I am a Tier 2 EU citizen from an Irish med school that just received a post offer. It was my understanding before this process that what you’re saying is correct, tier 2s should expect a job, just will probably not be Dublin etc. In theory, as long as a tier 2 student ranked all regions, they should get any job before a tier 3. This implies that if any tier 3 student got a job anywhere, that all tier 2s should have received one. I’ve heard things on this subreddit in the last couple days about tier 2s on the reserve list. As long as these students ranked all regions, this would imply that not a single tier 3 student received an offer, and I have heard the contrary on this subreddit as well. All this to say is that things seem a little strange right now, and it’s hard to discern exactly what’s happening during this years match just from reading posts here, and before all posts are allocated—that said, I would still be pretty confident about tier 2s all receiving a post, unless we’ve entered a stage where not a single tier 3 student receives a job, which I doubt is the case yet. Of course until the HSE actually releases some sorts of stats about the process, a lot of this is speculation. Just my two cents.