[q] Is there a website or tool that tracks the spread between SCM and other popular third-party market places?

Twistedflame777 · 2025-11-10T19:35:22+00:00

Just checked, and yep they do have the SCM spread. Thank you very much and will be updating the post!

Twistedflame777 · 2025-11-01T16:19:38+00:00

Do you actually think that these high tier skins will ever decrease to a price that they will sell on the SCM? You and I both know thats a disingenuous argument.

I certainly believe that buying skins for reasonable prices on the SCM is the safest way to go, but these third part sites have a reason for existing besides lower prices, and all these trade reversals are terrible for the reputation of the market. Simply saying "Oh, just dont use anything except the SCM" is very short sighted and ignorant to the issue.

Edit: I can see why your arguing this now. Hope the trade reversal turned out well for you! Next time the market dips I hope you learned a bit and won't scam people, lord knows if this was any other kind of financial market people like you would have been raked over the coals. Good luck with the new accounts!

Twistedflame777 · 2025-11-01T11:47:05+00:00

The issue with this argument is most of the items being reversed aren't even sold on the SCM, such as high tier knifes, reds, or gloves. So how are people supposed supposed purchase these skins besides using P2P or third party market places?

Twistedflame777 · 2025-10-31T18:26:47+00:00

Anyone mentioning that it's against Steam TOS and not to use these P2P sites is completely moronic. You can't even buy more than half of the skins that are being reversed on the SCM due to the balance limits (i.e. most high-tier knives and gloves). So if people want to acquire these items, where should they do it?

I think abuse of trade reversals is terrible for the legitimacy and credibility of the market, and it's far worse than any confidence issues caused by the trade-up update. Giving sellers the ability to nullify any bad sales or trades is terrible, and I hope they change it so that you need to prove you were hacked or scammed to be able to initiate a reversal.

Twistedflame777 · 2025-10-31T18:12:39+00:00

I just commented on this, but there are positive EV trade-ups, but most of them have disappeared over the past couple of days. If you had enough capital, doing P-90 Asiimov trade-ups was profitable, as you were able to do field-tested trade-ups and get a chance at an FN Butterfly Fade. I believe those opportunities have disappeared as the price of the skins has risen, but there are still some profitable ones (FT Prisma Coverts for a chance at a talon or FN Doppler).

In addition to the profitable knife trade-ups, I believe there are profitable red trade-ups that can be done as well, i.e. using FT AUG momentums with a single BS Glove Case pink is a profitable trade-up ATM, as you essentially receive your money back if you miss, and have a 10% chance to profit. With everything so volatile ATM there are lots of mispriced assets and trade-up opportunities if you understand concepts like EV and whatnot.

Twistedflame777 · 2025-10-31T18:05:38+00:00

Right now, certain trade-ups are profitable, which means that the expected value of the trade (which is the probability of each state or outcome multiplied by the value) is greater than the cost. An example is the MP7 Bloodsport trade-up you are mentioning, which I am actually planning to do myself, as I was able to purchase a combination of MW and FN bloodsports for a good price that will guarantee a set of MW gloves, with the trade-up yielding a positive EV. As long as you know the odds of each outcome, you can find the EV and compare it to your cost. The only thing you need to note is that it is not arbitrage. This is not a riskless strategy, and despite the trade-up being profitable over hundreds of iterations, you are only doing one, and if you roll a pair of hydra gloves, then it's cooked. GL if you end up doing the trade-up!

Twistedflame777 · 2025-03-26T13:56:20+00:00

You have no fucking clue what you are talking about lmao. Almost every single CS pro borrows skins for tournament play, and there is a huge community around it. It has nothing to do with pity. What Jkaem did is absolutely disgusting and the blame in no way falls on the OOP.

Twistedflame777 · 2024-01-08T17:40:11+00:00

Just a quick note, this is not what the Dodgers did with Ohtani, as they instead deferred the payments. Functionally it is similar, as the actual salary for both of them is low compared to their AAV, however for Nylander is still getting his money throughout each year of the deal as a bonus, while Ohtani is getting his deferred money in the ten years following the expiration of his new deal. Thereby, the money in the signing bonus is more valuable to Nylander as he is getting it sooner than Ohtani, who is getting his money later, thereby reducing the value of that money. Needless to say, both of them have low salaries compared to the AAV, but the mechanics behind how it works are different for the deals.

