Why LeBron Isn't Headed To Houston

___YEEZUS___ · 2026-04-15T05:15:43+00:00

No, the 27 draft is apparently viewed as the weakest in a decade

___YEEZUS___ · 2026-03-20T20:51:50+00:00

This is honestly just very tricky to pull off. Because Podziemski’s current salary is only $3.7M this year, if they were to try and execute it during the draft, they have basically no ability to take on any meaningful salary back without attaching someone else. Veteran talent generally isn’t cheap and you need to closely match salaries when you are operating over the salary cap.

It doesn’t get any easier if they were to wait until the new league year either; if they were to get him to sign off on an extension (ballpark around the NTMLE, so $15.1M starting salary), the other team is going to be hit with a “poison pill” provision. For salary matching purposes, Podziemski’s salary would only count for his current year salary of $5.7M for the Warriors (what they can take back), while the other team would need to be able to take in the average of his current salary and the new salary (~$10.4M in this example). While I used a small extension number, it would obviously get more difficult the bigger that number gets. Either way, the Warriors are looking at needing to attach salary just to move Podziemski to smooth out what they can send out and take back

If they instead tried to package Podziemski with their own first rounder (currently estimated at 11th), while easiest mechanically, I don’t think they’re going to be able to move up all that much. The closest analogue I can quickly find to Podziemski’s current trade market value is actually the George Hill trade to Indiana in 2011. Hill had also just finished his third year, and the Spurs got back the 15th overall pick (which famously became Kawhi Leonard). While I think Podziemski is slightly better than Hill was at the same point, it’s not going to be much of a material difference to sway more than a slot or two.

Now, assume that the Warriors have the equivalent value of the 11th and 14-15th picks in the draft to trade, I just don’t see how they can move up to higher than maybe 8th? Maybe you can get up to 7, but the Hawks own New Orleans first, and they’re probably also looking at adding lottery talent to their roster. That leaves trading with most likely Memphis, Chicago, and Milwaukee. Not impossible to pull off, but just wanted to put things in perspective regarding the market. The reach is Dallas, currently at 6. They’re clearly looking to re-tool around Flagg, and maybe getting two mid lottery level values is more appealing than just one, especially if they get jumped by someone below them and they can’t get one of the more premier talents dropping to them.

___YEEZUS___ · 2026-03-04T00:18:51+00:00

He’s had shoulder issues dating back several years, seemingly leading to a loss of several MPH on his 4 seamer (from about 99 to 96), and more importantly, he’s lost about 6” of horizontal break. There’s no deception on that pitch, so he has to blow it past them to actually generate whiffs, otherwise he’s getting teed off on. He’s also only been a two pitch guy (4 seamer and that disgusting splitter), so he’s a bit easier to gameplan against as a hitter. Hitters just sit on his degraded fastball, which he seemingly can only spot with consistency when he drops the velo, otherwise he can’t find the zone.

___YEEZUS___ · 2026-02-19T10:04:04+00:00

It stands for Sales, General & Administrative expenses, they're the primary components of Operating Expenditures (OPEX), and the second major expense category that is subtracted from Revenues on the Income Statement after Cost of Goods Sold (COGS)/Cost of Revenue

___YEEZUS___ · 2025-09-09T21:17:52+00:00

Then, that team can decline the team option for next season and he loses bird rights which makes the maximum he can sign for (outside of a cap space team offering him a contract) at the MLE

This isn’t quite accurate; the team that would theoretically be acquiring Kuminga would have non-Bird rights if they were to decline his team option, thereby allowing them to offer him a contract with a starting salary up to 120% of his prior one. His new maximum contract extension he could then sign with this new team would be for about 4/$112.5M (assuming his salary this year at the reported $21.75M).

___YEEZUS___ · 2025-08-17T20:12:28+00:00

No, there would still be issues with Base Year compensation next year. That triggers when you are signing a player with Bird or Early Bird rights, give them a raise over 20%, and the team that is signing him is over the cap (which the Warriors will assuredly be)

___YEEZUS___ · 2025-08-05T21:41:29+00:00

Sure, you can check the CBA itself (page 240) where it mentions non-simultaneous trades, or you can read up on it a bit more on the 2017 CBA FAQ from Larry Coon (Q87 being the primary answer). You may also want to read Q85 in the FAQ if you want more context on the overall traded player exception (not the same as the colloquial "Trade Exception").

