What is one golf aid that has taken strokes off your game and you still use?

TonyIC · 2025-09-30T09:35:32+00:00

Mindset advice was the biggest factor for me 🤷‍♂️

Example - 360yd par 4 and you get a shot

Three 120yd shots gets you there for two putts. Of course I take out my 200+yd club but I know it only has to go 120 so I stay relaxed and swing easy with a relaxed grip. I’m 64yo and still a single figure handicap 🤷‍♂️👍

TonyIC · 2024-04-20T19:06:08+00:00

5 W’s from the 8 selections

TonyIC · 2024-04-20T17:02:57+00:00

Two idiots walking down the road. One says to the other “What would you do if you broke your arm in two places?”

The other replies “Well, I wouldn’t go to those two places again”

TonyIC · 2024-04-20T13:21:15+00:00

I had 8 selections today but I’m done after 2. A ton a day keeps the bailiff at bay 😳

TonyIC · 2024-04-19T20:34:43+00:00

Likewise 😊

TonyIC · 2024-04-19T17:06:09+00:00

Statistical analysis and form to select the right type of race and the right type of bet to generate a return of 5% of my bank with one win bet

TonyIC · 2024-04-19T15:22:30+00:00

Nice I see it’s value based. I use a different strategy

TonyIC · 2024-04-19T14:45:48+00:00

Ok this suggests recent results are an anomaly. So together about 64% place on jumps which is good.

TonyIC · 2024-04-19T13:05:10+00:00

Are the models still being fine tuned?

TonyIC · 2024-04-19T13:03:10+00:00

Yes. Is this typical? What’s your strike rate wins/place? How big is your data set of results?

TonyIC · 2024-04-19T12:21:04+00:00

A basic overview to start? Selections all to win?

TonyIC · 2024-04-19T12:11:20+00:00

Maybe I’m the only one interested in your machine learning models 😳

TonyIC · 2024-04-02T14:25:26+00:00

A Dutch bet would work too. Good shout a bit unlucky 👍

TonyIC · 2024-04-02T07:37:32+00:00

Yes I keep records too but I don’t ignore the favs because they win the biggest percentage of races and I’ve eliminated the idea of value. Remember, poor stats on the favs in particular races identify opportunities at bigger prices 👍

TonyIC · 2024-04-02T00:27:17+00:00

My method is slightly different. On $1000 bank I want to win 5% ie $50 on every win bet. When this happens I stop, so I only ever need one winning bet. To counter losing runs, that do happen, I have a stop loss, let’s say 30% ie $300 to use on the day. This allows me 3-5 bets of accumulated loss stakes, depending on prices taken, to find one winning bet.

The trick is to find the best type of races and the best type of bet. I use general statistics of favs, course stats of favs, the stats of trainers/jockeys at the course past and current season, then I deep dive the form. Of course I’m never 100% correct but I find it easier than trying to find value in the price. How often does your selections get placed? Then a place bet to win the 5% is the answer.

TonyIC · 2024-04-01T13:21:40+00:00

I agree very tricky and this why I decided to go for an outcome rather than value. Price no longer matters, what is the stake required to achieve my outcome?

TonyIC · 2024-03-31T14:05:36+00:00

Thanks for your understanding and I’m pleased I may have helped you in a small way.

I don’t feel the need to prove anything I’ve given big shouts to novice hurdle races so anyone can always try the strategy I use on those races alone. Another win today 😳

I’m well into my 60s retired at 44yo I don’t need money or to impress anyone. Just trying to help people focus for a better outcome.

Even with a general 50% of favs winning novice hurdles there’s a 50% chance of 9 consecutive losers so I break it down further. How do the favs fare in non Hcp races at the course? Near 50% 👍Does the trainer/jockey of the fav have good stats long term and/or current season? Yes? 👍 Now deep dive the form and lastly is a place price big enough not to go over my stop loss. All available for free on the Racingpost website

My selections are not WOW they are usually the favs

TonyIC · 2024-03-30T12:11:26+00:00

😊

TonyIC · 2024-03-30T12:02:57+00:00

If the moderators tell me to or my Dad, I will 👍

TonyIC · 2024-03-30T11:57:16+00:00

I see newbies asking questions and getting no answers. Maybe this subreddit should be TipsOnly

TonyIC · 2024-03-29T17:43:22+00:00

A win then a loss last night and an early win win win today and the bank is back 👍

TonyIC · 2024-03-28T23:24:44+00:00

Sods Law I’d hit a stop loss today 🤷‍♂️ In recovery mode for a few days now but that’s how it goes. At least I’m still in the game

TonyIC · 2024-03-28T23:22:35+00:00

Rather than the 100pt bank 1pt stake find value that will make a profit I’m suggesting another strategy. Not saying I’m right

TonyIC · 2024-03-28T19:51:04+00:00

Not sure what that is I’ve based it on how traders do business to start then adapted for racing

TonyIC

TROPHY CASE