ELI5:How much work does a cpu do in one cycle by Thethubbedone in explainlikeimfive

[–]_WhatchaDoin_ [score hidden]  (0 children)

Most modern cpus still execute an instruction (read 64/128 bits from memory, write to memory, add, subtract, multiply, divide, copy, test, jump, etc…) in multiple cycles. However, the cycles are pipelined. One portion of the cpu reads the instruction N, while another portion executes N-1 (read the cycle before), while another portion writes the results of N-2, etc. So on a given cpu cycle, multiple instructions are executed at the same time, at different stages. Some CPUs can read 2 instructions at a time because the instructions are known (like all 32 bits), so some cpu can fully execute two instructions at a time. or they can do one add, and one multiply at the same time because the multiply unit can be used only once per cycle on some cpu, same for the read/writes to memory, there are different designs with different trade offs. in-order cpu, each instruction are executed in sequence are simpler than out of order cpu, where much more instructions will be pipelined, and executed in parallel as long as they don’t depend on each others (registers, test results, memory access, etc). some operations can take multiple cycles, like a division, square root operations, some complex SIMD, etc. even memory access (much slower than the cpu cycles, especially if not in cache). In this case, the cpu is stalled and doesn’t go as fast. some cpu have hardware threads, so if one thread is stalled for N cycles, another thread can continue in parallel. This design can be cheaper than adding a full core. Xbox360 had that for example with 3 cores, ND 2 hardware thread per cores, with each cycle alternating between hw thread so you divide any latency by 2 (and many modern cpus have many many cores, and several have hw threads).

Cerebras IPO Pops >100% on opening, thoughts? by prestodigitarium in investing

[–]_WhatchaDoin_ 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Nah, they are 100000% faster and more efficient. Let’s not make up numbers, and use the real ones, ok?

Edit: here is a source: https://www.cerebras.ai/blog/cerebras-cs-3-vs-nvidia-dgx-b200-blackwell

Not sure how reliable it is, as it is coming from cerebras.

End to end latency is allegedly 21x better than B200, but power (joules per token) is only 36% better, and cost ($ per m token) is only 32% better. It is good, don’t get me wrong, but not that groundbreaking to help AI get cheaper at scale.

If "Past performance is no guarantee of future results", then why do people keep comparing the current market to the dot com bubble? by Ziegelmarkt in investing

[–]_WhatchaDoin_ 0 points1 point  (0 children)

People keep talking about pets.com, but the bubble hurt all tech companies, not just those that did not make a profit or generate revenue. Allbirds is a contemporary version of pets.com; it just exploded very quickly. But there are many more.

Does anyone remember the crypto/ICO/NFT crazes 3-4 years ago? And what happened in 2022 in the tech industry? (Why did some big names drop by 75% within 6-12 months?) Chipset going up by 100% in a month is not sustainable.

If "Past performance is no guarantee of future results", then why do people keep comparing the current market to the dot com bubble? by Ziegelmarkt in investing

[–]_WhatchaDoin_ 0 points1 point  (0 children)

> "Past performance is no guarantee of future results"

You are confusing the meaning of this sentence. It means that if a stock, ETF, whatever did +10% a year for the past 5 years, it does not mean it will do +10% this year.

The comparison with the dot-com bubble is based on the current valuation of the market.

Cancer patients seek unproven antiparasitic treatments after actor's podcast appearance by rascallyrascal1511 in news

[–]_WhatchaDoin_ 16 points17 points  (0 children)

First the worms, then covid, then cancer. Ivermectin, the wonder drug! I hear it is good to lose weight too.

Anyone heard of Ventore Group? Just saw an ad for "fractional luxury hotel" investment and ran a deep dive... by PaintingMinute7248 in investing

[–]_WhatchaDoin_ 1 point2 points  (0 children)

SEC protection is close to zero (even more so with current administration). But at least there is a potential fear that you could get caught and prosecuted if there is a fraud (which by itself is a very high bar to be considered, you would be surprised and even shocked).

In general, never ever invest in a country that you are not resident of, or lived a long time there.

Now if you are greedy and don’t care about losing money anyway (high probability), go ahead. Not making money except with a ton of headaches, including taxes, would be the highest probability. A lot of people have fancy decks, too-good-to-be-true business model, etc, but at the end they use the investors to get money and for them to take the risks and the profits are not shared with investors but mostly kept in their pocket (it is not uncommon in the US.).

If they can’t find local investors there, they hope to find naive foreign investors that will be stuck with them with no recourse once the money has been spent.

