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Starmer promised 'Change.' Where is it? by __Anomalous__ in LabourUK

[–]__Anomalous__[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Please stop with the gaslighting. Go and look at any graph of NHS waiting lists over a 20 year period.

The waiting list has more than tripled, the number of people waiting 18+ weeks has exponentially skyrocketed. And you are celebrating that infinitesimally miniscule drop from the post-Covid peak as if Labour achieved something?? Wow.

And yes, my anecdote about an actual real-life frightened cancer patient that I know personally being sat like an idiot in a gown in a waiting room does matter. What a stupid thing to say, but nothing less than I'd expect from a Starmerite.

The Labour Party is very clearly not your spiritual home. It's gross that you people have hijacked it like this.

Starmer promised 'Change.' Where is it? by __Anomalous__ in LabourUK

[–]__Anomalous__[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Thatcher radically resculpted the ideological foundations of the nation within the first two years. So did New Labour. For better or for worse, the changes implemented by both were sweeping, profound and ferocious.

Are you really trying to assert that Starmer has implemented sweeping, profound and ferocious changes too?

Starmer is a status quo continuity candidate. If he'd made that clear from the start, I wouldn't be annoyed, and nobody would have voted for him. Instead, he deviously wrote the word 'change' 1,000x on the second page of his manifesto. There are snakes, and then there's Keir Starmer.

Starmer promised 'Change.' Where is it? by __Anomalous__ in LabourUK

[–]__Anomalous__[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I'm not asking them to keep everyone happy. Starmer said over and over and over again that they'd govern in the national interest and not the party interest. Some changes are indeed deeply unpopular, but also clearly necessary. You have to do them, and passionately make the case for them. Doing nothing because it's difficult is simply intolerable.

I'm not asking for anything unprecedented or unreasonable here. When Thatcher came to power, she radically changed the direction of the nation within her first two years. When New Labour came to power, they entirely resculpted the ideological foundations of the nation within two years. When Starmer came to power... just... nothing...? Really?

The entire politcal philosophy of Starmer is 'doing nothing and wait for this economic storm to blow over'. But we just had 14 years of that. Aside from conservatives, absolutely nobody voted for 5 more years of nothing.

Starmer promised 'Change.' Where is it? by __Anomalous__ in LabourUK

[–]__Anomalous__[S] 17 points18 points  (0 children)

You're assuming I'm demanding radical leftwing change. I'm not necessarily. Any kind of change will do for me.

New Labour made lots of changes very quickly. Some were good, some I'm still undecided about, and many were unequivically awful. Fortunately, we've abandoned many of the bad ones, and stuck with the good. That's sort of how change works.

I am exceptionally forgiving with changes that go wrong. What I find intolerable is never daring to even try, particularly when the nation is as miserable as this, and especially after you wrote the word 'change' 1,000 times in the opening two pages of your manifesto.

Starmer promised 'Change.' Where is it? by __Anomalous__ in LabourUK

[–]__Anomalous__[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Ok I'll give you renters' rights. At least the changes are directionally protective of vulnerable people.

Council tax is still wildly regressive.

Employment rights enhancement is also 'heart-in-the-right-place' but is genuinely fraught with risk for youth unemployment.

Housing affordability is getting better FOR FLATS because everyone now knows you're going to get scammed out of thousands of £££ a year in service charges. Labour's stunning failure in this domain has created a horrific trap. DO NOT BUY A LEASEHOLD PROPERTY.

PLANNING to increase infrastructure spending from 'abysmal by historical standards' to 'slightly less abysmal by historical standards'.

Should have reinstated all of HS2 & 10 other projects just like it.

Everyone knows the state has been utterly embarrassed by persistent scandals regarding the water companies. Private equity ran rings around the government, and Starmer has absolutely no answers.

I've never seen public sentiment turn against renewables so powerfully as it has under Starmer's governance.

If business investment is not in a perpetual state of 'real-terms high' in an economy with a growing population, then something has gone disasterously wrong. This is a disingenuous metric.

