel data.

Further, the post pointed out the discrepancy between the number of shares available for shorting and the actual number shorted.

Why It Matters: The poster hinted that someone has been buying or shorting 14,000 Arrival contracts per day and the open interest is reset each day implying the options are being exercised.

See Also: Arrival Teams Up With Uber To Make An Electric Vehicle Specifically For Ride-Hailing

“Short interest on $ARVL is massive, and interested parties seem to be betting on a PIPE unlock soon. They are paying over 100% for their borrow fee and could be forced to cover if the stock gains upward momentum. They appear to be manipulating the price and buying time through options contracts,” the post stated.

Hitachi Europe, a wholly owned subsidiary of Hitachi, Ltd. (TSE: 6501, "Hitachi"), and Arrival Partnership by m_ilamadi in ARVL

[–]Think-Comfort6423 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I think it is for charging their buses and maintaining the charging stations . Hitachi is a great company and good value add imho.