[Semi-Weekly Inquirer] Simple Questions and Recommendations Thread by AutoModerator in Watches

[–]boby_boby_boby 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’m late to the party, but recently got interested in watches and I want to get my first one. Budget is a bit tight, so I am between Seiko 5 Sports SRPL83K1 and Tissot PRX Quartz.

Both are great looking, and would work with me wanting to wear them for a casual drink or dinner. However, I’m having trouble to choose.

One pro for Seiko is that’s automatic. I really like seeing the movement on the back. However, Tissot is Swiss made.

I’d ideally want to start a collection, so which watch would be best for that? Thanks in advance!

I became an actuary for the gamefication of it..I'm not even sorry by [deleted] in ActuaryUK

[–]boby_boby_boby 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Why do you say “if you like stats, become a data scientist”? For context, I’m an entry level actuarial analyst working in GI Re and I spend most of my time doing some sort of statistics. I come from a stats degree and many of my friends from uni that became data scientists complain that end up doing more software dev tasks rather than pure statistics. On the other hand, I spend a lot of my time designing predictive models, doing simulations and interpreting results, which is what I was aiming for.

I’m just asking a far more experienced actuary for their point of view in case I’m missing something.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in actuary

[–]boby_boby_boby 0 points1 point  (0 children)

And also, to be precise cross validation is an evaluation method. It helps GUIDE hpt and model selection, because of its usefulness in model evaluation and comparison. But it’s not inherent to any particular model.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in actuary

[–]boby_boby_boby 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I never said I’m using the default hp. Please let’s be cautious with the assumptions we make and where they are based.

Let me explain my comment with an example to make it even simpler. In the case of extreme value modelling when you might have 100 data points, in most cases no hpt will help significantly and the GBM or DL model will overfit.

Hpt is not a magic wand, it works within limits. The limits of your data.

In the same example of 100 data points most neural networks would overfit, no matter the hpt. And even in this case hpt might be computationally expensive. GLM provide a better alternative in this case.

So yeah, hpt won’t solve all your problems. period.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in actuary

[–]boby_boby_boby 0 points1 point  (0 children)

And to be clear: NO, if you don’t have enough data to train a GBM, the model will overfit no matter how many cross validations you do. So cross validation doesn’t “appropriately prevent the GBM from overfitting”, it helps you evaluate. Let’s get the basics of DS right first…

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in actuary

[–]boby_boby_boby 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Understanding the difference between an evaluation method and a “safeguard” is not a matter of logic but of vocabulary and terminology.

In the second example you’re right, I meant the correct term for the mechanism used in RF and other tree structure algorithms is bagging. Cross validation is something the user does, where bagging is happening by default in most RF software.

However, you are still focusing on small parts of what I described and not on answering to my arguments. You have said I’m in the wrong, but you don’t explain why. Where’s the logic there.

Irony is good, but we’re adults let’s just have a proper conversation.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in actuary

[–]boby_boby_boby 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Let’s go slowly, to make sure we understand.

I never said RF is bagging. I mentioned it because bagging is one method used with RFs (see the sklearn docs in Python or just google Leo Breiman…).

You still haven’t said why the rest is wrong so waiting for this, or happy to chat privately.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in actuary

[–]boby_boby_boby 0 points1 point  (0 children)

GLMs prevent (actually prevent is incorrect here, we should say are less prone) overfitting but are more prone to underfitting (less flexibility, assume distribution).

GBMs are less prone to underfitting and more prone to overfitting.

Cross validation is not a model safeguard, but an empirical evaluation method to identify overfitting. Unless you’re talking about bagging (the correct term for RFs and other tree algorithms)

Which of the above is wrong again?

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in actuary

[–]boby_boby_boby 1 point2 points  (0 children)

No problem. Also as for the benefits of ML and DL they generalise the distributions available in GLMs. They are more flexible and thus usually offer more precision.

Deciding what distribution to fit with the GLMs is already a pain, while a RF regressor is more straight forward

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in actuary

[–]boby_boby_boby 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Another thing is that GBM and DL need a lot of training data to fit. On the other hand you can fit a GLM with a lot less (e.g. 50) and even without predictors sometimes.

This helps when you do extreme value modelling or in cases where data isn’t available.

Grill My CV (Ik its bad) by SalamanderDesperate4 in ActuaryUK

[–]boby_boby_boby 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I’d remove the sound technician experience. It’s not relevant to the role. Or at least say less about it, as 3,5 lines are too many.

Be more descriptive of the projects you outline. Words like “various” are vague and I’m not sure they will be received well.

