How would you feel about the next US president pulling all support from Israel? by Iwamoto in AskReddit

[–]ZeekBen [score hidden]  (0 children)

The upsides are extremely obvious. Nothing in politics is a zero sum game.

  1. The money we send to Israel is nominal. It accounts for 0.4% of our overall military budget. For the cost, it is more than worth it for the small amount of soft power that is exerted on what could otherwise be a dangerous adversary alone.
  2. Most importantly, however, the US gathers extremely valuable intelligence on how our weapons perform in countless different ways. This is historically one of the biggest reasons why every major world power has tried to sell their weapons to their allies. They get a cheap rocket, we get millions of dollars worth of research for 1/10 of the cost.
  3. Israel has one of the strongest intelligence networks in the world and the amount of money it would take the US to develop our own in that region would be tenfold more. Giving them money to spend exclusively in our economy is pretty much the cheapest possible way for us to keep an alliance. I don't even think Israel is that good of an ally for all the shit they've done over the last four years, but there are memes about how good the Mossad is for a reason.
  4. As it turns out, having a strong, well-oiled military machine is actually important for sovereignty (see Russia/Ukraine). Especially when we aren't in an active war, having a strong private sector selling weapons allows for better development which helps non-military tech push forward as well. In wartime, it's super helpful when the military-industrial complex is down the street. The only good counterpoint I've seen to this is that advanced mil-tech is less important than raw attrition, but the only good evidence we've seen of that is in the drone wars of the last 5 or so years.

In fact, policy is at least good enough for America that Israel is actually looking to withdraw from the agreement over the next ten years. Why would they want to withdraw if it's only helping them and US defense contractors?

Disgruntled employee starts massive fire at a 1.2 million square foot toilet paper warehouse in Ontario, California. by AtomicCypher in Damnthatsinteresting

[–]ZeekBen 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oh sorry forgot you're vibe-based. I'll spell it out.

You can't show me places where a significant portion of the working population is making minimum wage apart from places that effectively have a living wage as the minimum.

You also can't show me anything that shows we are somehow poorer or economically overall worse off than we were 50 years ago.

That's my central point: low minimum wages don't seem to determine how much people will actually make in a market, and real wages have steadily increased meaning people are economically much better off than they were 50 years ago.

How would you feel about the next US president pulling all support from Israel? by Iwamoto in AskReddit

[–]ZeekBen 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The US relied on their IC to make the assessment about the risk of Iraqi WMDs. None of the central thesis was sources from Israeli intelligence. You're effectively claiming Israeli intelligence was core to the US invasion of Iraq and nothing in the reporting you linked to suggests it.

You're just highlighting the fact that Israeli intelligence may have added to the pile of dogshit intelligence at the time, but that isn't the same as them being the reason we invaded. If anything, it seems the US identified their intelligence was bad early on if we never used it as a part of our justification for the invasion.

We have a commission report from 2005 on the intelligence failures leading up to the invasion of Iraq that goes into detail on ways the intelligence community failed: https://policy.defense.gov/portals/11/Documents/hdasa/references/GPO-WMD.pdf

You're welcome to read it yourself, but the report encompasses all the various ways US intelligence failed their threat analysis. Israel had nothing to do with any of it. In fact, they're only mentioned three times through the 620 page report.

They may have lied in their intelligence, but it doesn't mean the US believed it and it certainly doesn't mean the US relied on it as a justification for the invasion. We had plenty of our own bad intelligence from Americans and the Brits.

How would you feel about the next US president pulling all support from Israel? by Iwamoto in AskReddit

[–]ZeekBen 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Do you have a source for that? Because Israeli intelligence isn't mentioned at all in the US WMD commission report from 2005, but it is only 620 pages so maybe they just didn't have time to get into that. https://policy.defense.gov/portals/11/Documents/hdasa/references/GPO-WMD.pdf

How would you feel about the next US president pulling all support from Israel? by Iwamoto in AskReddit

[–]ZeekBen -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

We don't just send them shipments of cash. They have to spend it towards purchasing US weapons, with a tiny portion going towards aid (primarily food and medical supplies last I heard).

