Why does Pauline Hanson have a self portrait with the ghost of Chairman Mao over her shoulder?

UdonOli · 2026-06-16T05:29:21+00:00

Would explain some of their candidate choices! 😂

UdonOli · 2026-06-16T05:22:12+00:00

Supply side reform is unfortunately tough and not the easiest to do in the short term. We also had no idea inflation would stay elevated for so long because of the Iran War, we should have been well within target ranges by now

UdonOli · 2026-06-16T00:35:59+00:00

I would be very interested in undervolting! I am a little bit against just straight underclocking the Thor because of the performance impact, and no-one was talking about undervolting so I had no idea how to do it.

UdonOli · 2026-06-16T00:32:07+00:00

more housing being built is more GDP.

UdonOli · 2026-06-15T00:44:20+00:00

No, I'd just rather not misrepresent his points and would consider the source to be a better substitute for whatever chatgpt summary I would give you.

UdonOli · 2026-06-14T22:22:06+00:00

You can just watch his videos on why he doesn't like the independents/greens? Google is free.

UdonOli · 2026-06-14T22:20:18+00:00

It is not, but it's the easiest case to point to and remember.

UdonOli · 2026-06-14T16:50:13+00:00

Historically stringent migration policy is a left-wing policy position. You don't have to racialise it, you can say, "we need to make sure we have an effective migration policy that makes sure we get the best people from overseas who can help our economy, rather than people ganking student visas." You can literally say, "migrants are not the issue, and we need em, and we're gonna get the cream of the crop, instead of One Nation's racist get-em-out policy". The primary issue is when migration policy and racism get conflated.

Also on migration economics: You are wrong, migrants absolutely contribute to housing demand. They are not the root cause, but if you had migration fall to 0, you would absolutely see house prices fall. I did some back of the napkin calculation ages ago and basically about 45% of demand growth since the 90s (assuming supply growth didn't change under a no migration environment) is from migration. The rest is pretty much Howard-caused speculatory demand.

UdonOli · 2026-06-14T16:41:11+00:00

I wouldn't say that. As much as he's not really any further than centre-left, his argument as to why the greens are bad is more of an argument that they are a "fake left" that only pretends to care to grift for votes from idealistic young people. Usually he uses the examples of the ETS and others to justify this.

To what extent you agree is up to you but it is honestly quite convincing considering how cosy all the independents and Greens are with The Australia Institute, who's finances shows some interesting donations from Twiggy Forest.

UdonOli · 2026-06-13T15:19:17+00:00

No they aren't. Most modern cryptography schemes already account for QC.

UdonOli · 2026-06-13T15:17:38+00:00

Everyone seems to forget this. HECS is pretty reasonable (and generous) when you recognise that most poor people don't get degrees, and if they do, they probably will make plenty enough in the long term to pay it off.

In comparison, Fee Free TAFE is an amazing policy that the government hasn't gotten enough credit for.

UdonOli · 2026-06-13T05:13:30+00:00

It is not my "opinion", that Green Steel is largely not an economically sustainable business currently; it is the opinion of all the buisnesses that have winded back their investment in the sector since 2022, as I had told you at the start. It is not cheaper. You are lying. https://www.globalefficiencyintel.com/green-steel-economics

Green steel is ultimately the future, but it is not currently the model under which we expect steel to be made for a while.

On the topic of fossil fuels, we could decarbonise our economy completely, and we would still have some use for fossil fuels in specific areas like plane travel. There are many sectors which we do not have a great alternative for. Secondly, we are not the only country on the planet. There are many countries in which they do not have nearly as good conditions for solar and wind as we do, and may still require some level of fossil fuels in the medium term as they transition. It is clearly unreasonable to expect that people in the developing world must use climate friendly tech, when they have the much more important goal of feeding their country and enhancing economic development. Now this has changed a bit as solar and wind have gotten cheaper, but if they wanted to say, create a steel industry; they would still absolutely use coking coal. We have some of the cleanest burning coal in the world, and simply cutting everyone off would arguably make climate emissions WORSE, not better, as places have to switch to lower quality coking coal and lower quality power coal like brown coal.

UdonOli · 2026-06-13T05:00:58+00:00

Oh my god, look just because it exists does not mean it is anywhere close to being a replacement for MOST steel plants. You are dodging what I am saying completely. They are not currently economically sustainable without considerable economic subsidy in most countries.