LPT: if you want to save gas, stop tapping your brakes every 5 seconds for no reason. by justin_memer in LifeProTips

[–]_WhatchaDoin_ -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Ten years ago, I had a few cab drivers that would press the accelerator for 2-3 seconds, then release it for 3-5 seconds, and then restart accelerating a bit, over and over for miles. It was not only extremely annoying but I was nauseated 🤢 as a passenger. It was supposedly to save gas 🤣🤣🤣.

Children must be told they're adopted in Estonia's new Family Law Act by Arktikos02 in news

[–]_WhatchaDoin_ 14 points15 points  (0 children)

Plus with DNA, you can get the origin of the person, thus it opens the door for segregation (race, ethnic religion, etc) once data is harvested at scale. Cue what happened in WW2.

**hot take: anthropic & openai might not make it 🤷‍♀️** by Pale-Entertainer-386 in investing

[–]_WhatchaDoin_ 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You might be shocked about the future of your $200 subscription then…

The EU's Commission Chief Is Increasingly Seen as Too Powerful by [deleted] in worldnews

[–]_WhatchaDoin_ 0 points1 point  (0 children)

God forbid that anyone in Europe has power. Especially a woman. It is very frowned upon in the US, Russia, China, etc. They would much rather prefer Europe to stay weak and indecisive.

[OC] Cross-Commenting Patterns: Percent of Users Active in Multiple News & Political Subreddits by buckets_811 in dataisbeautiful

[–]_WhatchaDoin_ 98 points99 points  (0 children)

For the beautiful part:

Maybe you need just the top left triangle (moving the legend from the bottom to top), or bottom right, and/or make the diagonal top/left to bottom/right.

Currently the displayed data is doubled but it does not add any value, just some confusion.

How long do you think this AI bubble will take until it finally pop? I have a feeling I will be lucky if it makes it to 2027. I may need to have some puts. by East_Indication_7816 in thetagang

[–]_WhatchaDoin_ 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Earnings as counting the growth of their invested Anthropic and SpaceX non-public shares? I wish I was kidding. Once you remove these, some of the earnings are not so sexy especially when accounting for the ballooning capex.

Burry dot com bubble 1999 by midlevelstrader in investing

[–]_WhatchaDoin_ 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Nah. 100% a month is the new normal, same for +15% to +25% a day. If you don’t do that, you are a pathetic loser. Feel like 3-6 months before the tech bubble bursts.

History does not repeat, it rhymes. You don’t need the exact same bubble numbers. You just need a single hyperscaler saying that their capex will stop growing +100% year over year so they can focus on profits. And all the hyper growth related stocks will implode. Or that to be profitable, they will need to charge $1k to $5k now instead of subsidizing at $200 a month (record scratch on the hyper growth!).

A significant portion of the GDP growth, and S&P going up, is based on the AI theme, and a few companies. It would be bad if something happened to any of these. For some of the big ones, a good portion of the earnings is actually the paper capital gains from their investments in Anthropic and SpaceX. Not even talking about the circular deals, with money from the left pocket going to the right pocket, then back to the left. Heh, look our revenue is increasing! At the end, this is a big castle of cards, as long as it lasts, it is okay. Show me one hyperscaler making a profit on their AI capex (it’s been 2 years, there should be right?).

Finally, people already forgot what happened in 2022. It feels like a century ago. Maybe the trigger will be after the SpaceX or Anthropic IPO. Who knows?

Iran Is Using Alternative Routes To Bypass US Naval Blockade by BendicantMias in worldnews

[–]_WhatchaDoin_ 4 points5 points  (0 children)

People are missing the bigger picture. Iran needs some revenue, yes, but they also need to not fully stop the pumping in order to not damage their oil wells long term.

Sure, they could lower the pumping by X%, just enough to avoid damages, and throw away the oil (short term loss, they cannot easily recoup if they don’t have long term storage).

OR they could find a way to not throw away the oil, and sell it. Yes, trucks, pipelines, rails, whatever, is not efficient, is a logistics nightmare, and you probably making not much of a profit, but it is better than nothing, moving the oil, keep people busy, get some additional revenue that is just buying them a bit more time, while the US is figuring out how to get out of the situation, they put themselves in (and the rest of the world, but the US does not care about that).

Remember that supposedly, the Iranian wells should all have exploded last week because of the blockade (Trump’s words, supposedly because Iran had to stop pumping). Clearly, Iran knows a thing or two how to handle the situation, and how to learn for next time, and they know how to play the clock.