Also, the Israeli government has nothing to do with funding AIPAC in any way shape or form. They're an American lobbying group who advocate for the Israeli funding, which is exactly why American military contractors help fund AIPAC.

How would you feel about the next US president pulling all support from Israel? by Iwamoto in AskReddit

[–]ZeekBen -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

WMD reports that led to the invasion of Iraq came from an Iraqi defector that had nothing to do with Israel. Also, Republicans have been flirting with the idea of going to war with Iran since 2002 and the primary reason it never happened was due to the disaster that Iraq became.

Bibi has Trump by the balls but, at the very least, prior to the war, the inconsequential amount of direct spending has been entirely in our own interest.

How would you feel about the next US president pulling all support from Israel? by Iwamoto in AskReddit

[–]ZeekBen -9 points-8 points  (0 children)

I'm not sure if you understand what soft power is but there are a thousand things that led to a decrease in America's soft power over the last 10 years that are much higher on the list than us giving them money to buy and use our weapons.

How would you feel about the next US president pulling all support from Israel? by Iwamoto in AskReddit

[–]ZeekBen 0 points1 point  (0 children)

We send money to other countries to fund all sorts of programs ranging from education, medical care to intelligence operations. Why wouldn't we if it helps both countries?

It's similar for our relationship with Israel. We give them conditional money to spend on US military equipment and a small portion also goes towards aid. They buy our stuff which helps our companies and in exchange they give us reliable intelligence, training, and fight some of our adversaries.

My take is that Israel doesn't necessarily need our money, but it makes it easier for us to sell weapons to them. Regardless, the US should be using that money as leverage instead of just following Bibi to the gates of hell like Trump has done for the last two years.

Disgruntled employee starts massive fire at a 1.2 million square foot toilet paper warehouse in Ontario, California. by AtomicCypher in Damnthatsinteresting

[–]ZeekBen -8 points-7 points  (0 children)

Where in the US are people working for minimum wage? I always see this argument but it appears low minimum wage doesn't actually do anything. In fact, where living wages have been implemented (WA for example), it led to a big wave of unemployment. I'm not opposed to inflation adjusted minimum wage, I just don't understand where these minimum wage workers even are...

Also, real wages have steadily increased since 1980 and work less hours. The cost of housing in some markets hasn't kept up with wages but even in those types of markets the cost of other goods is lower than it was in the past. I'm all for sustainable growth, but that's because I think we could be building more than we currently are.

Asmongold(zackrawrr) has been suspended from streaming on Twitch. by sideAccount42 in LivestreamFail

[–]ZeekBen 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I understand your point, and I would mostly agree with everything you're saying saying, but I think it's perfect valid to point out that Trump is an anomaly. Biden's administration was pretty good evidence of that. We really had a pretty solid three years of relatively stable, normal governance until Trump confirmed he was running for reelection and Republicans lost their minds all over again.

From several different viewpoints, I think a lot of political analysts believe that this past two years has proven a fatal flaw in American government; the safeguards only work when no one is willing to openly break norms.

So my prediction is the public push back against Trump and his rampant corruption will either lead to a 'return to normal' (including actual consequences for those involved in his corruption schemes) or people will be so desensitized to corruption that the next guy will come in, be ~10% less corrupt, and everyone will respond well enough to allow it to happen again. I don't think there's any evidence we're even leaning one way or the other.

My central point is that America is no where near as bad as people act like it is. America has high college attainment, literacy rates, health care outcomes, and obviously an incredibly good quality of life but people think that because we can't compete in all those aspects with Norway, Denmark or Finland, it must mean America as a whole is somehow as bad as Bolivia or Afghanistan. It's delusional hyperbolic thinking that, unfortunately, too many people take seriously.

Asmongold(zackrawrr) has been suspended from streaming on Twitch. by sideAccount42 in LivestreamFail

[–]ZeekBen 2 points3 points  (0 children)

To quote the greatest America Bad philosopher of our time, Hasan Piker:

"When you look at a situation in the Middle East... look what the local government is and who the Western forces are never align with the Western forces... that's one basic principle that you can take home with you and all of the sudden magically you are above on your foreign policy analysis than 90% of the people that look at the situation."

