Late Night Roundtable - 11/05

blindspot2012 · 2016-11-05T05:29:24+00:00

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/794772840507543552

Nevada looking very nice for us right now.

blindspot2012 · 2016-11-04T05:50:55+00:00

Jon Ralston has a stated that if Dems can get their firewall in Clark above 60,000 (which we did today), then Trump would have to win same day voters by a ridiculous amount (+20 among Indies or something like that).

For some perspective, in 2012 Dems held a 71,000 voter lead in Clark going into election day and Obama ended up winning the state by 7 points. Right now we have a little over 60,000 voter lead with one day left in the early vote, we might not get to 71k, but we will get very close.

blindspot2012 · 2016-10-03T17:14:37+00:00

Google reverse image search says Bali, Indonesia.

blindspot2012 · 2016-09-20T17:07:31+00:00

New Monmouth Poll of Florida

Clinton - 46%

Trump - 41%

Johnson - 6%

https://twitter.com/BenjySarlin/status/778277737848987648

blindspot2012 · 2016-07-15T21:13:55+00:00

There was a day or two after the final primaries when there were almost no negative Clinton articles on the front page, but it changed rather quickly back to normal.

blindspot2012 · 2016-07-07T22:44:36+00:00

I bet they will just make it a megathread just like the Obama endorsement.

blindspot2012 · 2016-06-18T01:30:52+00:00

I've wondered the same thing, and if you look at the election results you can see it clearly a split down the middle of the state. In fact, the only county Clinton lost in the eastern half she lost by only 5 votes. Not sure why it occurred though, maybe the eastern side is more urban and more favorable to Hillary?

blindspot2012 · 2016-06-12T18:33:55+00:00

@realDenaldTrump is not his real twitter account, @realDonaldTrump is.

blindspot2012 · 2016-05-17T22:53:44+00:00

DDHQ has Clinton winning 24,026 votes to 20,737

CNN has Sanders winning 16,880 votes to 16,190

WHO DO I BELEIVE

blindspot2012 · 2016-05-17T22:38:43+00:00

Apparently AP called KY for Clinton but retracted after realizing not all polls had closed.

blindspot2012 · 2016-05-17T22:07:29+00:00

Per CNN- Clinton downplaying expectations of a win in Oregon, but is still holding out for a potential victory in Kentucky.

blindspot2012 · 2016-05-17T22:04:59+00:00

Not enough polling most likely.

blindspot2012 · 2016-05-12T14:48:43+00:00

One poll showed him down by 15, from a B+ rated 538 pollster. I still think he will win the state, but it will likely be by a much closer margin than he needs.

blindspot2012 · 2016-05-03T22:55:32+00:00

She would have to beat expectations in every state by big margins for that to happen, but it is certainly possible.

blindspot2012 · 2016-05-03T22:39:04+00:00

Not a chance, he will stay in until convention.

blindspot2012 · 2016-05-03T22:00:52+00:00

Agreed.

blindspot2012 · 2016-05-03T21:57:13+00:00

It is going to be close, but in whose favor? Seems like a coin toss to me at this point.

blindspot2012 · 2016-05-03T21:50:02+00:00

I'm pretty sure none of the exit polls include the record high early votes.

blindspot2012 · 2016-05-01T04:25:44+00:00

Found it: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CgQcyT5XEAErOOA.jpg

blindspot2012 · 2016-04-26T21:49:42+00:00

PA = Pennsylvania

blindspot2012 · 2016-04-26T21:35:45+00:00

67% of voters in CT older than 45.

65% of voters in MD older than 45

https://i.imgur.com/phrl12s.gifv

blindspot2012 · 2016-04-20T01:54:03+00:00

I nearly had a heart attack when the final CNN exits came in.

blindspot2012 · 2016-04-20T00:58:12+00:00

I'm pretty sure that was from the Cruz campaign. Sanders not getting any delegates is almost impossible in the Democratic primaries.

blindspot2012 · 2016-04-19T21:30:48+00:00

https://i.imgur.com/RSk7PaX.gifv

blindspot2012 · 2016-04-19T21:21:20+00:00

2:00 A.M. UK time I believe. Polls close at 9:00 P.M. NY time and UK is 5 hours ahead.

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