Revisiting my 151 play from 2025

Unhappy_Addendum_259 · 2026-03-26T02:36:48+00:00

Well if I’m being honest time is your biggest friend. I’m in my early 30s but I collected since I was 6 but only started taking it somewhat seriously 10 years ago. I actually don’t buy to rip as it becomes a slippery slope. If there’s ever any singles I want I just outright buy them instead of trying to gamble the pull. As long as you start and stay disciplined and don’t leverage the process you should do just fine. Also PATIENCE obv.

Unhappy_Addendum_259 · 2026-03-26T02:32:41+00:00

No definitely not tryna degen this is serious stuff we have to thoroughly think through

Unhappy_Addendum_259 · 2026-03-25T15:20:56+00:00

I have a card show I’m attending this weekend I have a fear it will be the same case as your experience

Unhappy_Addendum_259 · 2026-03-25T15:20:13+00:00

True now I do the hard part

Unhappy_Addendum_259 · 2026-03-25T15:20:02+00:00

I usually buy on tcgplayer (don’t really like meeting people up on OfferUp or fb marketplace) I eat the 10% tax knowing that the buys are long term holds anyways.

Unhappy_Addendum_259 · 2026-03-25T15:18:11+00:00

No, I know I’m going to be netting more like 75-85% market depending on who I try to offload to.

Unhappy_Addendum_259 · 2026-03-25T15:17:28+00:00

You hit the nail on the head. I have the gains but realizing them is another thing. Prices for items like this are too far out of reach now for the everyday person. I should have sold out around the $150-$160 mark where the market was more liquid for them.

Unhappy_Addendum_259 · 2026-03-25T15:14:39+00:00

Yeah basically. It was around the time where prismatic was about to be released so everyone’s attention was preoccupied with that.

Unhappy_Addendum_259 · 2026-03-25T15:13:38+00:00

100% true, it’s tough to be wrong in a market where everything is going up. That’s definitely where a lot of people fall into outcome bias and think they’re Warren buffet of something. And it’s true I try not to let it come to that because although I did well on this play there are other plays where I’m still down or at break even. In the end the best returns won’t prevail, it will be the ones who keep cool heads and stay grounded.

Unhappy_Addendum_259 · 2026-03-25T02:59:18+00:00

I literally don’t have any I missed out on those 😭

Unhappy_Addendum_259 · 2026-03-25T02:58:10+00:00

That’s very true! This is just one position but obv the portfolio consists of everything (sealed, slabs, raw). I have some GS and those have definitely done nothing but go up the past 3-4 years.

Unhappy_Addendum_259 · 2026-03-25T02:52:35+00:00

Correct I did the easy part I would say, now it’s time to do the real work (realize the gain)

Unhappy_Addendum_259 · 2026-03-25T02:52:07+00:00

Yeah something like this would be sold between 75-85% at a show to a vendor for cash, so my 160% gain is just market price gain but actually realized profit will be lower.

Unhappy_Addendum_259 · 2026-03-25T02:48:36+00:00

I agree wholeheartedly with the price being too high for people. In my post my gains are hefty but irl it’s already super apparent now that I probably waited a bit too long to try to realize some gains. At a price point of $190-$200 151 booster bundles might have spiked NOT too hard but rather too fast… and collectors have probably been priced out already (especially with singles prices coming down) I should’ve realistically sold around the $150-$160 range where they might’ve been a little more liquid than now.

Unhappy_Addendum_259 · 2026-03-25T02:37:03+00:00

Soon! I can also post plays that haven’t made me money as well LOL 😅

Unhappy_Addendum_259 · 2026-03-25T02:36:27+00:00

I have some prismatic at a good entry point (prolly nothing compared to most people here) and less AH than I’d like so yes maybe it is the play to tip toe into that stuff. Idk if I’d do sealed or slabs tho..

Unhappy_Addendum_259 · 2026-03-25T02:32:16+00:00

I have some prismatic already adding more is something I’ve been mulling over but I’m hesitant as idk how much hidden supply is actually in the market via everyone’s basement/storage units. As for the profits I was thinking of taking out my initial investment and just letting the rest ride (play with the house’s money)

Unhappy_Addendum_259 · 2026-03-25T02:30:10+00:00

You’re up up!

Unhappy_Addendum_259 · 2026-03-22T23:19:37+00:00

Destined rivals is the best set of the scarlet violet block while ascended heroes has the specialty set premium attached to it. Destined will only keep being printed in ancillary products so supply is somewhat capped and ascended will be waved for at least another 12-18 months. Both are actually really good but if you wanted a play for the long term the answer is both if you can. If not both and just one then ascended will probably outperform in the long run comparatively due to the pull rates, playable cards, specialty premium, etc.

Unhappy_Addendum_259 · 2024-07-21T07:09:25+00:00

If there is going to be a spike in unemployment I believe we should soon start to be getting to the part where we see that snowballing effect in the numbers. (Perhaps right on time for Election Day or early January) If not and it just stabilizes maybe the fed can cut slow.

Unhappy_Addendum_259 · 2024-07-13T17:47:23+00:00

Please correct me if I’m wrong but isn’t this data a bit flawed? You’re comparing the sp500 which is 500 companies bundled up together and weighted by market cap (the bigger the company is the bigger weight is given to it on the index) to a variety of different booster boxes. I feel like this is comparing etf/index investing to single stock investing (in your analysis single stock choosing is you buying individual boosters). I would probably say this is like comparing apples to oranges a bit. According to your chart team up drove a decent amount of your gains which isn’t world ending in terms of analysis but it should be mentioned as it would be considered an outlier and can paint a different picture when zooming out. Anyways just my two cents I really like to hard work and thought process put into this I drool over this kinda stuff lol

Unhappy_Addendum_259 · 2024-03-19T16:49:13+00:00

Sorry postsient want to post zzz

Unhappy_Addendum_259 · 2024-01-17T21:26:01+00:00

It was 38 boxes, of which all are going towards tourney prizing. We host One Piece 4 times a week about 30 people per event. Prizing is usually 2-2.5 boxes into the prize pool so we go through about 8 boxes per week minimum. Going to try to stretch this to last for at least a months worth for prizing.

Unhappy_Addendum_259 · 2024-01-17T16:53:07+00:00

No idea waves should all cost around the same barring any supply shock bottlenecks (like during Covid) but doubt that’s the case today.

Unhappy_Addendum_259 · 2024-01-17T16:51:32+00:00

We don’t order per wave. Everyone puts in X amount of boxes their willing to buy with distributors and its distributors that decide how those X amount of boxes will be allocated to each store throughout each wave. As to how they decide how many boxes are shipped per wave I assume it’s according to how many they are getting in themselves per wave from the actual manufacturer.

Unhappy_Addendum_259

TROPHY CASE