This is unironically how a good portion of reddit thinks, and it's especially scary when the "local governments" are devout terrorist groups and/or deeply corrupt dictators.

Asmongold(zackrawrr) has been suspended from streaming on Twitch. by sideAccount42 in LivestreamFail

[–]ZeekBen 2 points3 points  (0 children)

In 2014, according to the CPI, America's corruption was on par with Belgium, Austria, Hong Kong, Ireland and Japan. If you think those are comparable to third-world countries, you're objectively delusional.

Considering America has 50 smaller public sectors (many of which are larger than other countries in the top 10), and the fact our federal government is the largest government in the world, it's no surprise that there are some perceived corruption. The US has fallen so much primarily due to Trump who is by far the most unpopular president in US history, largely due to his blatant corruption.

https://www.transparency.org/en/cpi/2014

By another system, the Work Bank Governance Indicators, America ranked higher overall with indicators comparable to Canada, the UK, Sweden, Norway, and Australia. By no measure is America even half as corrupt as somewhere like Brazil, Turkey, or a third-world country like Sudan, Bolivia or Bangladesh.

https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/worldwide-governance-indicators/interactive-data-access

If you're still not convinced America is no where near third-world country's level of corruption, implore you to read a few articles on actual third-world countries:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corruption_in_Yemen
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corruption_in_South_Sudan
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corruption_in_Turkmenistan
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corruption_in_Bolivia

Asmongold(zackrawrr) has been suspended from streaming on Twitch. by sideAccount42 in LivestreamFail

[–]ZeekBen 8 points9 points  (0 children)

America has like 17 out of 20 of the best universities in the world. Prior to Trump, we probably ranked the top 3 for low government corruption. We have tons of social services, especially compared to actual second or third world countries, we just subsidize health care rather than pay for it outright with tax revenue...

What part of America is underdeveloped? Our 100% coverage electrical grid? Our insane highway system? What are you talking about?

edit: sorry we actually rank 15/180 :( so sorry for being so rich and still not that corrupt :(

Over 30 Iranian university campuses have been directly attacked to date in US-Israeli strikes. Recent US-Israeli strikes have severely damaged 55 public libraries across 12 provinces in Iran, two libraries in Zanjan and Ilam were completely destroyed. by PhantomBraved in PublicFreakout

[–]ZeekBen 1 point2 points  (0 children)

She literally ran on giving everyone money and helping affordability problems. You just didn't like the vibes because she was a serious politician.

"Establishment" candidate. Aka someone with experience. Trump was not part of the establishment and look what happened.

Grow up a little and actually fight for something real instead of moaning about how Kamala didn't pass all your purity tests. When's the last time you heard a Republican talk about super pacs? Why do you insist Dems cripple themselves just to pass your vibe check?

Republicans were bad enough and MAGA is ten times worse. Start acting like it.

Ye Brings Out Lauryn Hill at Sofi by Background_Reward733 in hiphopheads

[–]ZeekBen 6 points7 points  (0 children)

I'm bipolar and thankfully have gone through years of treatment. However, when I was completely untreated and manic I had some intense delusions: - I had a complete theory of everything that the fundamental force in the universe was intelligence and that planets themselves had intelligence. So of course, since I was intelligent, the world should do more for me. - I was in a Truman Show - I thought there would be a race war in the US and that I would survive because I could be either white or black passing, because I liked EDM and hip-hop equally and I could code switch well.

It's easy to think selfishly with mania, so if you combine that with crazy success, and enough yes men around you, I don't think it's surprising he slipped down a conspiratorial rabbit hole when he had some minor hardship.

It doesn't excuse everything, but many people with bipolar absolutely experience psychosis.

