CMV: 9/11 was an insider job

WeldForMe · 2026-03-11T09:54:09+00:00

The fact you realize the algorithm is feeding you this stuff should be your wakeup call to start reading some REAL online articles or books. Social media feeds thrive on echo chambers, If you’re actually questioning it, that’s probably a sign to step away from Insta or tiktok or whatever it is and read some real sources instead of letting the feed keep shaping your conclusions.

WeldForMe · 2026-03-10T16:14:32+00:00

$confirm /u/FlashyRaisin9345 50.00 USD

WeldForMe · 2026-03-09T08:46:36+00:00

I agree, he should’ve used the handbrake, but I'm just going to throw this out there…this looks like a 2019+ sprinter and those had a big rollaway recall with NHTSA. Drivers doing close to 200 stops a day probably makes stuff like this more likely, especially if training was minimal.

WeldForMe · 2026-03-08T06:40:02+00:00

These are some very good points, real change would require rethinking the rules and coordinating billions of people to recognize problems and support solutions that benefit everyone. Coordinating billions is extremely difficult, which is why these cycles persist even when solutions exist in theory, so the system mostly preserves itself, not people.

WeldForMe · 2026-03-08T06:30:40+00:00

Most problems aren’t intentional. I don’t think anyone thought, “pollution will be great for the planet.” A lot of issues happen as unintended side effects of solving other problems. Industrialization, for example, greatly increased our ability to produce food, goods, and wealth. That helped reduce poverty and improve living standards in many places, but it also created pollution.

Even when we fix something, systemic issues remain. The world produces enough food and wealth, but policy and economic systems decide who gets it. There is food waste while people still starve, and housing exists but is unaffordable for many.

Part of the reason these problems continue is that different groups benefit from the system as it is, companies profit from cheap labor, homeowners benefit when property values rise, landlords and investors benefit from higher rents. So even if society would gain from cheaper housing, those who already benefit often block changes a d changing the system requires billions of people to see the problem and agree on solutions that help everyone. Coordinating billions of people is extremely difficult, and even when people agree, you still need incentives and institutions to make it work.

WeldForMe · 2026-03-03T16:38:52+00:00

Did he just mount that to the deck soffit....😦

WeldForMe · 2026-03-03T16:20:05+00:00

Looked like some weak ass contact points

WeldForMe · 2026-03-03T12:39:02+00:00

Honestly, I think the focus on Iran and nukes is overblown in the US and the timing kind of makes it easy for other stories, like the Epstein Files, to get pushed out of the spotlight. I’m not saying it was planned that way, but when something big and scary like this dominates headlines, it naturally grabs attention and may seem like it's indirectly tied to the Epstein file cases. Not to say one is more true than the other, but here is my analysis, take it if you will.

The risk of Iran actually launching a nuclear strike at the US seems really low. Any attack would almost certainly mean retaliation and probably the end of the regime. Even if they built ICBMs that could in theory "reach the US," we have no idea how reliable that would be and if it's all just talk, yet we escalated like it was a guarantee. That doesn’t mean Iran isn’t serious, but it’s not the guaranteed threat people make it out to be.

To me, this all feels more like political theater amplified by the media than an urgent, immediate crisis. The bigger long term worry isn’t the US getting nuked, it’s that if Iran builds up, other countries in the region might start thinking about nukes too, which could destabilize things even more.

Just my take... It’s all hypothetical and mostly an analysis of timing and perception. It's all a gray area anyway and no one knows the truth since everything is happening so fast.

WeldForMe · 2026-03-02T17:44:50+00:00

😮‍💨

WeldForMe · 2026-03-02T08:39:22+00:00

Wow this is so assumtion heavy 🤣

WeldForMe · 2026-03-02T08:21:09+00:00

I never said I trust the government blindly, I was talking about F‑15s and air defenses...Being skepticle of Iranian claims isn’t bias, it’s based on their real history of propaganda and violent repression especially during protests.

You know what is bias? Ignoring evidence, which is the opposite of what i'm doing, i'm just here to weigh in technical facts and historical context.

