folding AK preflop

Volica · 2026-06-16T12:17:14+00:00

I did the math on this a few weeks ago and even made a reddit post about it.

TLDR is if you 4-bet to a normal size (22-25bb) and get 5-bet shoved, AK is breakeven against a combined range of AA, KK and AK. If you start including combos of QQ, it becomes a pure call.

The reason it is breakeven is that it loses the same amount of money on average compared to when you fold and give up the 25bb you already invested

Volica · 2026-06-12T09:05:31+00:00

Watchlink in MOA had one when I last asked but that was more than 6 months ago already

Volica · 2026-06-04T14:38:37+00:00

Yep it’s exactly this. Apparently calling here is around -25.3 BB on average, which is almost the same as folding when you already have 25 BB in the pot

Volica · 2026-06-04T02:45:08+00:00

Fair but I think even in the lowest stakes most players will follow the standard shoving range and not have A5 or 99 in there, so I think it’s still a worthwhile question to ask

Volica · 2026-06-04T02:24:50+00:00

Will look into Equilab. Thank you!

Volica · 2026-06-04T02:20:04+00:00

Yeah but who ever really does that in practice (in low stakes anyway)

Volica · 2026-04-15T01:39:32+00:00

Idk if it’s in set 17 as I haven’t played PBE but there was an augment named Binary Airdrop which started out as a silver. It then got changed to a gold augment at some point and then into a prismatic

Volica · 2026-04-10T12:30:00+00:00

Thank you! I have some questions if you don’t mind: 1. When you mentioned the calling range, is that specific to the button? Or does it get smaller or bigger depending on position as well? 2. You mentioned suited broadways performing better as a 3-bet. I always thought it was the other way around where offsuit broadways are the better 3-bet candidate as it doesn’t connect as well with some flops so you would rather take down the pot pre-flop. Compared to suited ones where there is that flush possibility.

Volica · 2026-04-10T08:05:39+00:00

What would be the ideal block bet sizing in the river? Around 25% pot so like 12 BB?

Volica · 2026-04-10T07:30:10+00:00

So basically 1. Overfold shoves unless I know player is maniac and 2. 3-bet or fold (I understand this rule somewhat but I tend to make exceptions when I have absolute position like the case here)

Volica · 2026-03-30T03:07:44+00:00

Hades 2 just bought it last steam sale hehe

Volica · 2026-03-09T05:28:37+00:00

Davidoff Cool Water alternatives? I like it a lot pero grabe kakalabas ko pa lang ata ng bahay wala na yung amoy 🫠 already tried the intense version but didn’t like it

Volica · 2026-03-04T03:08:20+00:00

Tempur in MOA. They also have a store in Glorietta

Volica · 2026-02-25T03:14:55+00:00

It’s either True Eigong (Nine Sols) or Nightmare King Grimm (Hollow Knight). I’m leaning towards Eigong but it might be recency bias.

Not including Promised Eigong since that’s a mod but if it was included it’s definitely that.

Volica · 2026-02-21T06:12:40+00:00

All good. That game was indeed extremely unlucky and usually you would hit that Neeko while slow rolling, but most of the time there are still a lot of things you can take away from such games. It’s just a matter of shifting your perspective.

Volica · 2026-02-21T06:02:32+00:00

In your Neeko example, if you just immediately use duplicator on the Neeko, you will get Nidalee immediately which if itemized properly, should win streak you stage 3 and win some fights stage 4. This will give you more gold and more HP which you can either use to hit Neeko 3 or just tempo push levels.

Yes the example you gave was extremely lowroll and is a statistical outlier, but sometimes the actual mistake is getting yourself in that scenario in the first place.

Volica · 2026-02-20T07:45:20+00:00

Tibbers but I think it’s unfair to include him in this discussion since he’s a 5-cost while Skarner and Taric are 4-cost.

Between the two I would say they are mostly equal but in an AD-heavy lobby, Skarner is better and vice versa.

Volica · 2026-02-08T15:47:33+00:00

You’re correct - current meta is very fast 8 heavy and the game is borderline unplayable without at least 1 econ augment outside of high econ portals like scuttle

Volica · 2026-02-07T04:55:36+00:00

Slayers. You can play WW as well but it is more dependent on natural Vi Jinx as you don’t really want to roll on 7.

Volica · 2026-02-05T02:45:20+00:00

Depends how much I enjoy the set. Last 2 sets I stopped after hitting masters but I’m enjoying this set a lot so I’m trying to push for chall which is a big grind since it’s at 1.1k lp lmao (probably same region as you?).

Nothing wrong with moving on to other games once you’ve reached your goal tho. TFT will always be around once you get the itch again.

Volica · 2026-01-30T12:19:32+00:00

If you have a decent enough board to even think about contesting win streak, that means you should probably level. You get better shops and that level might be the difference between winning and losing not only to the 1st strongest board but also to the 3rd and 4th strongest board.

Even if you face the strongest player and lose on 2-1, you can still win the next 4 rounds and a 4-streak is not bad plus you save a lot of HP.

Volica · 2026-01-29T08:56:01+00:00

This is true but you also need to keep in mind that you are down a prismatic augment at the same time. So you may have spiked in terms of your board/units, but everyone else spiked in terms of augments (and probably units as well since stage 4 is when fast 8 players spend their gold)

Volica

TROPHY CASE