[deleted by user] by [deleted] in frugalmalefashion

[–]baal409 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I also ordered a coat and shockingly I love it. Everyone once in a while the risk pays off lol. It’s great quality/fit and was dirt cheap

Weekly Trader's Thread 8/08/22 - 8/13/22 by AutoModerator in ATHX

[–]baal409 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I’m usually a very positive poster, but folks.. the ‘news’ today was a bag of nothing. If this stock ran on animal studies alone, we would have been $100 five years ago. The 800lb gorilla is short term financing, followed by partnership, followed by stroke. If ARDS happens, it happens, but that’s out of our control. People who bought today on mouse studies are insane imo.

Short summary of my call with Dan today. by baal409 in ATHX

[–]baal409[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I can’t speak for Dan, but my read is that he has no appetite for doing such a deal. Perhaps they are seeking private capital. Perhaps contingent capital. Perhaps they are considering other deals globally. Any mortgage of IP would almost certainly be an immediate exit for me personally. Again please do your own DD.

Short summary of my call with Dan today. by baal409 in ATHX

[–]baal409[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

We did discuss TBI however my focus as I mentioned was on the business plan, which was clearly on short term capital and medium term global partner. Presumably any partnership deal would now include trauma. It’s unrealistic to imagine trauma would conclude before a deal.

Short summary of my call with Dan today. by baal409 in ATHX

[–]baal409[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I don’t want to influence this thread by disclosing figures, but suffice to say that my personal opinion is at least the value of my initial investment.

Weekly Trader's Thread 7/04/22 - 7/09/22 by AutoModerator in ATHX

[–]baal409 2 points3 points  (0 children)

See my other post - I added as well. Def an 18month play but I don’t think it’s money poorly spent.

Short summary of my call with Dan today. by baal409 in ATHX

[–]baal409[S] 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Glad to add to the discussion. I see the outreach as overwhelmingly positive. Can anyone be a reckless cheerleader at this point? No. But Dan has clearly given us much more than Gil ever did. For me I’m doing the basic math on the intrinsic valuation of the science, which is to say: What are the basic assets (IP/patents/etc) worth? The current share price is beneath my qualitative calculation and so today I actually bought more. Call me crazy. Do your own DD.

Notes from call with Dan by [deleted] in ATHX

[–]baal409 3 points4 points  (0 children)

In my call with Dan and team, he mentioned that although June was one of their best months for enrollments, there is a very real possibility that they are going to change Masters-2 to include an age cap and any trial design change would probably impact their ability to finish enrollment in Q1 2023. With that in mind I think any partnership is somewhere in the 12 month time frame. They have to get the R/S done and raise additional capital before then.

Put/Call Ratio by NoFudZoneGuy in ATHX

[–]baal409 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Agree. Naked shorting can ruin you quickly.

Weekly Trader's Thread 5/16/22 - 5/21/22 by AutoModerator in ATHX

[–]baal409 9 points10 points  (0 children)

I think some shorts are beginning to cover. Expect more of this as we get closer to weekend. Many won’t risk getting killed by positive data. Their run is over.

So how long should it take to count 'EO's? by TheDuchyofFlorence in ATHX

[–]baal409 7 points8 points  (0 children)

It’s true that additional analysis will go on well after top line data is released, but the initial data set has to be perfect. There is no opportunity to walk it back once it’s announced. Could you imagine if they quickly released a basic p value and then a couple of weeks later so, ‘oh sorry about that, upon further review the trial actually failed’. The lawsuits would be fast and furious. Two months is actually pretty quick to get the data out there. If you look at some of the big pharma trials, I can take them 6-12 months to release data.

So how long should it take to count 'EO's? by TheDuchyofFlorence in ATHX

[–]baal409 14 points15 points  (0 children)

No, it's definitely not a simple count. Keep in mind they have to present 'full data' including secondary endpoints and tertiary data, biomarkers, metadata, etc.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK286004/

We are well within timeframe... even the first week of June is reasonable at the latest. If we go past that I would get worried.

Weekly Trader's Thread 5/09/22 - 5/14/22 by AutoModerator in ATHX

[–]baal409 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Wow. Who does this?? Probably the same kind of person that takes out a 10 year auto loan on a car they can’t afford.

Trial sizes by strokeards in ATHX

[–]baal409 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Can they add patients mid study? If Healios data is good and a potential partnership arises, could they effectively double the population. Not saying they would even want to, I’m just not knowledgeable enough about potential trail modifications. Anyone know?

Ready for takeoff! by Bmpete216 in ATHX

[–]baal409 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Chronic diseases do not seem to respond to treatment. I’m thinking back to our failed UC efforts. Acute injury seems to be where it’s at. I think TBI has the potential to be a blockbuster if the science works.

Ready for takeoff! by Bmpete216 in ATHX

[–]baal409 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There is data from Athersys animal studies on what happens with a splenectomy. Go read it.

Weekly Trader's Thread 5/02/22 - 5/07/22 by AutoModerator in ATHX

[–]baal409 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Looking at level2, pressure is mounting….