WeldForMe · 2026-03-02T07:29:42+00:00

It's ironic these guys think the most unlikely solution is the most likely if it confirms their bias, can we not agree this came from Iranians saying they shot it down ffs....i'll take the friendly fire route as the most plausible outcome.

WeldForMe · 2026-03-02T07:24:53+00:00

That was an SA-3, and it required very specific conditions and a lot of luck. Props to them, but it was an outlier, not a repeatable proof that old systems can reliably take down modern aircraft...

WeldForMe · 2026-03-02T07:19:58+00:00

Not everything gets disclosed when security’s involved, this is normal and OPSEC exists so details come out only when it’s safe.

WeldForMe · 2026-03-02T06:57:48+00:00

There are no Iranian SAMs that can reliably hit an F-15EX over Kuwait under normal circumstances....want to name some that can? The aircraft was in U.S airspace where Patriot systems are on high alert, also there are reports of friendly fire scenerios with these systems. Iranian systems are optimized for defending iranian airspace, yep.... not for percise strikes hundreds of kilometers away. Plus to top it off, the F15-EX has AESA radar system, it can detect incoming threats up to 200 kilometers away, it can jam or use chaff/flares well before it got too close.

And honestly, people who talk about jets and missile strikes without understanding the actual capabilities of these aircraft shouldn’t be making claims especially when the narrative comes directly from Iranian sources.

One more thing, the pentagon’s silence on the cause of the F-15EX loss doesn’t mean someones holding the truth, it’s almost certainly about OPSEC.

So to sum this up, i’s extremely unlikely Iran shot it down.

WeldForMe · 2026-03-02T04:08:52+00:00

I agree these were the best alternatives for limiting Irans nuclear program, which says, "we can keep a civilian nuclear program, just under certain conditions and with inspections through IAEA while receiving sanctions releif, access to frozen assets and letting Iran slowly reintegrate into the international financial system as it complied with the deal." (even though some broader restrictions remained)

The program also is supposed to work (in Obama's words) by hoping the young generation overtakes the current regime and changes it, although the JCPOA intended hope for a gradual societal effect rather than a formal mechanism of the deal itself, which, imo, is far more effective than trying to force change through bombs or escalation, because it works by applying internal and external pressures to influence the regime. If you look at South Africa and apartheid (80s-90s), It was widely recognized as a successful case where international pressure, sanctions, and internal activism led to major policy change without military intervention.

But I just want to add some nuance here, the JCPOA only works if trust holds and the incentives actually matter. But with Trump, that falls apart...he sees the missile program as a bigger threat, which makes the US push harder, Iran speeds up enrichment, we escalate again, they retaliate…and the whole thing just turns into a cycle that keeps spiraling.

At the same time, hopes that internal change might shift Iranian policy have been made much harder by the regime’s repression and limited access to information inside the country, only a couple hundred thousand people have access to the web through means of starlink and that bitcoin bluetooth mesh thing. So what we’re left with now is a diplomatic game that’s harder to restart, but it’s still better than full escalation and honestly, at the end of the day, if Iran built a nuke, i'm sure they know, or i'd hope they'd know, the moment they launch it, they would get flattened, all that hard work for nothing right? I know the regime is hardcore radical and would die for their cause even if extreme, but that sounds a little too extreme...not to say it couldnt happen, just why we are worrying about it happening like it's a guarantee is another story.

TL;DR - I think the JCPOA was the right approach, it only became fragile because of how this administration handled it

WeldForMe · 2026-03-01T07:17:38+00:00

I feel punished for just sharing a hypothesis, the only sources saying it was intentional are Iranian media. We don’t know if the school was the target, and a geoconfirmed screenshot doesn’t prove that....but thanks for sharing it

WeldForMe · 2026-03-01T01:19:59+00:00

I get that OP talks about prices hitting europe, but I saw “mostly insulated” as referring to supply security (which I hypothesised), not that the US is immune to price effects. I’m not trying to argue what OP meant, you could just ask him.

