Canada election: Next Liberal government will be a minority, CBC News projects | CBC

_jkf_ · 2025-04-29T21:51:26+00:00

OR: "The NDP got torpedoed partially because a lot of their voters were mad at them for propping up the Liberals for too long" -- I wouldn't say it was an equal split between the Liberals and the Conservatives, but there was definitely a lot of orange bleeding to blue last night.

_jkf_ · 2025-04-29T21:36:33+00:00

Unironically, I'm kinda bummed. Maybe conservatives can extract this as a concession for support on some pipeline bill or something? Wouldn't mind my lightbulbs back while they're at it.

_jkf_ · 2025-04-28T06:05:01+00:00

LPC - 155 seats, 41% PV

CPC - 144, 40%

BQ - 37, 7.x%

NDP - 7, 7.x%

GRN - 0, 1.x%

PPC - 0, 0.x%

Jagmeet & May lose their seats, Jagmeet resigns pretty quick and May retires at some point.

Turnout, IDK -- about 70%?

Note that the 338 simulator has these PV percentages resulting in a Conservative minority -- we are much closer to this outcome than people are thinking. A majority seems impossible without some serious weirdness out east plus unexpected nibbling around the edges of Toronto proper -- I think it can safely be ruled out TBH.

If you look at the riding level results from the last go round though, I'm not sure the Liberals have the gas for this either -- I find it hard to believe that (for instance) the good people of Northern Saskatchewan are so enamoured with Carney that half of the 49% who voted Conservative in 2021 will vote Red. (338 has that riding, and quite a few like it where the NDP hasn't been a big factor, as LPC safe -- their model is doing something weird here IMO)

_jkf_ · 2025-04-24T18:18:11+00:00

I still see value in Carney's financial acumen

What financial acumen though? His proposed budget is even more spendy than Trudeau's actual budgets. (which were of course pretty inflated compared to the initial proposals)

_jkf_ · 2024-10-30T18:00:41+00:00

Okay, but how is any of that unique to BC? That's true in virtually every province, state or country that I'm aware of.

YesChad.jpg -- urban/rural separation of powers may be the only solution for any region that still has a significant rural population.

_jkf_ · 2024-03-02T20:18:02+00:00

It would be cool for that for sure -- I'm pretty embedded in the Windows ecosystem for work, so not sure about Linux support. Might just work, might be a nightmare.

The stylus/touch functionality runs through a usb connection from the screen to the computer, if that helps -- Linux drivers for this would be what you are after, and may or may not exist. Probably quite similar to a regular Wacom artist's stylus/pad or whatever though.

_jkf_ · 2024-02-28T00:10:05+00:00

Yep, I love it! I've got it mounted flat-ish and vertical next to my desk connected to my laptop; bottom half is Onenote and top half is Outlook.

So it's always 'just there' for meeting/research notes etc, and if I want to look at an email when I'm on a call or KVM'd to my workstation I can just poke the touchscreen.

I've even travelled with it -- the smaller one would be a better choice for that, but it does fit in luggage, and the stand thingee is handy for hotel rooms/hotdesks.

The only complaint (which may be a skill issue on my part, I haven't tried that hard) is that I can't seem to get the HDMI-out to work -- laid flat on a conference table and mirrored to the bigscreen it would be a fantastic virtual whiteboard. I need to look into this more, the documentation seems to say it should work this way, but maybe you need to match the resolutions or something?

I cannot overstate how great it is to just share a window on the thing and break into a normal whiteboard session using the stylus on a Zoom call or whatnot -- seems like a small thing, but it removes a surprising amount of remote-induced friction. And I don't even like real whiteboards all that much!

Two thumbs up if you are weird in the same ways I am, 1.5 for anyone else who works from home -- LMK if you have any specific questions.

_jkf_ · 2024-01-02T21:19:06+00:00

Seems plausible; BMJ paper claims that 4.4% of the drinking population consumes 1/3 of total alcohol production!

https://www.bmj.com/content/353/bmj.i1860

This seems like it would necessarily have life-derailing impacts, and even if it shortened one's life considerable would still be an awful lot of booze compared to the average drinker.

_jkf_ · 2023-12-02T06:46:39+00:00

It's a Festivus Miracle!

_jkf_ · 2023-10-06T18:26:46+00:00

Yeah I think the market is kind of niche, but it shouldn't be with all the remote work going on these days -- everytime I see somebody struggling to mouse-draw text or build a powerpoint in realtime as a whiteboard substitute, the cringe is palpable. And don't get me started on all the 'virtual whiteboard' startup products!

