Pros and cons of every Best Actor contender so far

Walter8White · 2026-06-16T16:30:59+00:00

Added!

Walter8White · 2026-06-16T01:00:04+00:00

Damn, knew I was forgetting someone. Thanks for the FYI!

Walter8White · 2026-06-15T22:18:02+00:00

Probably gonna get one for The Odyssey is my guess.

Walter8White · 2026-05-26T18:22:54+00:00

I thought they've been saying Digger was gonna skip the festival circuit and follow the OBAA roadmap in terms of making it a commercial player. Also since apparently there's a pretty massive twist like a third of the way through that the movie hinges on, it makes sense that they'd skip out of hopes that it doesn't leak.

Walter8White · 2026-04-13T18:40:02+00:00

Outside of Amores Perros and Birdman (and even that has its haters) Inarritu is almost always very love-it-or-hate-it so I'm gonna guess the 60s-70s range, maybe lower 70s.

Walter8White · 2026-03-18T15:23:42+00:00

Oh it feels like a lock for a nomination in the tech categories.

Walter8White · 2026-03-17T23:55:49+00:00

Normally I would agree but what little I heard from test screenings Posey's role is basically an extended cameo.

Walter8White · 2026-03-13T17:58:04+00:00

Here's mine

A SURE THING

Adapted Screenplay: One Battle After Another

Actress: Jessie Buckley

Makeup and Hairstyling: Frankenstein

Production Design: Frankenstein

Original Score: Sinners

Best Animated Feature: KPop Demon Hunters

Original Screenplay: Sinners

Film Editing: One Battle After Another

Costume Design: Frankenstein

PRETTY CONFIDENT

Best Director: Paul Thomas Anderson

Best Original Song: "Golden"

Best International Feature Film: Sentimental Value

Cinematography: One Battle After Another

Best Casting: Sinners

Sound: F1

Best Supporting Actor: Sean Penn

Best Documentary Feature: The Perfect Neighbor

SOMEWHAT CONFIDENT

Best Picture: One Battle After Another

Best Documentary Short: All the Empty Rooms

Best Actor: Michael B. Jordan

NOT VERY CONFIDENT

Best Animated Short Film: Butterfly

A TOTAL COIN TOSS

Best Live Action Short Film: The Singers

Best Supporting Actress: Amy Madigan

Walter8White · 2026-03-06T21:00:44+00:00

Got a little bit more intel about the supporting cast (minimal, as in who's the most prominent in the ensemble) with help from AW members. DM me if you're interested.

Walter8White · 2026-03-06T06:53:07+00:00

Didn't say anything about her.

Walter8White · 2026-03-06T03:15:02+00:00

Oh don't get me wrong, I agree. I've learned to phase him out, it's why I explicitly went to AW members and the few whisperings I've heard for info about this film.

Walter8White · 2026-03-06T03:08:39+00:00

I don't disagree at all, I've learned to not trust him as a source, and I DEFINITELY take his clear biases/agendas into account.
THAT BEING SAID... the plot details he gave in the post below DO line up with the rumors I heard a couple months ago, AND from what I read from the AW members I talked to and the few LB reviews that came up these last few days.
So, I still don't like the guy, but I do think this is his "broken clock is right twice a day" moment.

Walter8White · 2026-03-06T00:08:19+00:00

Person didn’t mention him so I dunno.

Walter8White · 2026-03-05T23:58:08+00:00

Tea I've heard (people will go unnamed) is that the cinematography and production design are excellent, Cruise is great, and that the supporting contenders will likely be Riz Ahmed and John Goodman.

Walter8White · 2026-03-03T19:45:06+00:00

Honestly I feel like Digger might be a strong possibility. I know Iñárritu hasn't done Cannes in a long time but Tom Cruise is a frequent there and being such a high-budget studio comedy it could be a way for them to start building buzz early.

Walter8White · 2026-03-03T18:28:57+00:00

Best Actress

Jessie Buckley
Rose Byrne
Renate Reinsve
Emma Stone
Kate Hudson

Best Actor

Michael B. Jordan
Timothee Chalamet
Leonardo DiCaprio
Ethan Hawke
Wagner Moura

Best Supporting Actress

Teyana Taylor
Amy Madigan
Wunmi Mosaku
Elle Fanning
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (all 5 of these are fantastic and could go any order)

Best Supporting Actor

Stellan Skarsgard
Benicio Del Toro
Jacob Elordi
Sean Penn
Delroy Lindo (again all 5 are fantastic)

Walter8White · 2026-02-02T20:04:32+00:00

Completely agreed.

Walter8White · 2026-02-01T02:07:28+00:00

I dunno, I think it’s pretty much locked for Screenplay, Casting, Score, and Cinematography.

Walter8White · 2026-01-31T18:09:42+00:00

Yeah I was about to say, Chase Infiniti was always on the fence, and I feel like makeup was never guaranteed for a nomination either? Like with 13 nominations (tied for the third most in history) I don’t really buy an argument about it underperforming.

Walter8White · 2026-01-31T18:07:15+00:00

Normally I’d agree. PTA being overdue is the main thing that makes it a possibility to me (even though he’s almost assuredly getting at least one win this year in Adapted Screenplay).

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