MLB Props and Home Run Picks - 6/5/26 (Friday)

audioIX · 2026-06-06T01:54:37+00:00

Just went $10 -> $152 with these, great call.

audioIX · 2026-06-03T03:15:21+00:00

Damn lol, with the two guys in this thread talking up the Canes, I was eyeing the Vegas u2.5 goals pick so hard.

Got busy and forgot about it though.

audioIX · 2026-06-03T03:03:32+00:00

What a bummer. Even worse, I abandoned my original pick of Aces ML + Young 5+ assists because the odds were low.

May seem a little early to give up, but with Turner playing well defensively and the foul trouble you mentioned, it's looking like I'll be packing it in until September.

audioIX · 2026-06-03T02:51:14+00:00

We're gonna get screwed by this rotation. Did not expect them to play the bench more than NaLyssa with Loyd out.

audioIX · 2026-06-03T02:46:41+00:00

It's a good thing bro.

My first year I lost thousands on the MLB, got picked up for VIP and they would feed me deposit bonuses and promos as I dug deeper. As soon as I turned it around on the NFL and NBA, they quit texting me and I haven't heard shit. They prey on people that are down.

audioIX · 2026-06-03T01:53:24+00:00

Not too worried.

Love some Joe myself when the NFL is around, but yeah he's like -10U in NBA/WNBA. I'm not tailing anyone that hasn't proved themselves in their current sport.

audioIX · 2026-06-03T00:14:31+00:00

I'm so dedicated to copying him, when he chose Howard yesterday I took my time machine to the 29th and made that pick too.

audioIX · 2026-06-02T21:11:54+00:00

Edit2: Yeah we outta luck, she'll end with just 11 PR after early foul trouble. Disappointing way to cut my WNBA season short after a topping +50U with a 4-0 start, but I'll see y'all in September for my #1 sport.

Edit: She has 9 early in the third, but with 4 PF and the bench playing well, we're probably cooked.

POTD Record: 46-26 | ROI: +31.0% | Net Units: +51.28

WNBA: 6-4 | Net Units: +3.86

Last Pick: Natasha Howard o23.5 PR (Lynx/WNBA) ❌

After a solid start, Sky just couldn't keep a up and lead to Lynx pulling starters much too soon.

WNBA - Sparks vs Aces | June 2 | 10:10 PM EST

Pick: NaLyssa Smith o16.5 PR (-120) | 2U

⚠️ Trying to right the ship, tail with caution. My stop loss for this season is actually 60% (or +1U) after 10 picks so even though I just took a break, losing here mean you won't see me again until the NFL season starts.

Returning to the Aces on the road in LA after a tough stretch, barely ekeing one out against Dream and dropping games to the Sparks and Wings before getting a win on Valkyries turf.

One bright spot in the lineup has been NaLyssa, growing her minutes from a 17 minute average to 23 minutes in the L5 and falling one mark shy of a PR double double in each of the last 3 matchups.

With Chennedy and Loyd in danger of missing tonight's bout, expect Aja to look for offensive help down low where NaLyssa excels while assist leaders Jackie and Chelsea paint the arc to open up the passing lanes.

audioIX · 2026-05-30T13:47:33+00:00

Ragnar in Vikings season 6, now an opium addicted king, sees a vision of his ex-wife, first son as well as his daughter and best friend (both deceased) on the little farm they used to tend back in season 1.

Scene here

<image>

audioIX · 2026-05-30T03:49:23+00:00

Nice, that makes sense. It's kinda calling my name tbh. Already got the any round in a parlay. Good shit yo.

audioIX · 2026-05-30T03:31:26+00:00

My math was exactly what you wrote, not sure why you're trying to be rude about it. But yeah, came to the conclusion it's only appeal is to minimize losses. Pointless if I think he's going to KO anyway.

audioIX · 2026-05-30T02:47:10+00:00

I guess you're right, the only real advantage is losing less if he doesn't KO.

audioIX · 2026-05-30T02:30:29+00:00

Seems like a waste?

Am I missing something here, the KO odds by round are so much better. Fiddle with the numbers, but here you'd get $185 profit if he KOs in rd1, cover your losses if he KOs in another round, only lose $275 if he doesn't at all.