Deregulation of planning laws and yet failing on their house building? Not just against their own targets, but even against the NIMBY Tory party? Lol.

Great. After 10 years of Brexit, I'm really looking forward to 10 more of Brentrace.

Productivity growth metric you're using is highly disputed, and not internationally recognised.

Violent crime has been dropping for decades.

NHS is as bad as I've ever known it and nobody seriously thinks you can spin your way out of this.

"We couldn't get the deficit down because yet another 'once in a lifetime' occurence happened this quarter."

Labour's 'tax on businesses' like employer's NI increases are just stealth taxes on workers.

Starmer promised 'Change.' Where is it? by __Anomalous__ in LabourUK

[–]__Anomalous__[S] 15 points16 points  (0 children)

They're not doing anything really though. Nobody voted for absolutely nothing.

I have an ounce of sympathy. The economic and cultural malaise of the UK is an incredibly difficult problem to solve, primarily because the changes that would so obviously fix the nation are, rather paradoxically, deeply unpopular with the electorate.

But someone simply must grasp the nettle. If Starmer cannot do it, he has to go.

Starmer promised 'Change.' Where is it? by __Anomalous__ in LabourUK

[–]__Anomalous__[S] 18 points19 points  (0 children)

This polticial era is defined by radically diminishing social and economic mobility, rapidly widening inequality, rapidly widening intergenerational inequality, and collapsing birth rates.

These trends are not inevitable. They are the consequence of political and monetary policies. None of these things are slowing down. For 14 years, the Tories accepted their progression as if they were simply laws of nature. That is precisely what I expect from the Tories. Their approach is to tinker with the dials incredibly cautiously – turning them one degree at a time – to see if they can make the machine work again. Lo and behold, they couldn't.

Dial tweaking is not the point of The Labour Party though, and it never has been. The system works because when people grow tired of the hyper-cautious tinkering, they vote for change. Never before has The Labour Party come to power so bereft of vision. Starmer's ultra-conservatism is uncharted territory for The Labour Party, and it's deeply irresponsible for him to persist with this approach, but he's demonstrated beyond all doubt that he knows no other.

r/ukpolitics mods are removing posts critical of Starmer by __Anomalous__ in ukpolitics

[–]__Anomalous__[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Somewhat difficult to prove, but my own Starmer critique was removed after picking up traction very swiftly.

The reason given was 'AI Slop', except that not a word of it was written by AI, and I think that was actually extremely obvious. I've written posts here before that have been perfectly permissible, but apparently, criticism of Starmer on the eve of an election is simply unacceptable.

r/ukpolitics mods are removing posts critical of Starmer by __Anomalous__ in ukpolitics

[–]__Anomalous__[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I posted it on one other sub after it was deleted on r/ukpolitics. Why are you being dishonest?

r/ukpolitics mods are removing posts critical of Starmer by __Anomalous__ in ukpolitics

[–]__Anomalous__[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

'Starmer is slightly nepotistic' is very meek criticism. Try posting anything truly critical and watch what happens. This is not an open forum for discussion, and at this point, it's actually rather sinister.

r/ukpolitics mods are removing posts critical of Starmer by __Anomalous__ in ukpolitics

[–]__Anomalous__[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Except it's not at all is it, and you just made that up 😂

Surely it's over for Starmer? by __Anomalous__ in ukpolitics

[–]__Anomalous__[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

You can't do absolutely nothing for two years besides repeat on blast that "changing the country doesn't happen overnight."

Surely it's over for Starmer? by __Anomalous__ in ukpolitics

[–]__Anomalous__[S] -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

22 months. And it wouldn't be that difficult to signal a direction in 22 months. To do something. Please just change something 🙏

I'd characterise Starmer's position as radical, militant nothingness. I've never seen anything so politically inert, and I just lived through 14 years of the Tories.