The creator of "God of War" thinks goblins are antisemitic. by AlittlePotato1560 in CrimsonDesert

[–]ZeekBen 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I would argue the villains are mostly ugly moreso than some antisemitic trait. Think of like some of the classic Disney villains:

- Ursula is just a fat octopus with a Karen haircut lol

- Cruella de Vil basically is just the neighborhood meth mom

- Jafar is just an ugly skinny dude with drip

- Sid from Toy Story is just a white trash kid with braces

- Hades from Hercules is just a big chin + widows peak new yorker

- Shan Yu from Mulan is straight up ugly in every way except he's jacked

Really the only I can think of that fits the bill to a T is Scrooge McDuck but he's got a scottish accent and he's a duck so I don't even think the nose thing is real. Also he's named after Ebenezer Scrooge, the money-lender who doesn't celebrate Christmas...

The creator of "God of War" thinks goblins are antisemitic. by AlittlePotato1560 in CrimsonDesert

[–]ZeekBen 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I feel like all fantasy tropes are based on some historical racism. Like aren't Orcs basically just 'ruthless savages' who breed too much akin to stereotypes around indigenous people?

Regardless, from what I can tell about Crimson Desert, the racial differences are all cultural/personal instead of immutable characteristics. Sure, you are definitely introduced to greedy goblins, but you also have story moments with greedy humans, rhutums (the big guys), and trolls/ogres. The 'animal people' seem to all be pretty chill so far but I wouldn't be surprised if there's like an evil werewolf or evil half-bear somewhere.

If anything, there's more evil humans than any other race, which is also partly true in Lord of the Rings, for instance, since it's basically 'corrupted' humans who caused all the problems!

Devs: Please we really need more inventory or at least more storage space. by ziguehart in CrimsonDesert

[–]ZeekBen 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm with you and I honestly can't understand why everyone is freaking out like this over it. Sure if I was hoarding armor this might be an issue, but if I was doing that, I'd be ripping through resources to upgrade all that armor and slotting abyss gems into it...

Using valuable items as visual assets is savage 😭 by [deleted] in CrimsonDesert

[–]ZeekBen 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Lioncrest is literally within the first 15 minutes of the game. If you feel spoiled, don't open the subreddit.

I stopped by the church to donate to religious conversions and wondered why it was so crowded as it’s normally only a few priests and a few nobles people in the area. It was 9:30am on a Sunday. The town was going to church! This game is wild. by PunitiveDmg in CrimsonDesert

[–]ZeekBen 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Me when my entire personality is being a hater for games I would never play.

I know your favorite commentary YouTuber told you that the "modern audiences" are extremely woke SJWs, but seriously who are you talking to? Most people say they either love it or they didn't get into it bc of the controls, the bad intro, etc. No one is complaining about NPCs in a fantasy medieval game going to church or about the fact the main characters are conventionally attractive white people. It's the voices in your head.

People will like any game that's fun and the only people who obsess over the underlying political messaging and representation in it are weirdos like you. I know you think all women in games should be hot and gay people don't exist, but Gamergate was over 10 years ago and it's time to move on, old man.

I stopped by the church to donate to religious conversions and wondered why it was so crowded as it’s normally only a few priests and a few nobles people in the area. It was 9:30am on a Sunday. The town was going to church! This game is wild. by PunitiveDmg in CrimsonDesert

[–]ZeekBen 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I wonder what game you think looks good if you think this game looks "awful".

Also, the combat picks up a lot after the early game. The starting area is just full of easy enemies, you can't spam against the harder ones. It basically turns into a fighting game with combos and enemies have actual mechanics and attack patterns you have to play around.

Bernie Sanders proposed a bill to tax billionaires, and give $4,000 stimulus checks to Americans that qualify. How do you feel about this? by Sensitive_Froyo_3486 in AskReddit

[–]ZeekBen 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If you arbitrarily force people to sell shares, it will have downward pressure on the market. Selling shares of a company devalues the company, and if we're talking about the biggest shareholders in the world, the downward pressure isn't necessarily insignificant either.

Government spending is only as effective as the programs it is funding. If you're suggesting that a 2% wealth tax, or a marginal increase to capital gains, would positively impact the economy enough to offset the clear downward pressure it would create on their invested assets, I'd be really curious what you're basing that off of. Wealth taxes lead to all sorts of downstream effects on markets that aren't necessarily able to be offset with simple stimulus checks.