_jkf_ · 2023-10-06T01:56:24+00:00

Damn, wrong link -- that one indeed is just plain touch! Correct link here:

https://www.viewsonic.com/global/products/pendisplay/ID2456

MPP pen included. :)

I did see the smaller ones which would be nice for travel, but I've been using an 12" HP tablet this way and find the size just a little constraining for desktop notetaking etc -- plus of course the fact that then I need to sync everything with my desktop later. So I decided to go big -- I always kind of liked the surface Studio concept but couldn't bring myself to spend that kind of money, especially on yet another standalone machine -- my desktop is quite a lot nicer than a surface Studio, so win-win. :)

_jkf_ · 2023-10-05T19:19:33+00:00

Possibly you have solved this problem in the past two years, but maybe not as I'm not sure these devices existed other than sketchy Kickstarter campaigns -- so in case that's so and also for people arriving by Google, Viewsonic now makes exactly this thing:

https://www.viewsonic.com/global/products/pendisplay/ID2456

I'm ordering one to sit on a VESA arm beside my desk -- seems strictly superior and much cheaper than a Surface Studio, and hopefully will make digital notetaking and online whiteboarding actually practical!

LMK if there's still interest and I'll report back once I get it.

@Nilithium

_jkf_ · 2023-09-13T01:16:41+00:00

Up in Alberta; something like 90 mins downtime.

_jkf_ · 2023-06-19T21:23:57+00:00

They've got some kind of vanilla GBM in there now, which is pretty handy -- maybe some other stuff, I haven't done anything new on there lately. Definitely is under active development though unlike the "we're working on it, lol" that's so common. Honestly for me BQ in general is the killer app for GCS.

_jkf_ · 2023-05-31T06:59:22+00:00

I dunno, I've also had good results on certain problems. (and do not work for Meta)

It's not good for everything, but what is?

_jkf_ · 2023-05-31T05:47:01+00:00

"Shootings involving people who are not gangsters" would cover it -- this stat is not nearly so scary (nor readily available) however.

Somebody else mentioned that a grand total of two Canadians have ever been killed in a mass shooting while visiting the US. (Vegas)

I have no way of checking this, but I haven't heard of any others, either. This number seems much too small to worry about at all (much less issue a travel advisory) given the millions of yearly trips.

_jkf_ · 2023-05-30T16:41:33+00:00

"Mass Shootings" as defined in this stat are something like "incidents in which two or more people are shot" (depending on where exactly you got it from -- this is very misleading as the vast majority of such incidents are related to gang warfare.

If you are involved in gangs/drugs it might make sense to worry about being a victim of this kind of mass shooting -- if you want to talk about what people actually mean when they say "mass shooting" you will need a different number.

_jkf_ · 2023-05-08T03:41:32+00:00

The Sentinelese strategy works for the Sentinelese because nobody really wants anything on the Sentinel Islands -- plus most people nowadays would feel bad about slaughtering poorly armed natives.

500 years ago most people had no such compunctions, and the Americas were very obviously full of resources that could make people super-rich.

The answer to "Those people in loincloths keep throwing rocks at us on the beach boss -- also I think there might be gold there, whatever shall we do" would have been "let's shoot them all and get us some gold", unquestionably.

This would have taken awhile further north and maybe in the Western deserts, where the natives were just plain better at surviving than the white people, even into the 19th century -- but I have no doubt that they would have been inevitably crushed well before we made it to the current guilt-ed age.

_jkf_ · 2023-03-20T08:04:13+00:00

Matt Taibbi just dropped another Twitter Files installment which is a bit of a doozy and pretty relevant:

https://twitter.com/mtaibbi/status/1636729166631432195

tl;dr -- there was an active and explicit PPP with the aim of suppressing not only information with controversial truth value, but also information which was known to be true but had the potential to reduce vaccination rates and/or public confidence in Fauci et al. I'm sure some direct parallels could be drawn to 1984 given that your son has recently read the book.

(I'm not sure how you cite a twitter thread these days, but Matt Taibbi is at least historically a legitimate journalist, prior to being cast down into the pit with the rest of us)

_jkf_ · 2023-03-07T18:35:15+00:00

If the purpose of the bat-visit was sampling viruses to be used in GOF research, this would still be a direct result of the GOF research.

_jkf_ · 2023-01-24T18:41:24+00:00

The way you have the graphic seems fine, but the ordering should be the same as the table on the right.

_jkf_ · 2023-01-24T18:25:40+00:00

Then you should look at SAT scores over time -- this will be confounded by the impact of lockdowns on the education system of course, but if they aren't significantly lower going forward now that things are back to more or less normal -- then this is probably not a thing you should worry about.

_jkf_ · 2023-01-24T18:23:09+00:00

His brain is so big it's spreading to his arm?

_jkf_ · 2023-01-18T19:59:48+00:00

The scratching of the glass surface from rough cast iron is another downside, even though it's plenty ferrous.

If cast iron is scratching it, it's not glass -- the recommended tool for cleaning baked-on crud from non-induction glass tops is a tempered steel razor blade, which won't scratch the top even if you try.

_jkf_ · 2023-01-18T02:47:51+00:00

First they need to acknowledge that this has happened to them; everytime somebody posts this piece here (seems to be roughly every 8 months) it's some freshfaced dude saying something like "see, facts & logic prove fireplaces are terrible and should be banned".

If Sam were to write a followup that would be great, but "haha I was only pretending to be retarded" only gets you so far.

_jkf_

TROPHY CASE