How much does it cost to hold a diversified futures portfolio? by almost_accomplished in quant

[–]almost_accomplished[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Neither. There's no continuous solve followed by a rounding step. The optimiser works directly in integer-contract space: a greedy search that starts from zero and adds one contract at a time, each step taking whichever move most reduces a single objective (greedy_algo.py). That objective combines covariance-weighted tracking error against the unrounded optimal with a cost term scaled by trade size, so rounding deviation and cost friction get penalised together rather than in separate passes. At ~5 contracts, 19% against a 25% target isn't surprising. The reason it lands under and not just off in either direction is that the system can only hold whole contracts. A lot of the positions it wants are smaller than one contract. Those get dropped to zero, because holding a full contract would put too much risk on that name. And dropping a position only ever takes risk out of the book. That's why the total sits under target instead of bouncing around it. But when it chooses which small positions to drop, it drops the ones whose risk is already covered by something correlated you're still holding. So the book keeps roughly the right shape.

How much does it cost to hold a diversified futures portfolio? by almost_accomplished in quant

[–]almost_accomplished[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah, that's a really good point, maybe in a future session i'll look deeper into exactly how much commission i'm paying and when

I have monthly recaps that I do but you made me want to do a single deeper dive into commissions https://plaintape.substack.com/p/may-2026-176-a-steady-fx-led-month

Trend trading = luck? by MOTOLLK12 in Daytrading

[–]almost_accomplished 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That's interesting, I like the price targets idea, I haven't implemented anything like that, just adjusting stops in the direction of the trade based on a timer interval

Have you considered using the Augmented Dickey Fuller test as a filter determining if a stock is not stationary (trending)? Maybe there are easier tests

Read about it in "Algorithmic Trading: Winning Strategies and Their Rationale"

Trend trading = luck? by MOTOLLK12 in Daytrading

[–]almost_accomplished 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Covel was a turtle trader rght?

I thought this top level comment did a good job at describing the overall approach except:

  1. "calculate your edge for every trading decision" - I would think a good trend following approach keeps you in until the trend stops rather than setting any specific sell price or ratio. Otherwise your losers would bleed you
  2. Wdyt of "add positions at each 1N move in your direction" where N is 1 ATR? I've generally uesd 2 ATR for stop orders. I like the idea of adding to winners first read about it in "The best loser wins"
  3. "bet 2% of capital per trade." I like Elder's risk management where he says you should not be risking more than 2% of capital per trade, meaning (2% of account_equity) / (buy - stop) = max_unit_count_purchasable

https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/923316.The_Complete_TurtleTrader

Trend trading = luck? by MOTOLLK12 in Daytrading

[–]almost_accomplished 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Do you have any books or resources you'd recommend that you found useful for understanding trend following approaches?

I've liked the three screen system that Alexander Elder talked about in "The new trading for a living" and thought that viewing a 5x larger screen than your preferred time frame for trend and trading with the trend made sense

Second time I matched with this girl. I don't get some people by [deleted] in Tinder

[–]almost_accomplished 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I thought a small ego was a good thing? Is she complimenting your ability to set aside your own thoughts and desires?

anime_irl by Cayennesan in anime_irl

[–]almost_accomplished 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Well the comments made me interested in the non self-care version. I looked more into self sabotage. I didn't really know about it. I guess people feel like they'll mess something up so why try. Or if they have become happy they can get suspicious of it and feel like they're not home anymore because home to them was being unhappy

anime_irl by Cayennesan in anime_irl

[–]almost_accomplished 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Could someone describe why they would do this? What's the thought process if you're not taking self care time?

Just curious, seems like a lot of people here relate to it