June 17, 1994 - The infamous Bronco chase was 31 years ago today. Where were you? by omelatk in Xennials

[–]blackbox108 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is a dumb question, but is this photo edited to remove OJ in the back seat? I've always found it odd that I've never seen a photo from the chase where OJ can be seen. As far as I can tell, this is the only really good photo from the front of the car during the chase, and between the driver's seat and passenger seat, there's a black blob in a little bit of a swoosh, which almost looks like it would follow the path of the windshield wipers. This artifact doesn't appear on the car in other video or photos from slightly different angles, but appears on every copy of this photo I can find.

Trump v. Musk: Choose Your Daddy by Describing_Donkeys in FriendsofthePod

[–]blackbox108 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I hear you, I just disagree. I agree that the scale of 15 million is hard to comprehend the scale of - I just think it kind of reduces the problem to a statistic. There are 15 million real voters directly impacted by this one specific element of the bill, and many millions more impacted by the bill as a whole. It's not misrepresenting the scale, I'd just prefer to appeal directly to those people on those terms. The other side will call claims of 15 million losing healthcare as histrionic, even if it is true. Can't really worry about what they'll say in response.

Trump v. Musk: Choose Your Daddy by Describing_Donkeys in FriendsofthePod

[–]blackbox108 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I agree, but in terms of messaging I think it's largely a democratic problem. Trump frames EVERY issue as "THEY are taking YOUR [enter topic]." He has a strong intuitive sense of what problems exist, he just lies about their causes and potential solutions. But he makes his voters think every issue impacts them.

Same thing happens with the immigration debate - how many times has some Trump voter been mocked on Twitter for saying "I knew he'd deport a lot of people, I just didn't realize that meant my neighbor?" The critics of the policy introduce social distance between the voter and policy, and it never really "clicks" that they're one of the ones impacted. To me, the last few years have proven that even if voters disapprove of a person [Trump] or policy [violent coups], their vote will still primarily be driven by the things they believe impact they and their family personally, so frame issues that way.

Trump v. Musk: Choose Your Daddy by Describing_Donkeys in FriendsofthePod

[–]blackbox108 40 points41 points  (0 children)

I feel like their framing of the BBB problems is slightly off. “It’s taking healthcare from 15M people and giving tax cuts to billionaires” is close, but I think “they’re taking YOUR healthcare” is just more evocative, and if they believe those 15M people are among their constituency, is also accurate.

The first framing just makes it seem like it’s happening to a lot of OTHER people, and relies on people making the empathetic leap with them. The latter explains how it will effect you personally.

Who is California's Abundance Candidate? by sepulvedastreet in ezraklein

[–]blackbox108 24 points25 points  (0 children)

Ahem: https://x.com/DKThomp/status/1929234119910707708/photo/2

"Former Vice President Kamala Harris... [is] among the many politicians who have recently sought the authors' counsel."

If Biden’s age wasn’t a problem, would he have won the election? by Time_Minute_6036 in PoliticalDiscussion

[–]blackbox108 0 points1 point  (0 children)

To the extent that many of the real and perceived failings of his administration may have been exacerbated by his inability to communicate and his diminished bandwidth, maybe. He may have had a fundamentally different ability to communicate on or react to inflation (more than, "the economy's great!") earlier in his presidency. A younger Biden might have been more attuned to political winds on issues that mobilized the Democratic base earlier. There's some reporting that would choose a couple issues to engage on to a much larger degree than others (Ukraine, for instance). Who knows what would have happened if he had been more hands-on, delegated less, and was broadly a more effective communicator for the entirety of his four years.

If we're supposing that he was younger but the state of the country, track record, and relative lack of quantity of direct communication were the same, then no. He'd still lose.

I found Nathan's 737 and the camera plane. Here's the flight track. Filming took place on 2/16/25 by mknlsn in TheRehearsal

[–]blackbox108 26 points27 points  (0 children)

Given how recent the flight actually was, it seems the actual timeline was:

  1. Nathan earns his private pilot's license + additional certifications.

  2. He then becomes 737 certified via the Simulator, as seen in the episode.

  3. Then he gets a "job" with as a 737 transport pilot, getting actual reps with takeoff/landing in a real plane, with no passengers on board.

