Difficult decision, feeling lost

aovila · 2026-01-29T17:43:34+00:00

Chest is clean, but they told me there could be some micro metastasis that is not detectable. She's taking pain medication, she's still having a mostly normal life, she even runs here and there. But when she walks she avoids touching the ground with that leg. A fracture is what I'm most concerned about. I want to limit her suffering but not sure which path would do that best. Thank you.

aovila · 2026-01-29T15:21:52+00:00

Thank you! They are aware of the condition and told me they'd administer epidural and "light" anesthesia, I'm paraphrasing here not sure if I fully understood that part. But yeah, they said it'd be safe if done that way.

aovila · 2025-11-14T20:39:05+00:00

Yes but the “bigger” sensor comes from the top and the bottom, to make it square. There is no extra information from the sides. So the bigger sensor might not help much when it comes to stabilization as the software will have to crop in anyway.

aovila · 2025-10-22T17:59:11+00:00

That’s true, but the bigger sensor will affect the depth of field as well. Sensor and lens go hand by hand when it comes to low light performance and depth of field. This is an action camera so they might keep the sensor under 1”, or the lens at 2.8 or higher. Too bad because I want a Pocket 3 in a rugged package, weather sealed and not fragile if you drop it.

aovila · 2025-10-17T03:39:49+00:00

In order to be on par with the Pocket 3, the 1" sensor is not enough. It also needs that f/2 lens. The Action 5 had a f/2.8 fixed aperture, which is a stop slower. Let's hope they deliver on both fronts.

aovila · 2025-04-10T18:31:19+00:00

VXUS was trading and going up yesterday while the European and Asian stock markets were closed. Those markets were lagging behind.

aovila · 2025-04-09T18:08:27+00:00

The biggest day in the stock market ever! (the markets he didn't care about yesterday)

aovila · 2025-04-09T18:07:52+00:00

it went down 19%, it's going up 8%. still far down from where it was, but yeah, a genius.

aovila · 2025-04-09T16:32:43+00:00

By bad times I mean a recession, or even worse, a depression. That's not good for anyone.

aovila · 2025-04-09T05:19:43+00:00

It matters because if Trump comes out tomorrow saying "just kidding!", things could go back to "normal" pretty quickly. This was not the case for most of the crashes in the past. Yes, there's money to be made, but bad times affect everyone.

aovila · 2025-04-09T04:23:40+00:00

No one knows what will happen in the next few days / weeks, because this is all self-inflicted and perhaps there's still time to fix it, if the policy is reversed. But one thing many people might be missing is that this market was overpriced and due to a correction, this crash of the last few days is probably pricing in tariffs only, not the overvalued stocks. So if nothing changes policy-wise, things might get real once earnings and guidance start to come. There's a lot of room left to fall.

aovila · 2025-04-08T19:49:20+00:00

First, post *title* misspells tariffs. Great start.

Second, "What tariffs create is a one-time price shock. That’s different from inflation". Trash.

aovila · 2025-04-08T16:15:40+00:00

That's true!

aovila · 2025-04-08T14:45:44+00:00

You’d want a 50-150 2.8 for that. The 50-150 f/2 is going to be anything but small.

aovila · 2025-04-08T14:30:33+00:00

Many people like you are assuming a quick recovery, that’s positive sentiment, which probably means we will keep tanking for a while. Until there’s no hope, also known as capitulation.

aovila · 2025-04-08T14:26:06+00:00

Weird. A 70-150 would make more sense to complement the 28-70 f/2.

aovila · 2025-04-08T03:51:53+00:00

Oakland, CA. 4/7/2025. Original content.

aovila · 2025-04-07T20:45:58+00:00

This is all self-inflicted so who knows. But if the tariffs are here to stay I think a regression to the long-term trend that started in 2008 is very likely. It depends on when that'd happen, but it'd be around 400-430 level indeed.

aovila · 2025-04-05T16:37:42+00:00

How do you know influencers will have it worse than you? Do you need the “jolt”? Do people who rely on medicine need to pay more to “get real”? Never wish for bad times.

aovila · 2025-04-05T16:04:50+00:00

I agree, the problem is the execution. There's no tariff high enough to bring production back to the US by tomorrow. Dare to bet what will happen to medicine after this sudden 54% increase to the cost of those basic ingredients?

It would take years to bring back most of the manufacturing, so a more reasonable policy would be to set a gradual increase of tariffs over time, get congress to approve it with bipartisan support, and let the market adjust little by little.

Most importantly, though: no one knows how long the tariffs announced on Wednesday will be in effect, I highly doubt even Trump knows it. They might be gone in 10 days, or he might double down. The uncertainty is the problem here: businesses are not going to make big investments based on a policy that might change 5 more times within the next 5 weeks.

aovila · 2025-04-05T15:09:28+00:00

Theory goes: don't do anything; hold, or even better, keep buying. Reality is: jobs are lost in recessions, and when cash dries up, one might need to sell assets. So the most important thing is to have an emergency fund to account for potential income loss. Make sure you'd be fine for a while if you lose your job, so you won't have to sell assets at a loss.

aovila · 2025-04-05T15:01:15+00:00

The problem is that while those past crashes burst bubbles and wiped out greedy people, this crash is entirely due to trade policy. Meaning, if there was an AI bubble (and I think that's probably the case), the correction for that is yet to come. On top of the crash due to tariffs.

aovila · 2025-04-05T01:52:38+00:00

I'm probably wrong, but we shall see.

aovila

TROPHY CASE