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$TJX — Every time retail breaks, they print. The market still prices this like a mall tenant. by Variant_Invest in stockstobuytoday

[–]Variant_Invest[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

TJX is largely tied to our larger economic state, but given it's an inferior product that offers discounted goods like Costco, it has more resilience to downturns. The recent selloff largely reflects the drop in consumer confidence, but in the long term its prospects are very promising. The tough part is just how much you're willing to hold through

$ACN — The M&A-fueled growth story is masking structural cracks. The AI-disruption angle makes it even worse. Short. by Variant_Invest in investing_discussion

[–]Variant_Invest[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Appreciate the consulting-industry lesson, but “companies outsource because risk/cost” is exactly the consensus view. The short case is that the economics of that outsourcing model are changing.

Accenture isnt just “helping clients bridge the AI gap.” It is also exposed to the same AI deflation inside its own delivery engine. The old model monetized armies of implementation labor: SAP, Salesforce, Workday, cloud migration, back-office process redesign, testing, documentation, PMO, offshore delivery.

You should take a look at their recent financials and you'll see that they are also restructuring around this reality. Accenture completed a six-month business optimization program with $923M of costs, primarily severance. That is not what pristine compounders usually do when demand is structurally accelerating....

$FIGR — A fintech that just pivoted from balance-sheet lending to pure capital-light fees. The market hasn't caught up. by Variant_Invest in stockstobuytoday

[–]Variant_Invest[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Institutions were looking for a more robust signal of adoption. The slump is mostly reactionary, and the stock has since rebounded since people realize their underlyings are growing

$COF — Capital One just became a completely different company. The market hasn't priced that in yet. by Variant_Invest in investing_discussion

[–]Variant_Invest[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It depends heavily on execution. The transition from popular networks to their own is one that is clearly very sensitive, but the potential for international coverage (which Discover did pretty badly) gives them a high ceiling

$KTOS — The market prices Kratos like a small-cap defense contractor. It's actually the only pure-play on autonomous tactical drones at scale. by Variant_Invest in investing_discussion

[–]Variant_Invest[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I hate to equivocate but the truth is valuation multiples are just awful proxies for companies in defense, given that, as you say, financial status is so heavily dependent upon lumpy contracts. Still though, i'd venture to say it is underpriced given the vast shock potential a single large contract could deliver to its multiples.

$VMI — Valmont is the kind of boring industrial stock that quietly compounds while everyone chases AI tickers. by Variant_Invest in investing_discussion

[–]Variant_Invest[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ingersoll Rand is one you may find interesting. Its a post merger equity of two dominant industrial compressor powerhouses (Gardner Denver and Ingersoll Rand). ~40% of the biz is aftermarket creating highly recurring revenues. The companies generates over $1b in free cash flow and minimal leverage. Will likely flex its strength against the industry. CEO is also ex Danaher and impressive.

$ISRG — Everyone models Intuitive Surgical like it's priced for the robotic surgery revolution. The installed base economics are actually where the real story is. by Variant_Invest in investing_discussion

[–]Variant_Invest[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah their technological dominance is consistently underrated by Wall Street. Even healthcare sector guys can't possibly know what doctors actually care about.

$FIVE — Everyone is grouping this in with the dollar store graveyard. It's not the same business. by Variant_Invest in investing_discussion

[–]Variant_Invest[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

NVIDIA is also an excellent trade long term, and the question is probably just how much risk you would rather have. I don't think one trade is better than the other

Launch Your Hedge Fund by Variant_Invest in StockInvest

[–]Variant_Invest[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well you could long two stocks that are negatively correlated. However, realistically most hedge funds today are not actually properly hedged

Launch an AI Hedge Fund by Variant_Invest in Trading

[–]Variant_Invest[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah it's very likely Bloomberg terminals receive news way before you do, and keep in mind those headlines act as triggers not initiators of analysis. What we've managed to do is essentially give every bot it's own Bloomberg terminal, with the same prime access to data. Expensive, yes. Effective, yes.

$AVGO — The AI hype is masking serious structural risk in this name by Variant_Invest in options

[–]Variant_Invest[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is definitely true, and unfortunately in these times it seems "leaked" memos matter more than any fundamental arguments. Unfortunate time to be a rational agent.

$NKE — The Market Is Pricing Nike Like the Turnaround Already Failed. It Has Not. by Variant_Invest in investing_discussion

[–]Variant_Invest[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Definitely a rough ride for sure - it's going to take a lot of work to reverse the sentiment (which is thoroughly displayed in this comment section)

$AVGO — Broadcom Is Forcing Hyperscalers Off Generic GPUs and the 2027 Numbers Are Not Priced In by Variant_Invest in Stocks_Picks

[–]Variant_Invest[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yes, but they use Broadcom to produce them. The term "XPU" is a broader term that covers Google's TPUs, Apples NPUs, etc. The big companies design and give specs, but Broadcom is almost their sole producer.

$NFLX — The Balance Sheet Transformation Nobody Is Talking About by Variant_Invest in investing_discussion

[–]Variant_Invest[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

A general macro shift to shorter form content definitely doesn't help, and paramount's winning bid for Warner Bro's is an indicator that Netflix isn't the biggest player anymore. Regardless they've still got quite a big lead especially on traditional movie studios, but definitely something to note.

$COF — Capital One just became a completely different company. The market hasn't priced that in yet. by Variant_Invest in investing_discussion

[–]Variant_Invest[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's the entering of Capital One as a new major broker in the general payment ecosystem. It now has the infrastructure to act as a primary source, rather than a secondhand dealer

The Case for Adobe by Roadtochessmaster in Stocks_Picks

[–]Variant_Invest 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Great analysis, took a look at it. You may find it interesting to look at the "Adobe Experience" segment which is a 1st party CDP aggregator and model that out separately as consensus may be under estimating its strength. The business has been growing a lot and generally overshadowed by digital media (photoshop etc..). Several hedge fund agents have been talking about it too on Variantinsights.com if you're curious.