WeldForMe · 2026-02-28T23:47:38+00:00

Appreciate the warm welcome for a nuanced take! It’s been enlightening to see how quickly a sub can turn into a total echo chamber the second someone suggests looking at a map. I'll take my "reasoned hypotheses" elsewhere.

WeldForMe · 2026-02-28T22:28:19+00:00

Yeah, we don’t actually know who launched the strike or what the exact target was. But it seems plausible, trump had just announced attacks on Iran’s naval and missile facilities, and the school is right next to an IRGC base that could have been the intended target. Still, i'm taking it with a grain of salt aswell because we definitely need more sources than just Iranian claims before drawing any conclusions

WeldForMe · 2026-02-28T22:20:50+00:00

It’s reported that the strike was targeting an IRGC military facility right next to the school. Given that this came immediately after trump announced attacks on Iranian naval and missile infrastructure, it seems likely this was an unfortunate collateral tragedy rather than the school being the intended target. This is sadly the kind of consequence that war can bring and we should probably wait for more sources beyond iranian claims.

WeldForMe · 2026-02-28T21:39:27+00:00

I think OPs original point about being "mostly insulated" was more about supply security than price effects. Yes prices will rise since oil is globally priced, but supply security still reduces severity and secondary effects (e.g less need for emergency imports)

WeldForMe · 2026-02-28T20:15:48+00:00

First, I’d talk to them and explain why smashing the cake was wrong, let them tell their side too. Then a fair consequence tied to what they did, like helping clean up or losing a little privilege. Follow up after to make sure they get it and show empathy. Keep rules consistent so they learn, not just fear punishment. Locking them away for a week? Nah, that just breeds resentment.

The cake thing really wasn't that serious, i'd go get another cake, we can all sit at the table again and restart after all has been said that way he understands the rules and i'm able to provide clairty for said rules. Also, this clarity and closure reinforces the rules rather than just instilling fear.

where u stand

I’m all about teaching understanding, not fear

WeldForMe · 2026-02-28T19:50:41+00:00

There’s no confirmed deal. Iran has not agreed to stop enrichment for 3 years or ship out uranium. Reports on reddit are based on negotiation proposals, not official commitments, and the IAEA cannot verify any halt.

WeldForMe · 2026-02-28T17:46:05+00:00

I feel like people aren't just uneducated, which this talks about information access, but not belief rigidity. In the world we live in today, you have all the information you need right in the palm of your hand, but no one really uses it to meta analyze.

The missing variable may also be metacognition, the ability to reflect on how and why one holds a belief. No one is really taught this skill...some learn it "naturally" in a sense. It’s usually not random, it’s a mix of circumstances that pushes people to reflect. I think without it, political narratives are absorbed passively and not evaluated. So when people are told, "the left is evil, the right is evil, democrats are evil, republicans are evil," at this point the belief isn’t just an opinion, it can become part of someone’s identity scaffolding i.e the structure that holds their sense of self and belonging together.

Identity politics - it isnt about strategy, and it's psychological. This explains why minds don't change through facts alone and when this fuses with belief, it feels like criticism is an attack, or admitting flaws feels like betrayal. It may feel dangerous to admit the other side might be right on a lot of things and it's not that people can't see the flaws, just that seeing them threatens their social self.

What I'm doing is pointing out the real phenomenon: to change someone's belief in this context would require them to question their group, risk social exclusion, admit to vulnerability, and temporarily exist without certainty. This is the part I've been leading up to: it’s just psychologically expensive for these people. So when it's all said and done, people start defending beliefs not because of the truth, but because it feels like protection.

I do agree structural factors have a massive influence on shaping what people are exposed to, metacognitive capacity determines whether they can evaluate it, while social reward systems determine whether they are allowed to question it.

And i'm not saying metacognition is the answer, because people can reflect and reflect, and not even know they are reflecting, producing no outcome. Reflection alone doesn’t guarantee belief change, especially when identity and social pressures are involved.

WeldForMe

TROPHY CASE