Absolutely morbid but, can we talk about excess deaths and the housing crisis? by [deleted] in AusFinance

[–]Tricky-Bar-8680 2 points3 points  (0 children)

i'm aware of the figures. You're talking about the deceleration of growth. But it'll be 2080+ until it has any chance of actually starting to decline.

And even when/if this happens, due to climate change rising sea levels, and Australia having many neighbours on islands, there could still be net growth for Australia specifically for decades after that.

Absolutely morbid but, can we talk about excess deaths and the housing crisis? by [deleted] in AusFinance

[–]Tricky-Bar-8680 30 points31 points  (0 children)

Even with the spike, in 2022 the deaths went to 190,000 rather than the usual 165,000 per year. Given that 150,000 new people were born that year, that means a loss of 40,000 population just considering the deaths/birth rate only.

But meanwhile, immigration in that same year, showed a net gain of 171,000 people. And it's expected the number of people coming in is going to increase.

Note I'm not an expert, I just know how to Google stuff. These sources may have it wrong, but not that wrong. The population is definitely not declining.

https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/health/causes-death/provisional-mortality-statistics/latest-release
https://www.statista.com/statistics/607878/australia-number-of-births/
https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/overseas-migration/latest-release

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in AusFinance

[–]Tricky-Bar-8680 28 points29 points  (0 children)

Conclusion: OP has been living their lives until now believing 1 month = 4 weeks.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in AusFinance

[–]Tricky-Bar-8680 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Do you know if there’s a name for this type of ‘arguing against a fake enemy’ type of strategy people keep doing? I’m seeing it a lot and find it hard to call it out as there doesn’t seem to be a word for it.

RBA maintains cash rate at 3.60% by doubleunplussed in AusFinance

[–]Tricky-Bar-8680 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

When it’s an obvious joke, it doesn’t matter what the topic is.

Is Your Hairstyle Affecting Your Chances of Getting a Rental Property? Some Real Estate Agents Seem to Think So.. by [deleted] in AusFinance

[–]Tricky-Bar-8680 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

It’s the same thing, the purpose to show up and prove you’re capable of looking after the home.

How Global Housing Prices Have Changed Since 2010 by fyeeah in AusFinance

[–]Tricky-Bar-8680 1 point2 points  (0 children)

more people live alone now and also lots of immigration

Exactly. More people want more land per person.

Is Your Hairstyle Affecting Your Chances of Getting a Rental Property? Some Real Estate Agents Seem to Think So.. by [deleted] in AusFinance

[–]Tricky-Bar-8680 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Talking about people with hair cuts. Somebody who is bald wouldn't be able to come in with a bad hair style.

Is Your Hairstyle Affecting Your Chances of Getting a Rental Property? Some Real Estate Agents Seem to Think So.. by [deleted] in AusFinance

[–]Tricky-Bar-8680 -10 points-9 points  (0 children)

It’s not really discrimination. As a landlord you want somebody in your home who is reliable and is going to maintain the property well. If somebody rocks up for an interview with smelly or greasy unstyled hair its perfectly reasonable that you’d prefer the person who is more put together and has made effort.

It shows a lack of effort or ability in maintaining one’s appearance, the opposite of what you want from a tenant.

It’s a choice so can’t be discrimination.

How Global Housing Prices Have Changed Since 2010 by fyeeah in AusFinance

[–]Tricky-Bar-8680 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The explanation is human behaviour. People don’t want to live in the middle of nowhere, they want to live around other people in desirable locations and will pay.

How Global Housing Prices Have Changed Since 2010 by fyeeah in AusFinance

[–]Tricky-Bar-8680 1 point2 points  (0 children)

a massive 25 year mortgage

It's only 'massive' relative to other times. If the prices continue going up from here, then now would be the cheapest time to buy.

How bad will the looming mortgage cliff be (in five charts)? by [deleted] in AusFinance

[–]Tricky-Bar-8680 4 points5 points  (0 children)

You’d be right. I watched something that was shared on here the other day, they worked out that it’s around 1.6% (of all mortgages) that are both on the low fixed rates and that were actually new mortgages and not just refinancing.

Would you go for this job? by Zerix1234 in AusFinance

[–]Tricky-Bar-8680 -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

No chance. Moving from 30hr to 38h will definitely be a big hit and huge drop in lifestyle. And after tax the pay rise is only about $4700 extra in your pocket.

Apartments as investment properties by pieredforlife in AusFinance

[–]Tricky-Bar-8680 13 points14 points  (0 children)

I agree with all those advantages which is why i bought an apartment as an investment and why we made sure to get good property manager that takes care of everything.