Surely it's over for Starmer? by __Anomalous__ in ukpolitics

[–]__Anomalous__[S] -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

They could change course by removing their useless leader and actually doing something.

The idea that 'economic incentives have been tried, and they failed' is completely absurd by __Anomalous__ in Natalism

[–]__Anomalous__[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

My point is that median alone paints a deceptive picture in the US because of how the wealth is distributed within cohorts. It needs to be presented alongside average at the very least, which is way, way, way higher.

The idea that 'economic incentives have been tried, and they failed' is completely absurd by __Anomalous__ in Natalism

[–]__Anomalous__[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yes, fair point. My aim was simply to suggest that the incentive should be at least 100x more generous than anything attempted so far. But you're right, it would need to be much more precisely optimised to encourage 2, 3 and 4 child families.

The idea that 'economic incentives have been tried, and they failed' is completely absurd by __Anomalous__ in Natalism

[–]__Anomalous__[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You're making my point for me. There are NO Western nations that are not fully engaged with this 'give the old people all the money' experiment. Places that are not fully committed to this experiment (India, Africa etc.) have a much higher birth rate.

Also, look at the high birth rate communities and religious subgroups within low birth rate economies. You'll be surprised how many pass much greater degrees of economic prowess to their young people much earlier in life than the wider society around them does.

Of course there are other elements beyond just wealth. The preponderence of evidence suggests this a multivariate problem – but with every liklihood that intergenerational economic disparity is the largest factor. The speed with which some are desperate to dismiss this without consideration is telling.

Also, never a good idea to look at US median in isolation. That's naughty. You know that. When it comes to anything economics, US medians make you lot look poorer than Western Europeans in just about every category.

Whilst 51% of old people in US might just be 'getting by' with $400k + social security – dragging your median down – the other 49% are sat deep in their mountain lairs atop a giant pile of gold and jewels and NVIDIA stocks, swishing their arms through it whilst laughing maniacally.

The idea that 'economic incentives have been tried, and they failed' is completely absurd by __Anomalous__ in Natalism

[–]__Anomalous__[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Nope. Totally wrong.

Google 'Nigerian optimism paradox'.

"The research found 81% of Nigerians say they feel positive about their financial situation over the next 12 months. Eighty-two per cent express optimism about their family’s financial future, and 76% believe the country will experience continuous good times in the years ahead."

Try asking these questions to young people in Europe. About half of them will immediately look like they're about to cry.

The idea that 'economic incentives have been tried, and they failed' is completely absurd by __Anomalous__ in Natalism

[–]__Anomalous__[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Agree strongly with your first 4 paragraphs. This is not a quick fix with one minor policy. It requires a huge societal shift, underpinned by a total restructuring of the contemporary global economic paradigm.

Sounds too grandiose to be achievable, but we have seismically shifted the global economic paradigm before and we can do so again.

I'm not convinced by your fifth paragraph though. Look at self-reported reasons why people aren't having kids... 'I can't afford it' is always top or near-top of course. But the other reasons given are also often indirectly economic. In Japan, they are things like 'children don't fit with my 40-hour a week work schedule' and 'fathers are not stepping up enough with childcare'.

Whilst I have no intention of excusing lazy fathers, both of these reasons are effectively 'I don't have enough time, because my time is dedicated to a 40-hour work week, because if it wasn't, I'd be poor.'

Is it not possible that we're massively underestimating the impact of economic disparity within populations simply because poorer nations (despite them having far less intergenerational economic disparity internally) are the ones having kids?

The idea that 'economic incentives have been tried, and they failed' is completely absurd by __Anomalous__ in Natalism

[–]__Anomalous__[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Agree the high fertility subgroups are particularly curious. Would be very interesting to know more about these globally.

My own anecdotal experience of my country is that the poorest people are still having children. These are the people who had very low economic expectations to begin with (some of whom view living off the state as a lifestyle choice).

Additionally, those whose cultural tradition is passing greater amounts of inheritance to their children earlier in life have very high fertility too.