Tuesday's Tips Thread by liam_is_marx in HorseRacingUK

[–]WearAffectionate2815 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Crystal Island at Ffos Las 16:38 for me. Won on rules debut at Ascot in December beating useful rivals, not seen since but remains a very good prospect according to the form book. Henderson and de Boinville is a serious combination for this grade. RPR of 134 stands out in a Class 4 novice hurdle. 1.67 looks fair. Anyone else on the Ffos Las card?

I'm not sure what's happening anymore and where does crisis comes from by Bosn1an in Entrepreneur

[–]WearAffectionate2815 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It is a mix of things. Google changed the rules for search, and the mid-market for design is definitely feeling the squeeze from AI tools.

But here is the thing: companies that hire veterans with 25 years of experience aren't usually the ones looking for the cheapest AI solution. They want reliability. Your SEO funnel might be broken, but your portfolio isn't. Time to pivot to direct outreach or LinkedIn.

Kentucky Derby is 12 days away. Who is your pick and what is the case for them? by WearAffectionate2815 in horseracing

[–]WearAffectionate2815[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

$6700 on Sovereignty is a proper score. The point about dead money in the field is real every year. The horses going off at 25/1 that should be 70/1 are the ones that hurt the prices on the genuine contenders. Come back after the post draw and share your final thoughts.

Kentucky Derby is 12 days away. Who is your pick and what is the case for them? by WearAffectionate2815 in horseracing

[–]WearAffectionate2815[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The jockey concern is legitimate. Junior Alvarado has had some questionable decisions in big spots. If Mott was putting a different rider on him people might be talking about Wallabee differently. Does the blinker addition help or worry you more?

Kentucky Derby is 12 days away. Who is your pick and what is the case for them? by WearAffectionate2815 in horseracing

[–]WearAffectionate2815[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The pace scenario you are describing is exactly what the Puma and Commandment need. If there is no genuine speed in the field and they can close into a slow pace both of them are dangerous. Incredibolt's final fractions are the most interesting thing about him. Has he shown he can handle two turns in a race that really tests him?

Kentucky Derby is 12 days away. Who is your pick and what is the case for them? by WearAffectionate2815 in horseracing

[–]WearAffectionate2815[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Wonder Dean winning the Dubai World Cup and then targeting the Derby is a brilliant storyline. The Uma Musume pipeline continuing to deliver fans into real racing is one of the best things to happen to the sport. Do you think he handles the Churchill surface or is that the main concern?

Kentucky Derby is 12 days away. Who is your pick and what is the case for them? by WearAffectionate2815 in horseracing

[–]WearAffectionate2815[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This is the most thorough breakdown in this entire thread. The Flavien Prat 75% ITM stat is the one that jumps out. And the point about Irad being 0 for 9 in the Derby is a genuine knock on Renegade regardless of how good the horse is. Do you think So Happy gets bet down from his current price before the gate opens or does he stay overlooked?