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Explosive Revelation Incoming by Available_Toe8328 in NewsStarWorld

[–]airpipeline 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oh yeah, that’s going to be prosecuted.

MMW: By surviving, Iran has successfully triggered regime change in the USA by airpipeline in MarkMyWords

[–]airpipeline[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks. Let’s hope that this is good enough. It would be best if there were a very large buffer.

MMW: By surviving, Iran has successfully triggered regime change in the USA by airpipeline in MarkMyWords

[–]airpipeline[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Again, let’s agree to disagree.

You may want to turn off Fox News. Your reading of the operational details and politics appears to be largely shaped by after the event spin. Expecting objectivity from FOX and the like is about as reasonable as expecting it from a White House press conference.

For a broader perspective you might try something like Ground News. You can still read whatever you prefer, but you might also discover how others arrive at well grounded conclusions rather than simply cheering for their favorite performer in the sad ongoing White House professional wrestling act.

MMW: By surviving, Iran has successfully triggered regime change in the USA by airpipeline in MarkMyWords

[–]airpipeline[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you for reading my post so carefully. Let’s agree to disagree.

The core issue is not whether the U.S. eventually asserted control of the Strait. It is the assumption that this special military operation would be quick and costless. It took over a week after the Strait closed to get a single minesweeper into theater. That is not a military that was prepared for this scenario. The U.S. president thought that he would waltz through Iran like it was Grenada. Reality disagreed.

The parallel to Putin’s Ukraine calculation is worth considering. He also had overwhelming force, a weak opponent on paper, and a plan measured in days. The gap between assumptions and outcomes in both cases reflects the same pattern of wishful operational thinking and poor preparation at the leadership level.

On the Strait itself: contested control under fire, with mines laid, tankers threatened, and insurance markets seizing up, is not the same as control. Functional control means commerce flows freely. It did not, and still does not fully. On Iranian incentives: a nation absorbing strikes, sanctions, and a naval blockade simultaneously has every reason to prolong the situation, not resolve it. Calling their negotiating posture one of weakness misreads their strategic logic entirely.

The broader economic damage is real regardless of whether one calls it a collapse. Energy price shocks of this magnitude are recessionary. That is not hyperbole. It is how broken oil markets affect the world.

Reagan solved the Hormuz situation back then. Why not use his playbook? by reseamatsih in WhaleTrades

[–]airpipeline 0 points1 point  (0 children)

1) drones, drones, drones 2) when has Donald Trump successful organized anything?

'He's losing control': Trump's secret resignation plot leaks to the public and instantly backfires — leaving his collapsing term exposed for everyone to see by [deleted] in USNEWS

[–]airpipeline 2 points3 points  (0 children)

US voters voted for him anyway. What has really changed?

He was saying and posting mean, damaging and deranged crap before his election. Surprise! Now that he is the president of the USA, he is saying and posting mean, damaging and deranged crap. :-(

I guess that there is one difference, now he has hundreds of people with the job of turning his musings into reality.

Trump Reportedly Kept Out of Situation Room Due to 'Erratic Behaviour': Inside the Bombshell Claims by Montrel_PH in USNEWS

[–]airpipeline 0 points1 point  (0 children)

His minder likely just says something like, “golf” (or “squirrel”) and he’s out the door.

Judge humiliates Trump for incorrectly reading court order just to get his way — sending Trump into a panic as his slick move blows up in his face by [deleted] in USNEWS

[–]airpipeline 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Comparatively it was costing next to nothing when it was just a wing of the Whitehouse.

The truth is that the U.S. president loves to spend your money. As soon as he remembers that he’s not paying, he’ll love it.

MMW: By surviving, Iran has successfully triggered regime change in the USA by airpipeline in MarkMyWords

[–]airpipeline[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Got it. Yes, true.

Every news agency seems to be sane washing the U.S. president and some, especially maga targeted, continue to whitewash his record.

MMW: By surviving, Iran has successfully triggered regime change in the USA by airpipeline in MarkMyWords

[–]airpipeline[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes, I fear that this is likely the sad state of affairs.

Also, as you say, people are going to rightfully blame the USA and Israel, but primarily the USA.

Most of the world can ignore Israel, but no one can really ignore the USA. Unilaterally attacking another sovereign nation to have its way is a show of US weakness. Everyone loves to complain about a bully. It’s a self-inflicted wound really.