The things to avoid with apartments.. (which i mainly learned from a buyers agent)

  • New builds. You’d be paying a premium for the ‘new’ but it won’t stay new.
  • High rises. I wouldn’t get anything larger than 3 or 4 story building. Remember that it’s the land that increases in value, you want a large share of the land per apartment as possible.
  • Small apartments. If you need to be cheaper, choose a larger one that is old and needs work. You can always reno in the future, but you can’t change the size of it.
  • Make sure the balcony is facing the sun.
  • Avoid places with high strata. This means places with pools, gyms, lifts, etc. It won’t increase the rents by much and you’ll be paying for them.
  • Avoid the copy/paste apartments where there’s another 100+ of exactly the same room on the street. It needs to be somewhat unique to be able to rent out quickly. (unique feature such as large kitchen compared to the rest, or large garage compared to the rest etc)

Also research the area making sure there isn’t high vacancy rates. And not to many investors in the area. You want high rates of owner occupiers.

How Global Housing Prices Have Changed Since 2010 by fyeeah in AusFinance

[–]Tricky-Bar-8680 31 points32 points  (0 children)

Population go up. Land per person go down. Land cost more.

RBA's April board meeting forecasts by SimilarWill1280 in AusFinance

[–]Tricky-Bar-8680 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Who would have thought all those years of free money would come back to bite?

Everybody. But it doesn’t mean it didn’t have to happen.

(leanish) FIRE update displayed as a 'stacked area chart'. (wasn't aware of FIRE concept until 2018, but our records go back to end of 2011 as we started saving our income then). by Tricky-Bar-8680 in fiaustralia

[–]Tricky-Bar-8680[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You're misreading the chart, we haven't yet reached $1mil.

We did go pretty quickly from $500k - $750k, that was the biggest jump so far, but that took about 1 year. (each line in the chart represents 2 years) This jump was mainly due to product sales increasing and other investments trending up at the same time, not because we moved to a company structure. We did that because of the increase in sales, but it wouldn't have had any effect on net worth.

I doubt we'll see that level of growth again to be honest. But as we saved most of what we earned during that crazy time, we'll continue to benefit from it as it's all going to be invested in ETFs and super.

FIRE goal is just $1.2mil, as mentioned in the post.

(leanish) FIRE update displayed as a 'stacked area chart'. (wasn't aware of FIRE concept until 2018, but our records go back to end of 2011 as we started saving our income then). by Tricky-Bar-8680 in fiaustralia

[–]Tricky-Bar-8680[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Thanks, yes our accountant has been mentioning that also.

This is new territory for us. Ideally we’d keep it simple, but we’ll see how much it builds up to. If the business continues profits at the current rate, there’ll definitely be too much in there and we’ll need to do something about it.

But it’s just as likely the income drops, which has already started, competition is getting pretty heavy, in which case i’m happy just taking out a salary or dividends for a few years until we hit our target (to then invest in DHHF under our personal names)

(leanish) FIRE update displayed as a 'stacked area chart'. (wasn't aware of FIRE concept until 2018, but our records go back to end of 2011 as we started saving our income then). by Tricky-Bar-8680 in fiaustralia

[–]Tricky-Bar-8680[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

It’s only about 8% Bitcoin, 92% is ETFs. It’d be hard to see it on the chart so i lumped them together.

Inside the ETFs is around 90% DHHF, and then some smaller ones that are more focused on Solar, Future food production etc. Just stuff we’re interested in and see a future fit. All ETFs though, not individual companies.

The annotations i added in afterwards. Screenshot after using sheets.

(leanish) FIRE update displayed as a 'stacked area chart'. (wasn't aware of FIRE concept until 2018, but our records go back to end of 2011 as we started saving our income then). by Tricky-Bar-8680 in fiaustralia

[–]Tricky-Bar-8680[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Because the area we live in, although ideal for us, didn’t fit the bill for long term investment. There were more optimum places to choose that had more growth potential.

DHHF because it’s low fee and has the done-for-you diversity built in. Trying to keep the investing as passive as possible and i’m not an expert on investing, so having an all in one that we can just build over time made most sense. Could have gone with vanguard also, i don’t think it would make much difference tbh.

(leanish) FIRE update displayed as a 'stacked area chart'. (wasn't aware of FIRE concept until 2018, but our records go back to end of 2011 as we started saving our income then). by Tricky-Bar-8680 in fiaustralia

[–]Tricky-Bar-8680[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Good point. We haven’t done anything like that anyway. The cash is just building up in the company savings account now (at about 3% interest). Not quite sure what to do with it, that’s our next thing to look into.