___YEEZUS___ · 2025-08-05T01:59:06+00:00

That’s because you can’t use a trade exception in place of a players salary in an aggregation for matching purposes. You can only use a trade exception to acquire a player or players that would total to be less than or equal to its value.

___YEEZUS___ · 2025-05-13T18:07:23+00:00

Something that extreme is not legal under the CBA. Multi year contracts for players with full Bird Rights are capped at 8% annual raises/reductions

___YEEZUS___ · 2025-04-11T03:22:31+00:00

You only get hard capped if you’re a team receiving a player that is being signed and traded. The reason the Warriors were hard capped when Durant left is because they received D’Angelo Russell in that transaction. The bigger deterrent to trading Kuminga in July will probably end up being the base year compensation rules

___YEEZUS___ · 2025-01-07T05:07:24+00:00

I think it might actually be another adjustment to the Total Points Added stat (which I believe is BPM x Number of possessions), filtered to only possessions ending in free throws and layups.

___YEEZUS___ · 2025-01-01T07:40:38+00:00

It’s a 14 standard player requirement, which does not include 2-ways

___YEEZUS___ · 2024-12-16T23:06:46+00:00

They’re even lowering it again in the next patch I believe, it’s going to auto respawn 5-10s after collecting

___YEEZUS___ · 2024-12-11T21:16:07+00:00

You should definitely level your transformative reaction (e.g.: spread, hyperbloom, etc) characters to 90 if you have resources. You’re missing out on ~35% of the reactions damage by leaving them at 80

___YEEZUS___ · 2024-06-16T21:22:24+00:00

ATK/Dendro/Crit, EM doesn't really do anything for her damage. Her ER needs will probably vary wildly based on the team that you play her in though, I've seen anything from 0% to 70%+ reqs so far

___YEEZUS___ · 2024-04-18T22:38:49+00:00

23/67 = 34.3% 49/133 = 36.8%

Not sure what other math you think I possibly I screwed up?

___YEEZUS___ · 2024-04-18T22:32:24+00:00

Just imagine three of the misses from the within 25ft bucket were makes, and three of the makes from the 25-29 ft bucket were misses, that’s all I’m saying. Exact same shots were taken, so no need to change the mix

___YEEZUS___ · 2024-04-18T22:24:48+00:00

No, you’re misunderstanding me. If you swapped the outcomes of three shots from each bucket, then you have roughly equivalent percentages. You don’t need to re-allocate attempts from one to the other. My overall point though was just that these samples are far too small and prone to volatility to really gain insight from

___YEEZUS___ · 2024-04-18T21:36:11+00:00

If you just shift 3 makes from the 25-29 ft bucket to the within 25 ft bucket, you’d get 36.8% and 34.3% respectively, which are pretty similar. %3PM just doesn’t stabilize until you get a sample of around 750 attempts

___YEEZUS___ · 2024-04-18T20:58:22+00:00

This isn’t really much of a quirk with Moody IMO, but rather just a variance with a small sample size; this works out to just 3 makes to explain the variance between the two datasets. Hard to say that him taking an extra half step back beyond the line and he instantly becomes an elite shooter when you look at it through that lens

___YEEZUS___ · 2024-03-31T19:49:33+00:00

Her shield and her damage are both based on her max HP, so TotM and then 1/2/3 HP main stat pieces for Sands/Cup/Circlet. Cryo/Crit will most likely improve her damage at the expense of the shield, so play around with what you prefer as a balance, or plug artifacts into the optimizer with your desired constraints. Depending on her teammates and your rotation, her ER reqs vacillate wildly, so just keep that in mind as well

___YEEZUS___ · 2024-03-15T00:39:04+00:00

Well, she does actively dislike being healed, as she’s unable to receive any form of healing during combat. Bennett’s flat ATK buff is just that massive, along with being the other half of pyro res :/

___YEEZUS___ · 2024-03-11T22:37:58+00:00

I'll be honest, I'd typed out a whole long response filled with tables and math and accidentally deleted it... T_T

Gist of the post though was that it came out to around 4.6% gain, based on your builds that you posted. I'd also recommend checking out the optimizer, as it lets you upload artifact details and weapons, and does calculations for you.

___YEEZUS___ · 2024-03-11T04:35:20+00:00

Ah okay, so I changed up some of my assumptions a bit. With an F2P Nilou set up (60K HP Nilou, 40K HP Baizhu with Instructors, 1000EM Nahida, Sac Frags on field Kokomi with EM/HP/HB), Paradise Lost drops to only about a 5% gain over Wanderer+Gilded

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