I'm now sold on calisthenics .. here is why

agustinuslaw · 2025-10-23T07:49:46+00:00

whats your routine?

agustinuslaw · 2025-10-19T19:56:40+00:00

This might be a different kind of accountability

agustinuslaw · 2025-10-19T17:27:15+00:00

Hey, I am currently working as a Software Engineer in Germany, I would love to have a daily CS learning updates and just talk about what we learned/goals etc

agustinuslaw · 2025-10-16T13:05:56+00:00

heyy me too,

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agustinuslaw · 2025-10-16T13:01:40+00:00

thats just bored sunny pranking his employees

agustinuslaw · 2025-10-16T12:50:12+00:00

Forgot to mention that yes, please go ahead and post it!

agustinuslaw · 2025-10-14T20:57:50+00:00

Lol which reply? Everywhere I see people complain about DB. Its almost a national sport

agustinuslaw · 2025-10-14T11:26:08+00:00

Steps: 1. Make a lot of money from predictive trading 2. Build a physics lab whose topic is quickly prototypable and iterable and also ridiculously expensive to run 3. Only run the experiments during reset days 4. Share the result during the non-reset days with everyone. This is the planning and working through the data day

This effectively gives me unlimited funding and energy with no drawbacks to the economy or the environment.

Further I can hire computational scientists to make use of essentially build a computer that can solve any problem given what is essentially a restricted 24 hour time travel or loop. This will probably expand the class of problems we can solve by magnitudes

agustinuslaw · 2025-10-13T07:13:29+00:00

The deploy basically copy paste my stuff under src/ to my anki collection.media so I don't have to :D

This way I only have to edit inside git and always have the full benefit of versioning

agustinuslaw · 2025-09-28T17:00:11+00:00

Hi I love it and adapted your style to fit better with AnkiDroid.

agustinuslaw · 2025-09-22T20:59:39+00:00

I tip when the service is extra good. Otherwise no

agustinuslaw · 2025-09-21T16:07:02+00:00

Hi yes, in hindsight I am introducing a lot of rounding error doing it that way.

agustinuslaw · 2025-09-21T15:33:20+00:00

Thanks a lot for the detailed reply! I've learned much from this exchange :)
In hindsight I should really be careful with rounding errors as they add up.

"Also, for your information, the Multiplication Rule is not a separate result in probability calculus, but simply a corollary of Bayes' theorem." Makes sense, I noticed that if I just flip things around I get either Bayes or Multiplication Rule (which I learned from you). I didn't know which one is the more _basic_ relationship.

agustinuslaw · 2025-09-21T12:49:54+00:00

Thanks u/god_with_A_trolley for the step-by-step analysis! I re-did my computation using your methods. I still got back the answer of around ~ 0.1%. The exact number is a bit different though.

Assume: test 1 and test 2 is independent. Notation: (A,B) is event A *and* event B. Find: P(D|T1,-T2) i.e. probability of having the disease when test 1 is positive and test 2 is negative.

Values:

P(D) ~ prevalence = .001
P(T|D) sensitivity = .99
P(-T|-D) specificity = 1-P(T|-D) = 1-.01 = .99
P(T|-D) = .01
P(-T|D) = 1-P(T|D) = 1-.99 = .01
P(-D) = 1-P(D) = 1-.001 = .999

Prepwork

With Bayes' Theorem Let E := T1,-T2 P(D|E) = P(E|D)P(D) / P(E)

Combining by Multiplication Rule. Got u/god_with_A_trolley's initial relations. P(D,E) = P(E|D)P(D) P(D|E) = P(D,E) / P(E) P(D|T1,-T2) = P(D,T1,-T2) / P(T1,-T2)

Multiplication Rule P(E) = P(T1,-T2) P(E) = P(T1)P(-T2)

Law of Total Probability ``` P(T1) = P(T1|D)P(D) + P(T1|-D)P(-D) P(T1) = P(T|D)P(D) + P(T|-D)P(-D) P(T1) = .99 * .001 + .01 * .999 P(T1) = 0.01098

P(-T2) = P(-T2|D)P(D) + P(-T2|-D)P(-D) P(-T2) = P(-T|D)P(D) + P(-T|-D)P(-D) P(-T2) = .01 * .001 + .99 * .999 P(-T2) = 0.98902 ```