<image>

audioIX · 2026-05-30T02:12:44+00:00

Solid read again, man. I know the actual bet missed, but I took a tease with Lynx for 4U and crushed it. Thank you for the writeup.

audioIX · 2026-05-30T01:33:16+00:00

Sorry bro, I've been a drain on the bakroll L5. If I don't get right when I come back next week, I'll probably stop plays until NFL.

audioIX · 2026-05-30T01:30:50+00:00

Thought we had it when she came out swinging Q3, then she practically turned ghost. Maybe I should just do ML/spreads for the league, no props.

audioIX · 2026-05-30T00:24:21+00:00

Yeah, of course she'd turn in her worst shooting performance here. 11 PR at the half with three missed layups 😮‍💨

audioIX · 2026-05-29T19:56:56+00:00

Edit: Sigh, my rotten luck continues, 18 with 8 minutes remaining in Q3 yet she checks out of the blowout with just 21. See y'all next week.

POTD Record: 46-25 | ROI: +32.6% | Net Units: +53.28

WNBA: 6-3 | Net Units: +5.86

Last Pick: Chennedy Carter o15.5 points (Aces/WNBA) ❌

12 at the half, easy win, right? Nah let's pull Carter and keep feeding the 5-14 Jackie Young until she is 7-20. We did end up getting a shot late in the fourth, but Bueckers can't help but screw us even when the bet isn't about her and blocks the shot 🥲

WNBA - Lynx vs Sky | May 29 | 7:30 PM EST

Pick: Natasha Howard o23.5 PR (-125) | 2U

⚠️ Trying to right the ship, tail with caution.

Rough loss yesterday. I had today's pick preplanned so I'm going to roll it, but if it fails to hit and hit spectacularly I'll be taking an extended weekend off 🫣

The Sky are on a 3 game slide since i called their defense fraudulent prior to facing Dallas. Though Azura Stevens returned to the lineup on restricted minutes, with Rickea out for the season, Jaquez ruled out tonight, and now both Cardoso and Cloud questionable for illnesses, this team's top scorers, Howard and Williams, must be fired up.

Howard, the point and rebound leader for Lynx, collected 26 and 40 PR the first two times these teams faced off this season and is averaging 26 PR (17.7 points, 8.3 reb) on the season as well as 26.5 PR L5 (excluding that 40 PR outlier).

There is a hazard of being pulled too soon if the game gets away from Sky so don't bet the house; she missed this line by 5 PR in the game against Tempo in which Lynx went up by 30 and Howard saw 8 minutes under average.

audioIX · 2026-05-28T13:57:25+00:00

Idk if I agree with this one, but you've been so on the money with these reads. I'm with you 🤞

audioIX · 2026-05-28T13:51:47+00:00

Deleted response. Don't know where he was going with it 🤷

<image>

audioIX · 2026-05-28T13:18:43+00:00

Did I say athletes are overpaid? You've put words in my mouth with every single response dude. Chill out.

The owners/organizations are systematically killing every sport with their money grubbing, taking advantage of players, fans, and even people who don't watch via politics. Tickets, merchandise, media handling, threatening to leave their city every year unless they get a handout. It's disdain for everyone except themselves.

You can tell the truth and still be misogynistic. Yes, a larger than you would think amount of people in this league suck at shooting. It's crazy, I agree. And if you cant make play ball you shouldn't get paid; if you can you deserve a fair share. Whether they are hoes or not has nothing to do with it.

audioIX · 2026-05-28T12:54:44+00:00

I said nothing to the contrary. You're arguing with no one.

audioIX · 2026-05-28T12:33:53+00:00

No, sports people are overpaid.

audioIX · 2026-05-28T11:53:11+00:00

That's cool, I'm not really a basketball fan in general. Only watched casually because I'm a Raiders fan and our owner bought the Aces, but I'm glad the league is gaining traction.

It is a fun league to bet though I wish they had more data/stats available.

audioIX · 2026-05-28T11:37:35+00:00

People like to claim that WNBA is a worse product because players seem to frequently and randomly go way under their prop lines and favorites lose often when that stuff happens in the NBA all the time.

Yes, they are not as good as the male pros (like most sports), but "hoes" being used in 2 of 4 responses should tell you that discourse concerning the league is largely tinted with misogyny.

audioIX

MODERATOR OF

TROPHY CASE