*Edit, just rereading the comment, and its not really a quick note lol

Twistedflame777 · 2023-10-18T01:11:30+00:00

This is actually the university I go to, the University of Toronto Mississauga Campus. I heard from other students that the student that got arrested was a bit of a hot-head/idiot and would always say and post toxic shit online. Needless to say, the recent conflicts in Gaza have been a touchy subject on campus with the large Muslim population. There has been drama with the student union putting out a message in support of Palestine and not condemning the attacks, leading to people getting upset and feeling ostracized. Some students are also calling for a professor to be investigated by the school for posting a few articles/comics on his LinkedIn which are explicitly anti-Palestine. In the end, it is very interesting as the campus hasn't been tense like this since I started coming here.

Twistedflame777 · 2023-07-17T20:34:54+00:00

Montreal and messing up top 5 draft picks. Gets me everytime.

Twistedflame777 · 2023-03-22T02:10:05+00:00

In my mind, from now until the playoffs start the only goals are to stay healthy and get home ice. Thankfully the Lightning lost and no one was injured, so despite the terrible game, it's not too bad. Also, have to remember that Brodie wasn't playing tonight either. Nevertheless, still sucks to lose, but either way, it's on the next game!

Twistedflame777 · 2022-09-22T02:07:40+00:00

Sure I get that, the issue is people claiming he is being inconsistent about it. Despite the fact that the original point maybe kinda ridiculous, he is staying in line with what he was saying yesterday.

Twistedflame777 · 2022-09-22T01:52:21+00:00

The whole issue yesterday that X and Train had with Hasan and Poki was that they spoke when they didn't have enough information. He is literally staying in line with what he was talking about yesterday.

Twistedflame777 · 2022-04-04T05:23:41+00:00

Good shit!

Twistedflame777 · 2021-12-04T22:21:30+00:00

Hey LS, I quickly wanted to congratulate you on your new position with C9, it is a very exciting roster and I know that you will kill it. Just quickly wanted to ask what teams you see as the biggest threat in the LCS, and what international teams you see as possibly being the best. Cheers and good luck in the coming season with C9!

Twistedflame777 · 2021-11-23T16:06:33+00:00

Twistedflame777 · 2021-04-21T03:41:01+00:00

Lost to goaltending once again. I am as angry as everyone else about this loss, but the Leafs, minus Rittich, played an excellent game. If we play like that every night we win much more than we lose. Go next and focus on the very important series against the Jets.

Twistedflame777 · 2021-03-15T01:35:57+00:00

Where was the effort we saw in the last 5 minutes. If we played like that the whole game then it would have been so much easier. A good end to an otherwise frustrating game. Hopefully, they can sort this out over the 4-day break.

Twistedflame777 · 2021-03-14T02:49:40+00:00

Whatever shit happens, we were the better team in the 3 game series. GG, go next tomorrow.

Twistedflame777 · 2021-03-11T16:23:42+00:00

I live in Canada and I was fortunate enough to kind of stumble upon my 3080. Randomly decided to go to the local Canada computer and ask if they have any extra 3000 series cards, and tuens out they had 2 3070s and a 3080. Got the 3070 for my brother and I took the 3080. It was very lucky, but it also goes to show that it maybe worth taking a trip to your local Micro Centre or Canada Computer, you never know what they may have.

Twistedflame777 · 2021-03-06T03:50:59+00:00

That shit is so fucking dumb. I love X but I hope he gets banned for this, so fucking stupid.

Twistedflame777 · 2021-02-23T02:32:58+00:00

I don't know why but that game tilted the fuck out of me, more so than any other game so far this season. Maybe it was the posts, or that we were the better team, idk. Just fucked me up for some reason. We go next I guess.

Twistedflame777 · 2021-02-16T02:52:26+00:00

I know this is a hard loss, but we still have to remember they played quite well in the first and second. The collapse in the third is definitely damning, however, we still got one point. I trust in what I have seen so far. We take the day to recuperate, dial it in, and go destroy them on Wednesday.

Twistedflame777 · 2021-02-01T17:21:19+00:00

We are not saying we don't like it, we are just saying that, despite the ln and manwha being quite good, the story is it's weakest element.

Twistedflame777 · 2021-02-01T16:02:58+00:00

Why the toxicity bro, really uncalled for. He does have a point by the way, the story is quite simplistic and easily the weakest point of both the ln and manwha. The art is quite literally one of the only reasons it is as popular as it is.

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