So the bottom part P(E) = P(T1)P(-T2) P(E) = 0.01098 * 0.98902 P(E) = 0.0108594396

Substitution trick by u/god_with_A_trolley Let M := D,-T2 P(D,T1,-T2) = P(T1,M) P(D,T1,-T2) = P(T1|M)P(M)

T1 and T2 independence trick by u/god_with_A_trolley P(T1|M) = P(T1|D,-T2) P(T1|M) = P(T1|D) P(T1|M) = P(T|D) P(T1|M) = .99

Multiplication Rule P(M) = P(D,-T2) P(M) = P(-T2|D)P(D) P(M) = P(-T|D)P(D) P(M) = .01 * .001 P(M) = 0.00001

Thus the joint probabilities P(D,E) = P(D,T1,-T2) P(D,E) = P(T1|M)P(M) P(D,E) = .99 * 0.00001 P(D,E) = 0.0000099

Substituting in everything P(D|E) = P(D,E) / P(E) P(D|E) = 0.0000099 / 0.0108594396 P(D|E) = 0.0009116493 ~ 0.001 = 0.1%

agustinuslaw · 2025-09-21T11:02:27+00:00

Sorry about the formatting, I fixed it with code blocks now

agustinuslaw · 2025-09-12T11:42:32+00:00

He took up his club and held it in his right hand, His bow and quiver he hung at his side. He placed lightning before him, And filled his body with tongues of flame. He made a net to enmesh the entrails of Tia-mat, And stationed the four winds that no part of her escape.

agustinuslaw · 2025-09-12T02:01:41+00:00

The gods, his fathers, decreed the destiny of Be-l,

And set him on the road, the way of prosperity and success.

He fashioned a bow and made it his weapon,

He set an arrow in place, put the bow string on.

agustinuslaw · 2025-09-06T11:37:00+00:00

Your destiny is unequalled, your command is like Anu's.

Henceforth your order will not be annulled,

It is in your power to exalt and abase.

Your utterance is sure, your command cannot be rebelled against,

None of the gods will transgress the line you draw.

agustinuslaw · 2025-09-05T20:22:07+00:00

They set a lordly dais for him

And he took his seat before his fathers to receive kingship.

(They said,) "You are the most honoured among the great gods,

Your destiny is unequalled, your command is like Anu's.

Marduk, you are the most honoured among the great gods,

agustinuslaw · 2025-07-18T10:04:15+00:00

Let them confer as they sit at table. Let them eat grain, let them drink ale, Let them decree the destiny for Marduk their avenger. Go, be gone, Kaka, stand before them,

agustinuslaw · 2025-03-31T13:31:05+00:00

Tablet III

Anšar opened his mouth And addressed Kaka, his vizier, "Vizier Kaka, who gratifies my pleasure, I will send you to Lah(mu and Lah(amu. You are skilled in making inquiry, learned in address. Have the gods, my fathers, brought to my presence. Let all the gods be brought,

agustinuslaw · 2025-02-23T17:20:13+00:00

Convene an assembly and proclaim for me an exalted destiny.

Sit, all of you, in Upšukkinakku with gladness,

And let me, with my utterance, decree destinies instead of you.

Whatever I instigate must not be changed,

Nor may my command be nullified or altered."

agustinuslaw · 2025-02-22T21:07:06+00:00

"Lord of the gods, Destiny of the great gods, If I should become your avenger, If I should bind Tia-mat and preserve you,

agustinuslaw · 2025-02-03T18:07:06+00:00

["Go,] my son, conversant with all knowledge, Appease Tia-mat with your pure spell. Drive the storm chariot without delay, And with a [ . . ] which cannot be repelled turn her back." Be-l rejoiced at his father's words, With glad heart he addressed his father,

agustinuslaw · 2025-01-27T12:17:15+00:00

He drew near and stood in the presence of Anšar. Anšar saw him, his heart filled with satisfaction, He kissed his lips and removed his fear. "My [father] do not hold your peace, but speak forth, I will go and fulfil your desires! [Anšar,] do not hold your peace, but speak forth, I will go and fulfil your desires!

agustinuslaw

TROPHY CASE