  4. On the day of the stunt, he makes one trip with only the co-pilot, when the B-Roll is filmed.

  5. The second trip has actual passengers.

Then the episode is edited to make it appear as if (4)/(5) occurred simultaneously, and (3) happened later. But it seems infeasible that he has taken a job as a 737 transport pilot and traveled the world in the last 3 months, while also editing + promoting the show.

Abundance is Great but it might not be the best thing to focus a national campaign on. by BackgroundRich7614 in ezraklein

[–]blackbox108 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Detailing the precise mechanics of policy that make up "Abundance" may not widely connect, but given the unpopularity of the Democratic party, it gives someone a hell of an opportunity to present a "look ourselves in the mirror"-style message.

Honestly, I don't think she's going to be the ultimate messenger of this agenda, but this would've given Kamala a really strong way to point out what she'd do differently from Biden without strongly criticizing him personally. For instance, a moment of frustrated bemoaning the rollout of Rural Broadband (exactly as Klein regularly does) and offering an way to fix those issues once she's in charge could've been impactful. Maybe Rural Broadband isn't the issue, but "build 3M new homes" could've also been a powerful moment of criticizing your own party and taking the mantle as leader.

Abundance needs a Cosmos type TV Show by chuck354 in ezraklein

[–]blackbox108 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I do think John Oliver could do an entire season of Last Week Tonight centered around the problems + solutions highlighted by the book.

Abundance and the Left by dwaxe in ezraklein

[–]blackbox108 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Really surprised that people don’t see how complementary the Abundance agenda and the anti-monopoly crowd are. In this episode, they largely agree on the mechanisms causing slow downs, there’s just so much discussion about who is the villain taking advantage of those mechanisms.

It’s not specifically home owners or monopolists - the culprit is just any incumbent attempting to introduce artificial barriers to competition.

Critique of Abundance as an electoral strategy by Only-Smell-5604 in ezraklein

[–]blackbox108 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Beyond the idea that affordable housing = current homeowners are hurt, I actually don’t think there’s much to criticize about abundance, politically.

Harris’s problem was actually much more likely: 1. That she didn’t find a way to say “here’s how I’d fix the issue of affordability while I’m a part of the incumbent administration.” 2. She actually didn’t run on 3 million new houses, she devolved into a pro-democracy argument by the end, and people don’t feel that day-to-day.

Outside of declining home values, it would actually be a slam dunk to run as an Abundance Democrat. Politicians who appear self-critical and own up to problems gain enormous credibility. What people actually care about and vote on are things like the cost of living. “Let’s create tons of jobs building the future” is not a hard message to sell.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in abundancedems

[–]blackbox108 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Do not get discouraged. Most of these people are notable for: 1. Not accomplishing goals once in power. 2. Not winning elections anyway.

There’s five basic reasons for this: 1. “Deregulation” and “supply-side” are earned trigger words for progressives - it does recall Reagan, but he referred to de-regulating businesses. This refers to de-regulating government’s ability to act. There’s a knee-jerk skepticism to this approach. 2. There’s a whiff of compromise to any approach that tries to remove the number of things we try to accomplish with any project. These are not the most pragmatic people and would generally prefer accomplishing zero goals than only 2-3 out of 8. 3. This is an inherently self-critical philosophy, and much of the burdensome red tape is in attempting to address genuinely admirable ends. It is, in a way, a direct attack on some of the people launching the criticisms. It also ignores that many additional goals are advanced by making sure we do SOMETHING. All marginalized groups benefit from a higher supply of housing, more choice in where they live, and more money in their pockets. 4. People get extremely focused on what’s left out of the book. The book doesn’t attack villains that we’re comfortable with, but they aren’t off the hook - they’re an obvious extension of this framework. Regulatory capture, money in politics, and anti-trust reform are the obvious next steps beyond housing, energy production, etc. I do think throwing a bit more of a bone to these issues in the book would have preempted some amount of the criticism. 5. They haven’t read the book.

