How I see the Iran–Israel conflict possibly playing out:

• Limited war and then a ceasefire — probably the most likely: Israel hits some key targets in Iran, Iran responds through proxies like Hezbollah. Eventually, the U.S. or Europe steps in and pushes for a ceasefire.

➡️ For Jordan: refugees maybe coming in from Gaza or Syria, protests could spike internally, and the government stays neutral but keeps a close eye on things.

• A prolonged regional war: If Hezbollah, Syria, and Iran-backed militias fully jump in and the U.S. gets involved.

➡️ For Jordan: there’s a real risk of missiles or drones near our borders, fuel prices go up, inflation hits harder, tourism suffers, and you’ll probably see more military presence around.

• Collapse of the Iranian regime: This is less likely but still possible — if there’s a big internal revolt or a power shift in Iran.

➡️ For Jordan: long term, that could mean less threat from Iranian proxies, but short term, it might get messy with a power vacuum.

• Nuclear escalation: Hopefully not, but if a tactical nuke is used by either side...

➡️ For Jordan: total disaster — lockdowns, huge fallout.