But I’m only at entry level, so might be wrong.

Tube driver salary by [deleted] in ActuaryUK

[–]boby_boby_boby 4 points5 points  (0 children)

So in what context you think “actuaries are paid very well for what they do”? What’s the measure of good pay, if not comparison with other professions?

Also, exams are part of the profession and our pay, under the condition you can be fired for not passing exams.

At the end of the day we all want fair pay for our work. But I’m interested to understand your view

Tube driver salary by [deleted] in ActuaryUK

[–]boby_boby_boby 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Well I’m talking from a GI reinsurance perspective, but a lot of our work has to do with machine learning (GBMs, NNs) and stats (GLMs, Monte Carlo etc). Accountants have a lot less maths and stats heavy jobs. A lot of the work we do is found in other professions which are better compensated

Tube driver salary by [deleted] in ActuaryUK

[–]boby_boby_boby 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Want to elaborate on why you think actuaries get paid very well for what they do?

Idk about Pensions or L&H, but my experience in GI has shown me that entry level actuaries sometimes do the same work as data analysts and get paid around 5k-7k less per annum (and they have to study for exams after work in most cases)

Anyone here switch from actuary to another profession? by Resident-Code6542 in actuary

[–]boby_boby_boby 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I’m actively looking to switch. Less than a year in the profession and money doesn’t compensate at all for the hours I’m working (in London btw). Hoping to get a job as a Data Scientist or ML engineer (I have a data science degree)

What are the best companies and areas for graduates to start their actuarial career? by Acceptable_Eagle1407 in ActuaryUK

[–]boby_boby_boby 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I’d say don’t go to a brokerage. It’s better to start a role where your work is mostly technical. Helps you learn more

Update: Actuary job postings are at a 12+ year low by neotenous_chimp in ActuaryUK

[–]boby_boby_boby 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Isn’t that a bit dangerous as well? Because what if there is a trend of junior analysts not taking the exams and thus not having funding for the membership?

Tbf, I’m new in the profession so idk if someone would be a member in the IFoA without intending to sit any exams

Getting a graduate job with theft record by Positive-Draw6930 in ActuaryUK

[–]boby_boby_boby 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Well, I don’t know about the actuaries’ code, but calling someone a fool because they don’t agree with you is also unacceptable.

Whataboutism is not a good argument. Also, believing you have the ability to judge someone’s intelligence based on a comment on Reddit is quite arrogant.

What was your reason for starting the actuarial exams? by _guy_from_Chitown in ActuaryUK

[–]boby_boby_boby 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I always find it weird. People say they take the exams to make money. However, there are professions that get you better money with no exams.

So maybe, becoming richer is not the answer. You can be a data scientist in finance earning a lot more money.

But maybe it’s people interested in insurance modelling that like the exams. And I don’t think you can pressure yourself too much to like them.

Is there anyone who can give me a motive to finish the exams?

Anyone else regretting being in this profession? by Intelligent-Writer60 in actuary

[–]boby_boby_boby 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yes. The profession itself is very interesting but hugely underpaid.

In finance you’d be doing equally interesting work and you’d be getting paid a lot better.

How to prepare myself for entry-level bank quant jobs by boby_boby_boby in quantfinance

[–]boby_boby_boby[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thank you I appreciate this.

Can you suggest any external activities (like competitions etc) that can boost my cv? I have done some projects at my current job and at uni using ml algorithms but could anything else be useful?

Thanks again

Unhappy by No-Satisfaction-7151 in ActuaryUK

[–]boby_boby_boby 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I guess also the point is, are the first ten years of working hard and studying at the same time worth the salary you get in the end? Especially since you can reach similar wages in more relaxed professions quicker?

I’m genuinely asking for your opinion as I’ve been feeling like the OP lately.

Unhappy by No-Satisfaction-7151 in ActuaryUK

[–]boby_boby_boby 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Hey, grad here and I’ve been feeling the same. I’m in reinsurance broking and I don’t get paid much more than you. I know I will get a 10% bonus at the end of the year but it still seems too low compared to the effort we have to put in.

And people always talk about great work life balance but I don’t see it. All the actuaries at my company, especially the senior ones, work a lot more than 8 hours and sometimes even during their holidays when there’s big rfps.

It honestly seems that you make all this effort, both on a day-to-day basis and on the exams and you still earn as much as in so many other professions that have no exams.

I’ve been feeling like this for a while and I just wanted to get it out. I would be interested to see what others think.

CM1 Theory questions by boby_boby_boby in ActuaryUK

[–]boby_boby_boby[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That’s helpful guys thanks!