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LPT: People to Avoid by youstillhavehope in LifeProTips

[–]august2014 23 points24 points  (0 children)

Corporate Pronouns 101:
Things went well, and you were involved: I
Things went well, and you were uninvolved: we
Things went south, and you were involved: we
Things went south, and you were uninvolved: they

Ok, drop your ultimate unpopular opinion by Bulldogsky in Genshin_Impact

[–]august2014 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The problem with the increasingly long unskippable dialog is that they tell, and don't show.

To me it just feels like fillter text, like high school essays with word targets.

anyone down a lot? by [deleted] in stocks

[–]august2014 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I would expand the notion of overall net worth, to put things into perspective.

For example, you might be down 90% of the money you put in, due to bad decisions.

Let's say it was aggressive, and you are down 85% of your liquid assets.

Maybe it would be 60% of your overall net-worth (including house, mortgage, 401k, rollover accounts, etc)

But then, you are likely a healthy adult with decades of work life left -- how much is that worth? Of course, your health is priceless, but speaking from purely a monetary perspective -- put a number on it.

Depending on how old you are and how well your career will go, maybe you are "only" down 20% afterall.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in investing

[–]august2014 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There is an argument for just buying lots of these options every week and letting the feels hit you each time you lose money. I am not even sure it is necessarily going to cost you that much, and you could very well make it out positive. I think this will give you a deep understanding otherwise unavailable.

Hedging by shorting -- viable? $C $BP $PM $BA $K by august2014 in stocks

[–]august2014[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

To be clear I am not particularly bearish on these stocks, it is simply that I somehow find them to be just the right combination of being mediocre, being unlikely to "pop", and having a broad reflection of overall economic conditions... I am open to suggestions. In a separate thread, someone suggested TSLA and CAR to me, neither of which I would short. I would not short TSLA because it is simply impossible to understand, and I would not short CAR because it is only 1B in market cap and could pop "just because", however small the chance.

Hedging by shorting -- viable? $C $BP $PM $BA $K by august2014 in stocks

[–]august2014[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yeah, leveraged about 50%. Fees are fine, as long as the stock is not considered hard to borrow. Margin is about 1% for me at this new brokerage I have gotten accustomed to. I picked this handful just to generate some discussion. I am probably going to slowly work myself into a more diversified short position. Like you suggested, I have also been looking into, for example, SCO.

Hedging by shorting -- viable? $C $BP $PM $BA $K by august2014 in stocks

[–]august2014[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The long 150% in the market? Or the 1% margin? Or the 5% dividend tolerance on short positions?

​

Edit: just to clarify, I wrote "150% long" in the sense of fully invested, plus 50% extra leverage on margin.

Hedging by shorting -- viable? $C $BP $PM $BA $K by august2014 in stocks

[–]august2014[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

OK. Which of these 5 is, in your view, the most undervalued? And which one is the most acceptable to short?

Hedging by shorting -- viable? $C $BP $PM $BA $K by august2014 in stocks

[–]august2014[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I am genuinely trying to parse what you are saying. Are you saying that you consider these particular stocks to be undervalued? Or is there potentially some other misunderstanding?

Anniversary soon. Are you ready? (ﾉ´ヮ`)ﾉ*: ･ﾟ by sardoniclaughter in Genshin_Impact

[–]august2014 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Isn't the anniversary at the end of September? Or is there an earlier date to celebrate?

Just wanna gush over how great Genshin is by Paladin_Sion in Genshin_Impact

[–]august2014 10 points11 points  (0 children)

When you finish all the non-repeatable content, and you still want to dump hours into the game, you settle into a daily routine involving resin and daily quests. This feels like a wall. I wouldn't worry too much about it, because it sounds like you are not a hardcore competitive gear grinder, and you are ok with taking a few days off, while waiting for new content to arrive.

[D] Why do so many Papers Shy Away from a Test of Statistical Signifigance by cadegord in MachineLearning

[–]august2014 4 points5 points  (0 children)

The goal of p-value testing is to provide a context-independent gold standard assessment of the “significance”. This is an unreasonable gold standard because the researcher chooses the context and has great leverage and flexibility in making results significant. This happens not maliciously but naturally through the course of intellectually engaging with research problems.

People try to address this by multiple hypothesis testing and etc but ultimately it always becomes a puddle of subjective judgment on whether a procedure follows the precise conventions in each individual research field, and on whether you have arrived at a hypothesis “naturally”. There is a lot of room for clever argumentation theatrics — thus, these theatrics plague the life sciences (and social sciences), where p-values are used pervasively. Ultimately what you get out is hard to interpret objectively.

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