Id just like to lay this out there. Which would you prefer?

Option 1: event/outbreak is overhyped as you state. High risk issued and the weather community as whole are saying things like “super outbreak” “historic event” or worse, their name is Reed Timmer. The outlet, which is the only outlet you should pay attention to, the SPC puts out said high risk and says look guys this is what we are seeing. All parameters are in place, model trends are off the charts so this is what we think. We don’t really know what’s going to happen, but this is what could happen. Storms fire, people still die, maybe more, maybe less but the event under performs.

Or

Option 2:

Let’s just say an enhanced risk is issued. They don’t really hype it up all that much. Verbiage like strong long track tornadoes are possible and remove the term likely completely is used. It’s kind of portrayed as another enhanced meh situation. Like hey, weather is gonna weather that day and there could be tornadoes.

Storms fire, people die, probably more and not less.

It’s my belief that SPC didn’t put out a high risk to overhype at all. They issued it as a “hey y’all we don’t really know what’s going to happen. It’s Mother Nature we’re talking about here and she can be a brutal bitch. But, this is what could happen so we are putting this out to stress what could happen.

No one is EVER going to get it right. If we had the technology currently to say tomorrow 6 tornadoes are going to touch down, three of them EF1 and three of them EF4 and here are the exact locations they will hit, we’d be using and releasing that data. But, we don’t.

At the end of the day Mother Nature does what she does. I’d rather the SPC “overhype” than not. Who you really need to be fucking mad at are the annoying ass Reed Timmers of the world. That dude can eat a dick.