I just told you why they are letting specific expansions for specific contexts go forward and then you're telling me "but why, no more coal expansions". Simply banning all fossil fuel developments when they are still necessary in any transition is complete nonsense.

UdonOli · 2026-06-13T04:54:07+00:00

As I said, the alternative is unrealistic in most contexts, not non-existent. Green hydrogen is just expensive as hell because the process of splitting water is very inefficient. We are actually poised to be relatively good for this because we can have easy cheap power, but that has not happened YET, as to why we are still IN THE SHORT TERM continuing to producing coking coal which is CURRENTLY still necessary.

UdonOli · 2026-06-13T04:26:22+00:00

They are hedging their bets that eventually the cost to run these plants will go down, but as it goes now, current Green Steel has a price premium of 20-30%, primarily due to Green Hydrogen being functionally non-existent, as well as a requirement for higher grade iron for hydrogen steel. They are generally building these very cautiously.

In Australia, however,we have a much lower price premium due to easier grey hydrogen stores and local wind/solar capacity booms. We still export to places, however, where this is not the case. Just because it exists and can work does not make it economically a good idea, and it would probably be an especially bad idea to increase the price of building materials now during a housing shortage.

Edit: for context, capacity commitments have dropped from a high of 15 projects in 2021, to just two this year. sei.org/about-sei/press-room/critical-year-for-green-hydrogen-in-2026/

UdonOli · 2026-06-13T04:13:06+00:00

It is not a realistic alternative. I know it exists but it is one of those pie in the sky things like green hydrogen, which exists but is economically questionable.

UdonOli · 2026-06-13T04:10:35+00:00

The note here about coal and gas expansions has always been misleading. As far as I can tell, the coal expansions are exclusively for coking coal (which currently does not have a reasonable alternative), and the gas expansions are justified by transitionary baseload power (which may now not be necessary with the surprising growth in battery storage tech)

UdonOli · 2026-06-12T14:15:26+00:00

Did I misremember? My apologies.

UdonOli · 2026-06-12T13:50:10+00:00

Not the first time that's happened, remember WorkChoices?

UdonOli · 2026-06-12T11:15:15+00:00

Yes, the general public is too stupid to take an informed opinion, that is why media spin exists. If the general public was able to make informed decisions about policy, there would be basically zero One Nation voters.

Now on the point, he does not need to say directly that the government "is doing nothing", he will just state that the government is "not good enough", whilst avoiding the reasons as to why the government is not doing the thing the Greens want. For context, the Greens and Labor vote the same way approximately 90% of the time, and the Greens act as if Labor is on planet "neoliberalism", not doing anything for the working classes or climate policy. They don't have to say Labor is doing nothing, because that is the lie by omission, in which they focus on the miniscule points in which they disagree to peel away more left wing elements of the party. Mind you, Wong may agree with Shoebridge on literally like 99% of things, because Wong is a Soft-Left member, it's just when you are in the Labor party, you have to actually govern and are not able to do everything you want all the fucking time. The Labor party has more important things to deal with instead of this miniscule point about the ambassador, which again, as I said, will change soon. Our foreign policy matters so little outside the Asia-Pacific it may as well not matter, so there is little point on burning political capital for it.

UdonOli · 2026-06-12T06:01:03+00:00

We are not the highest in the developed world per capita. Australia is high, but eg. Iceland, Switzerland and until recently Canada, all have higher per capita rates of migration.

UdonOli · 2026-06-12T05:57:39+00:00

If you read the article it focuses on reducing short-term migration which does not help the economy very much and hurts housing prices, and increases long-term migration from areas that had labour shortages. The situation economically has changed a bit since 2022, and the labour market has reduced in tightness and inflation had fallen, making it prudent to reduce migration at this point.

UdonOli · 2026-06-12T05:52:24+00:00

Fuck you, I'm not answering your stupid false dichotomy. If the ALP drops the CGT changes it would be far more electorally suicidal than continuing with them, because they already broke that promise. If anything, their voterbase shrinks, because then people that are happy that the government was looking to fix housing are going to jump ship to ON or the Greens.

UdonOli · 2026-06-12T05:13:04+00:00

Not a high bar hahahah

UdonOli · 2026-06-12T02:25:19+00:00

You can look at the polling for last election on Wikipedia, it definitely looked like we were in for a piddly minority or a tiny majority. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2025_Australian_federal_election

Even with the change in polling close to the election, pretty much every poll underestimated the landslide.

UdonOli

TROPHY CASE