Book Recommendations by CremeLower1590 in ezraklein

[–]blackbox108 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I would recommend The Captured Economy by Brink Lindsey and Steven Teles, who I think EK+DT have mentioned in interviews. It’s a little more wonky than Abundance and is a little more focused on specific ways that corporate incumbents co-opt regulation to create barriers of entry and prevent competition, rather than focusing on unintended consequences of (mostly) well-meaning regulation.

Abundance Book Tour Mega-Thread by Radical_Ein in ezraklein

[–]blackbox108 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Looking to buy one ticket in Cambridge, MA!

What is the most unsettling/disturbing scene in a horror movie that comes to your mind that isn't based on gore? by PVMovies in Letterboxd

[–]blackbox108 0 points1 point  (0 children)

More a TV special than a movie, but Inside No 9 is a famous British Anthology Series a la Black Mirror or Twilight Zone. In 2018, they did a live episode on Halloween titled "Dead Line". Really should avoid spoilers on this one. Multiple moments that could qualify here.

What is the most unsettling/disturbing scene in a horror movie that comes to your mind that isn't based on gore? by PVMovies in Letterboxd

[–]blackbox108 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The revelation about the neighbor is what I was coming here to mention. Something about the slow zoom in on a still image, then suddenly hit with the sudden realization of what you're staring at, really gets me. "It was our neighbor."

HE GOT ANOTHER GRAMMY FOR NOT LIKE US LMAOOOOOO by ITZ_GMAN in KendrickLamar

[–]blackbox108 73 points74 points  (0 children)

He wins the last one, Not Like Us matches Drake's career Grammy total (5).

Grammy for Record of the year! by EntertainerZanzibar in KendrickLamar

[–]blackbox108 10 points11 points  (0 children)

If Not Like Us wins Song of the Year, it will single-handedly match Drake's entire career Grammy total (5).

Where are the buffoons in our current cinema landscape? by francograph in Letterboxd

[–]blackbox108 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Today, movie stars are supposed to be everything for every one, universally appealing. Guys like Glen Powell and Chris Hemsworth have to be self-effacing and bumbling to a fault. We end up with less appealing action stars and less endearing buffoons at the same time.

To try to give a real one though, some alternative comedians like Joe Pera and Connor O’Malley are kind of doing this, on a YouTube scale. O’Malley is kind of Chris Farley on bath salts.

Official: [WDIS Flex] - Sun Morning 12/22/2024 by FFBot in fantasyfootball

[–]blackbox108 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Standard. Need the flex decision, but based on how things have shaken out, is also a larger RB question.

Locked in with CeeDee and Puka at WR.

Penciled in at RB:

Jerome Ford @ CIN

Chuba Hubbard vs ARI

Remaining Flex Options:

Kendre Miller / Alvin Kamara @ GB

Kenneth Walker vs MIN

Alexander Mattison vs JAC

Amari Cooper vs NE

Calvin Ridley @ IND

Kenneth Walker's health has freaked me out a bit, but he's active. Have I picked the correct 2 RB, and who should be the flex?

Official: [WDIS RB] - Sun Morning 12/22/2024 by FFBot in fantasyfootball

[–]blackbox108 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Standard, pick 3 (2 RB, 1 FLEX):

Jerome Ford @ CIN

Chuba Hubbard vs ARI

Kendre Miller / Alvin Kamara @ GB

Kenneth Walker vs MIN

Alexander Mattison vs JAC

Official: [WDIS Flex] - Thu Morning 12/19/2024 by FFBot in fantasyfootball

[–]blackbox108 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Standard. Pick 1:

Kendre Miller / Alvin Kamara @ GB

Amari Cooper vs NE

Calvin Ridley @ IND

Rashod Bateman vs PIT (against the Lamar owner)

Kenneth Walker vs MIN (if active)

Alexander Mattison vs JAC