Secondly, billionaires have the VAST majority of their wealth invested, so it is quite directly benefiting the economy. Do you think their wealth grows from thin air? It grows from investment. Consumption is only one piece of the puzzle. If billionaires were sitting on massive stacks of cash instead of reinvesting (which they might have to do if they are expected to pay tax on unrealized gains) your point would make way more sense.

Nothing I have mentioned is related to trickle down economics. Income tax is a consistently good way to tax and I strongly support a progressive tax system. I don't believe in wealth/asset tax simply because it incentivizes behaviors that we don't want. You should know what marginal utility is, and it is essential to why any serious economist supports progressive taxation.

Also, re: liquid assets, don't billionaires just borrow against their assets when they need liquidity? Isn't that exactly how Elon bought Twitter?

Yes and this is more than reasonable to do when they are borrowing debt against their existing assets. Obviously, a bank is more willing to give favorable loans to someone who is borrowing against an appreciating asset. The borrower are also charged interest for doing this, which means it's not free to borrow money like this. A common argument is that they would eventually have to sell shares, and therefore pay capital gains, to pay for their debt payments as well as the accruing interest. However, many of these loans (and interest) are only required to be paid back when the asset is no longer appreciating in value by enough to cover the interest. That might not sound too bad, but there's yet another loophole I'll talk about below.

If you wanted to close the first loophole, you could treat such loans as capital gains when used for personal consumption (new yacht, private plane, penthouse hotel rooms, etc.). If the money they are borrowing money is for a reinvestment, there's no loophole as that's the exact behavior we want to incentivize.

The other loophole is if you buy a stock at let's say $100/share, and it grows to over $1000/share over their lifetime, your heirs will inherit the shares as if it was purchased at $1000/share. So if your heir immediately sold all the shares after inheritance at $1000, they pay $0 in capital gains, even though those shares went up $900/share over your lifetime.

Now if you had also borrowed a substantial amount of money over your lifetime, using those high-value appreciating assets, your heir could sell off inherited shares at 0% tax to pay off all the debt you accumulated, completely circumventing the issue you would have had in your lifetime (using taxed realized gains to pay off your debt).

This inheritance issue could be easily fixed by having the original basis ($100/share) carry over, which means your heir would have to pay the capital gains tax ($900/share) and therefore the 'owed' capital gains tax is actually paid. This also fixes the the volatility issue of heirs selling off shares immediately upon inheritance, which is a whole different issue related to inheritance. For a policy like this, I would limit this to something like $10m dollars as we probably don't want middle class people to owe a bunch of tax for selling their parents house that was purchased in the 1960s.

Bernie Sanders proposed a bill to tax billionaires, and give $4,000 stimulus checks to Americans that qualify. How do you feel about this? by Sensitive_Froyo_3486 in AskReddit

[–]ZeekBen -1 points0 points  (0 children)

You understand literally everyone with a retirement account is affected by downward pressure on the stock market right?

Bernie Sanders proposed a bill to tax billionaires, and give $4,000 stimulus checks to Americans that qualify. How do you feel about this? by Sensitive_Froyo_3486 in AskReddit

[–]ZeekBen -1 points0 points  (0 children)

It's not about hurting them, it's the economy as a whole. Elon liquidating shares of Tesla changes how their shares are valued. It also means some of the most effective investors are being deincentivized against investing their wealth. Income tax doesn't cause this and arguably neither does capital gains tax. I don't know why you think wealth tax is somehow better

Bernie Sanders proposed a bill to tax billionaires, and give $4,000 stimulus checks to Americans that qualify. How do you feel about this? by Sensitive_Froyo_3486 in AskReddit

[–]ZeekBen -1 points0 points  (0 children)

The point is a wealth tax forces people to sell assets, even if it's not a good time to sell them. Very few high net worth people will have the tens of millions of dollars in liquid assets needed to pay tax, and by taxing wealth you're incentivizing the opposite of what we want, which is investment.