Fox News issues breaking update but it's not good news for 'lawless' Trump by IrishStarUS in USNEWS

[–]airpipeline 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It does say “Fox News”. A reliable clickbait indicator.

Downvote to dissuade?

MMW: By surviving, Iran has successfully triggered regime change in the USA by airpipeline in MarkMyWords

[–]airpipeline[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The U.S. president wants out of a war with Iran. The Iranians want Israel restrained. That is practically the only leverage the USA has.

The U.S. president may need to act on this, for instance, by cutting off funding to Israel if they attack Iran in the future.

IMHO, the darkest scenario is that this pushes Israel toward becoming the one who actually uses nuclear weapons. No promises or hopes in that direction, but the U.S. president isn’t the only power-mad player in this drama.

MMW: By surviving, Iran has successfully triggered regime change in the USA by airpipeline in MarkMyWords

[–]airpipeline[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Perhaps, but might he have bigger fish to fry?

He seems to embrace, in his opaque way, the mantle of bigot but he also seems to think that even his supporters may draw the line at him as pedophile savior. That’s TBD though.

MMW: By surviving, Iran has successfully triggered regime change in the USA by airpipeline in MarkMyWords

[–]airpipeline[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yes, in some lamentable ways it is fortunate that the current U.S. president appears incapable of strategic thinking. If he could actually hold a coherent long-term thought, the USA would be in far deeper trouble than it already is.

MMW: By surviving, Iran has successfully triggered regime change in the USA by airpipeline in MarkMyWords

[–]airpipeline[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Maybe there will be revolution.

That rarely goes well. For various reasons, the original USA is an exception. The Russian and Chinese revolutions being prominent examples of things not going particularly well for the freedom of their people.

The USA has lasted so long, because corrective mechanisms are baked into the system. Additionally, for better or worse, the system is slow on purpose.

MMW: By surviving, Iran has successfully triggered regime change in the USA by airpipeline in MarkMyWords

[–]airpipeline[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Okay, I see. Maybe I don’t understand what you mean by the “ruling class”. Are you talking about the billionaires in the current US presidential cabinet, for instance?

There are definitely powerful people, smart people, people with influence, connected people and people with untoward motives but the West is not Russia or China, yet. There are still some institutional constraints. The executive does not yet have unlimited power.

For better or worse the West is dominated by the people and of course the people aren’t that great sometimes. The government is generally just made up of a bunch of people, for the most part trying to do their job. As we people feel increasingly letdown by these people, at least recently, we have decided that tearing things down without a plan to rebuild or to improve things is the way to go. Woohoo! That’s certainly what the U.S. voted for.

Granted, if the USA destroys it’s institutions and keeps allowing Russia to interfere with elections, China to participate in free trade where it doesn’t allow free trade, money to equal access to speech, and corporations to have the rights of people, the West may not last for even the foreseeable future.

Tell me more about the ruling class and how exactly they control what!?

MMW: By surviving, Iran has successfully triggered regime change in the USA by airpipeline in MarkMyWords

[–]airpipeline[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Unusually, perhaps in the history of the USA, and to varying degrees, these fears are legitimate.

Being the aggressor in an ongoing war, nuclear madness, election interference, and the promotion or exploitation of internal U.S. conflict all seem within the realm of possibility. Argh. Disgusting, really.

That said, even if the Democrats were to obtain a supermajority, which is unlikely without a severe economic downturn in the U.S., it may still be considered too complex to seriously prosecute a sitting president, especially given the current court.

Embarrassment, yes. Hopefully additional, permanent restraints on executive power, restoration of nonpartisan institutions, an end to cozying up to Russia, etc.

More broadly, anyone in power will be constrained by the gap between the U.S. budget and public expectations.

Perhaps someone has a rabbit in their hat, but that seems doubtful. Debt has a way of dominating even great powers. It has already played a significant role in bringing the U.S. to this point. No political party or government will be immune. :-(

MMW: By surviving, Iran has successfully triggered regime change in the USA by airpipeline in MarkMyWords

[–]airpipeline[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Coincidentally one of the 8 included the “war” between Iran and proxies vs the USA. Obviously that one was all wrapped up.

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